Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to June 2024 (~40 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024
Live Update: Jul 22 2024
Currency: USD
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
0.20%
1 Day
Jul 22 2024
1.37%
Current Month
July 2024

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio can be implemented with 12 ETFs. This portfolio has a low risk, suggesting it experiences minor value changes. It is ideal for conservative investors who prioritize capital preservation and prefer stable, predictable returns.

The asset allocation is the following: 21% on the Stock Market, 79% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 79% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as low risk.

As of June 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio obtained a 5.33% compound annual return, with a 4.27% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -12.44% that required 27 months to be recovered.

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Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

21% Stocks
79% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

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The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
8.00
VTV
USD Vanguard Value Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Value (USD)
5.00
VUG
USD Vanguard Growth Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Growth (USD)
5.00
VEU
USD Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Equity, Global ex-US, Large Cap (USD)
1.00
EEM
USD iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap (USD)
1.00
IJS
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Value (USD)
1.00
IJT
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth Equity, U.S., Small Cap, Growth (USD)
24.00
BIL
USD SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term (USD)
17.00
IEI
USD iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD)
12.00
MBB
USD iShares MBS Bond, U.S., Long-Term (USD)
12.00
BNDX
USD Vanguard Total International Bond Bond, Developed Markets Ex-US, All-Term (USD)
10.00
LQD
USD iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term (USD)
4.00
HYG
USD iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

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Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Jun 30, 2024

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming: July 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2024 (~40 years)
Live Update: Jul 22 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Jul 2024 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio 0.20 1.37 0.88 2.44 7.07 2.96 3.33 5.33 6.64
US Inflation Adjusted return 0.94 1.03 3.97 -1.16 0.50 2.73 3.74
Components
VTV
USD Vanguard Value 0.48 Jul 22 2024 3.40 0.15 8.66 15.85 10.51 9.88 9.63 10.92
VUG
USD Vanguard Growth 1.55 Jul 22 2024 0.78 6.78 20.62 32.95 18.82 15.35 11.85 12.68
VEU
USD Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US 0.97 Jul 22 2024 2.46 -0.58 5.66 11.32 5.92 4.15 4.86 7.80
EEM
USD iShares MSCI Emerging Markets 0.84 Jul 22 2024 1.20 2.62 6.65 10.45 2.14 2.05 4.99 8.78
IJS
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value 1.29 Jul 22 2024 8.64 -2.71 -4.82 3.99 7.22 6.99 10.32 11.63
IJT
USD iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth 1.65 Jul 22 2024 7.65 -2.02 3.08 12.90 8.10 8.88 10.02 10.02
BIL
USD SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill 0.02 Jul 22 2024 0.33 0.40 2.60 5.30 2.02 1.35 2.28 3.13
IEI
USD iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond -0.05 Jul 22 2024 1.01 0.94 -0.16 3.04 -0.15 1.04 4.32 5.69
MBB
USD iShares MBS -0.02 Jul 22 2024 1.40 1.21 -0.85 2.15 -0.84 0.76 3.92 5.21
BNDX
USD Vanguard Total International Bond -0.08 Jul 22 2024 0.95 0.63 -0.51 4.29 -0.37 1.93 4.99 6.54
LQD
USD iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond -0.06 Jul 22 2024 1.48 0.60 -1.37 3.50 0.23 2.25 5.28 6.64
HYG
USD iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond 0.37 Jul 22 2024 2.00 0.48 2.27 9.17 2.60 3.11 5.62 6.87
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Jun 2024. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.98% , 5Y: 4.17% , 10Y: 2.81% , 30Y: 2.53%
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In 2023, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio granted a 3.77% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Jun 30, 2024

An investment of 1$, from July 1994 to June 2024, would be worth 4.75$, with a total return of 375.32% (5.33% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 2.25$, with a net total return of 124.56% (2.73% annualized).

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An investment of 1$, from January 1985 to June 2024, would be worth 12.65$, with a total return of 1164.91% (6.64% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 4.26$, with a net total return of 326.28% (3.74% annualized).

