Marc Faber Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1976 to June 2024 (~49 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024

Holding the Marc Faber Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~49 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 41 months (from October 2005 to February 2009).

This means that every rolling period of 42 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Marc Faber Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

MARC FABER PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to June 2024

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 5.48% (updated at Jun 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

MARC FABER PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 1994 - 30 June 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2024 (~49 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.09% +54.30%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1980
-27.56%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
13.49%
77 out of 571
US Inflation Adjusted +5.40% +39.16%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010
-27.57%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
23.12%
132 out of 571
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.36% +36.20%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1980
-12.17%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
6.26%
35 out of 559
US Inflation Adjusted +5.19% +28.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-13.94%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
14.13%
79 out of 559
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.99% +27.82%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1980
-3.16%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2009
0.73%
4 out of 547
US Inflation Adjusted +4.55% +20.20%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
-5.20%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
8.78%
48 out of 547
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.23% +24.67%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1980
+1.97%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 535
US Inflation Adjusted +5.16% +17.06%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
-2.15%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
1.87%
10 out of 535
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.46% +21.14%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1980
+2.82%
Oct 1997 - Sep 2002
0.00%
0 out of 523
US Inflation Adjusted +5.33% +16.41%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987
-0.26%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
0.38%
2 out of 523
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.55% +17.38%
Jun 1977 - May 1983
+3.20%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2018
0.00%
0 out of 511
US Inflation Adjusted +5.45% +12.96%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1988
+0.05%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 511
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.40% +17.17%
Jun 1976 - May 1983
+3.58%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 499
US Inflation Adjusted +5.39% +11.34%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989
+0.57%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 499
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.34% +16.78%
Dec 1978 - Nov 1986
+3.87%
Apr 2012 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 487
US Inflation Adjusted +5.48% +10.31%
May 2003 - Apr 2011
+1.27%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 487
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.42% +16.80%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1987
+4.34%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 475
US Inflation Adjusted +5.57% +9.84%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2012
+1.43%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 475
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.62% +16.86%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1986
+3.88%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 463
US Inflation Adjusted +5.67% +9.52%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1986
+1.32%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 463
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.78% +16.58%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1987
+4.21%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 451
US Inflation Adjusted +5.82% +9.49%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1987
+1.54%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 451
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.91% +15.01%
Aug 1976 - Jul 1988
+4.54%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 439
US Inflation Adjusted +5.83% +8.29%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1994
+1.92%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 439
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.93% +14.58%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1989
+5.00%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 427
US Inflation Adjusted +5.89% +7.94%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1989
+2.30%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 427
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.86% +14.31%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1989
+5.76%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 415
US Inflation Adjusted +5.96% +7.80%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1989
+3.03%
Apr 1987 - Mar 2001
0.00%
0 out of 415
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.85% +13.37%
Jun 1976 - May 1991
+4.95%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 403
US Inflation Adjusted +6.01% +7.98%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
+2.50%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 403
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.71% +13.33%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1991
+5.02%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 391
US Inflation Adjusted +5.96% +7.64%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1998
+2.52%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 391
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.58% +13.42%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1993
+5.61%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 379
US Inflation Adjusted +5.92% +7.40%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1993
+3.02%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 379
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.56% +13.08%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1993
+6.24%
May 2006 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 367
US Inflation Adjusted +5.86% +7.16%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1993
+3.65%
May 2006 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 367
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.60% +12.27%
Sep 1976 - Aug 1995
+6.75%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 355
US Inflation Adjusted +5.82% +6.96%
Nov 2002 - Oct 2021
+3.93%
Mar 1990 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 355
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.63% +12.20%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1995
+6.91%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 343
US Inflation Adjusted +5.71% +6.68%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2010
+3.96%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2009
0.00%
0 out of 343
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

Loading data
Please wait
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Loading data
Please wait

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Marc Faber Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.