Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1976 to June 2024 (~49 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024

Holding the Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~49 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 52 months (from July 2019 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 53 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

LARRY SWEDROE LARRY PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to June 2024

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The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 2.42% (updated at Jun 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

LARRY SWEDROE LARRY PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 1994 - 30 June 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1976 - 30 June 2024 (~49 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +7.97% +39.36%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
-14.49%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
8.76%
50 out of 571
US Inflation Adjusted +4.22% +36.00%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1983
-20.97%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022
22.24%
127 out of 571
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.18% +29.59%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986
-6.73%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
3.94%
22 out of 559
US Inflation Adjusted +4.69% +26.17%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1986
-11.57%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
13.24%
74 out of 559
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.28% +22.54%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1985
-2.65%
May 2021 - Apr 2024
2.56%
14 out of 547
US Inflation Adjusted +4.77% +18.41%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1985
-7.72%
May 2021 - Apr 2024
11.88%
65 out of 547
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.21% +23.68%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
-0.62%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
0.19%
1 out of 535
US Inflation Adjusted +4.67% +20.02%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1986
-4.97%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
10.65%
57 out of 535
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.44% +21.25%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
+0.32%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 523
US Inflation Adjusted +5.02% +17.13%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986
-3.31%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022
9.18%
48 out of 523
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.49% +18.95%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1986
+0.52%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 511
US Inflation Adjusted +5.18% +14.49%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987
-3.11%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
6.85%
35 out of 511
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.61% +17.95%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1987
+1.53%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 499
US Inflation Adjusted +5.48% +13.27%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1989
-1.91%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
5.41%
27 out of 499
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.54% +16.94%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989
+1.91%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 487
US Inflation Adjusted +5.64% +12.74%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1989
-1.32%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
4.93%
24 out of 487
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.61% +15.69%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
+1.76%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 475
US Inflation Adjusted +5.83% +11.52%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993
-1.12%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
4.42%
21 out of 475
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.59% +15.98%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1992
+1.87%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 463
US Inflation Adjusted +5.89% +11.82%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1992
-0.89%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
2.81%
13 out of 463
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.69% +16.12%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1993
+2.45%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 451
US Inflation Adjusted +5.94% +12.00%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1993
-0.24%
May 2013 - Apr 2024
0.67%
3 out of 451
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.65% +16.02%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
+2.68%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 439
US Inflation Adjusted +5.81% +11.82%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993
+0.10%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 439
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.84% +15.20%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1993
+2.72%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 427
US Inflation Adjusted +5.85% +10.80%
Jul 1982 - Jun 1995
+0.08%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 427
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.64% +14.64%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994
+3.36%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 415
US Inflation Adjusted +5.73% +10.57%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1995
+0.70%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 415
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.98% +14.12%
Nov 1978 - Oct 1993
+3.48%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 403
US Inflation Adjusted +5.96% +10.26%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997
+1.07%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
0.00%
0 out of 403
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.01% +13.92%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
+3.27%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 391
US Inflation Adjusted +5.99% +10.08%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1997
+0.82%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 391
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.87% +13.39%
Feb 1977 - Jan 1994
+3.76%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 379
US Inflation Adjusted +5.91% +9.56%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998
+1.22%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 379
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.83% +13.41%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1993
+4.09%
May 2006 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 367
US Inflation Adjusted +6.11% +9.13%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999
+1.55%
May 2006 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 367
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +8.95% +12.63%
Apr 1980 - Mar 1999
+4.29%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 355
US Inflation Adjusted +6.19% +8.91%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2001
+1.70%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 355
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +9.06% +12.70%
Jan 1976 - Dec 1995
+4.56%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 343
US Inflation Adjusted +6.22% +8.84%
Jul 1982 - Jun 2002
+1.93%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 343
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.