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Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2024

Metrics of Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio, updated as of 30 June 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2024 (~40 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Jun 30, 2024
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~40Y)
Investment Return (%) 0.88 0.77 2.44 7.07 0.75 2.96 3.33 4.34 5.33 6.64
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
0.94 0.51 1.03 3.97 -4.02 -1.16 0.50 1.74 2.73 3.74
US Inflation (%) -0.06 0.26 1.40 2.98 4.97 4.17 2.81 2.56 2.53 2.79
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -3.89 -12.44 -12.44 -12.44 -12.44 -12.44 -12.44
Start to Recovery (# months)
4 27 27 27 27 27 27
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 9 9 9
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 18 18 18 18 18 18
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 9 9 9 9 9 9
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 1 18 18 18 18 18 18
End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03 2024 03
Longest negative period (# months)
4 34 39 39 39 39 39
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 07 2021 07 2020 08 2020 08 2020 08 2020 08 2020 08
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2024 04 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -8.58 -0.15 -0.38 -0.38 -0.38 -0.38 -0.38
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -12.42 -4.80 -19.35 -19.91 -19.91 -19.91 -19.91 -19.91
Start to Recovery (# months)
42* 5 34* 42* 42* 42* 42* 42*
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2021 09 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 13 21 21 21 21 21
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 2 21 21 21 21 21 21
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 08 2021 09 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01 2021 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 3 13 21 21 21 21 21
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09
Bottom to End (# months) 2 21 21 21 21 21 21
End (yyyy mm) 2023 12 - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months)
5 36* 60* 112 120 120 120
Period Start (yyyy mm) 2023 07 2021 07 2019 07 2014 07 2013 11 2013 11 2013 11
Period End (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2024 06 2024 06 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10
Annualized Return (%) -0.07 -4.02 -1.16 -0.32 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 6.44 6.91 6.06 4.80 4.49 4.27 4.54
Sharpe Ratio 0.27 -0.32 0.16 0.41 0.65 0.71 0.58
Sortino Ratio 0.41 -0.46 0.21 0.56 0.87 0.95 0.80
Ulcer Index 1.44 5.81 4.57 3.31 2.84 2.35 2.16
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.10 0.11 0.49 0.69 0.97 1.25 1.46
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.82 0.06 0.24 0.27 0.35 0.43 0.53
Positive Months (%)
58.33 52.77 61.66 65.00 68.33 69.72 70.46
Positive Months 7 19 37 78 164 251 334
Negative Months 5 17 23 42 76 109 140
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 3.33 5.74 7.72 10.52
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.74 2.74 2.74
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 0.50 3.91 5.12 6.74
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.04 -0.04 -0.04
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 17.99 11.35 10.00 7.72 6.38 5.33
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -11.14 -0.39 1.56 2.74 4.03
Positive Periods (%) 91.6 98.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 15.32 8.78 7.45 5.12 3.98 2.73
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -17.87 -5.74 -2.12 -0.04 1.42
Positive Periods (%) 83.0 89.2 90.3 99.5 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
1.59 2.19 2.32 5.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 2.10 3.07 3.57 8.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
2.43 3.64 4.37 10.34 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 2.96 4.57 5.68 10.99 1.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 89.94 29.36 19.48 10.64 6.16 5.70
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.55 3.16
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1985 - Jun 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 26.91 14.54 13.19 10.52 9.08 7.69
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -11.14 -0.39 1.56 2.74 4.03 4.93
Positive Periods (%) 93.3 98.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 24.34 11.19 9.19 6.74 5.87 4.84
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -17.87 -5.74 -2.12 -0.04 1.42 2.35
Positive Periods (%) 82.7 92.0 93.0 99.7 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
1.61 2.10 2.01 1.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 2.16 3.04 3.34 6.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
2.50 3.65 4.20 9.06 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 3.07 4.63 5.59 10.47 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 89.94 29.36 19.48 10.64 6.16 5.36
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.55 2.72
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 June 2024
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Terms and Definitions
Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 1994 - 30 June 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2024 (~40 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 1994 - 30 June 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2024 (~40 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the data source from January 1985 to June 2024.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Conservative Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT CONSERVATIVE PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
Data Source: 1 July 1994 - 30 June 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2024 (~40 years)
251 Positive Months (70%) - 109 Negative Months (30%)
334 Positive Months (70%) - 140 Negative Months (30%)

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Investment Returns, up to December 2013, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • Vanguard Value (VTV), up to December 2004
  • Vanguard Growth (VUG), up to December 2004
  • Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US (VEU), up to December 2007
  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), up to December 2003
  • iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value (IJS), up to December 2000
  • iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth (IJT), up to December 2000
  • SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill (BIL), up to December 2007
  • iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (IEI), up to December 2007
  • iShares MBS (MBB), up to December 2007
  • Vanguard Total International Bond (BNDX), up to December 2013
  • iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond (LQD), up to December 2002
  • iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG), up to December 2007

Portfolio efficiency

No other portfolio in our database granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

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In the following table, you can compare the current portfolio with a list of famous portfolios. Metrics are calculated over the last 30 Years.

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The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing