The Fulvio Marchese In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Portfolio can be implemented with 5 ETFs. This portfolio has a high risk, indicating it can undergo considerable value changes. It is appropriate for investors with a high risk tolerance who are aiming for higher returns and can handle notable drawdowns.

The portfolio asset allocation is: 45% on the Stock Market, 45% on Fixed Income, 10% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 45% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as high risk.

With the current simulation settings, as of June 2026, in the previous 30 Years:

  • the Fulvio Marchese In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Portfolio obtained a 8.40% compound annual return, with a 9.74% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -26.33% that required 112 months to be recovered.
Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Table of contents

About the Author

Portfolio Overview

Asset Allocation and ETFs

To effectively implement the asset allocation of the Fulvio Marchese In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.

45% Stocks
45% Fixed Income
10% Commodities

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Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
45.00
VTI
→EUR Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
20.00
IEF
→EUR iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD)
15.00
LQD
→EUR iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term (USD)
10.00
SHY
→EUR iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond Bond, U.S., Short Term (USD)
10.00
GLD
→EUR SPDR Gold Trust Commodity, Gold (USD)
Not denominated in EUR. Returns are hypotetical, retrieved from the original ETF, applying currency exchange rates or hedging costs when needed.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Jun 30, 2026

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Capital Growth
Inflation Adj:
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Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Jun 30, 2026
1 Day Time ET(*) --- YTD
(6M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~73Y)
Investment Return --- --- 9.89 0.69 9.89 21.62 8.98 8.77 8.40 8.85
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted Return 7.36 0.79 7.36 18.42 4.54 5.81 6.22 6.01
Component Returns
VTI
→EUR Vanguard Total Stock Market --- 0 --- 16.83 1.59 16.83 30.90 13.81 15.08 10.73 11.28
IEF
→EUR iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond --- 0 --- 5.16 2.24 5.16 9.03 0.23 0.54 5.01 5.57
LQD
→EUR iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond --- 0 --- 6.14 2.10 6.14 10.63 1.08 2.40 5.46 5.83
SHY
→EUR iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond --- 0 --- 5.85 2.05 5.85 9.23 3.16 1.64 3.34 5.01
GLD
→EUR SPDR Gold Trust --- 0 --- -2.20 -9.93 -2.20 28.43 18.97 11.33 8.25 6.50
Not denominated in EUR. Returns are hypotetical, retrieved from the original asset, applying currency exchange rates or hedging costs when needed.
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
Eurozone Inflation is updated to Jun 2026. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.70% , 5Y: 4.25% , 10Y: 2.79% , 30Y: 2.06%
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Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Portfolio Metrics as of Jun 30, 2026

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 August 1953 - 30 June 2026 (~73 years)
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Metrics as of Jun 30, 2026
YTD
(6M)
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~73Y)
Investment Return (%)
9.89 0.69 7.28 9.89 21.62 13.43 8.98 8.77 8.88 8.40 8.85
Growth of 1€ 1.10 1.01 1.07 1.10 1.22 1.46 1.54 2.32 5.48 11.25 483.51
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
7.36 0.79 6.21 7.36 18.42 10.76 4.54 5.81 6.61 6.22 6.01
Eurozone Inflation (%) 2.35 -0.11 1.01 2.35 2.70 2.41 4.25 2.79 2.12 2.06 2.67
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -1.45 -9.66 -9.68 -9.68 -14.35 -26.33 -26.33
Start to Recovery (# months)
2 8 24 24 32 112 112
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 03 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 11 2000 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 2 12 12 13 29 29
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 04 2022 12 2022 12 2008 06 2003 03 2003 03
Bottom to End (# months) 1 6 12 12 19 83 83
End (yyyy mm) 2026 04 2025 10 2023 12 2023 12 2010 01 2010 02 2010 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -1.19
same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
3
Start (yyyy mm) 2025 12 2025 03 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 11 2000 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 2 12 12 13 29 29
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2025 12 2025 04 2022 12 2022 12 2008 06 2003 03 2003 03
Bottom to End (# months) 2 6 12 12 19 83 83
End (yyyy mm) 2026 02 2025 10 2023 12 2023 12 2010 01 2010 02 2010 02
Longest negative period (# months)
2 9 24 24 39 115 115
Start (yyyy mm) 2025 11 2024 08 2021 11 2021 11 2006 08 2000 04 2000 04
End (yyyy mm) 2025 12 2025 04 2023 10 2023 10 2009 10 2009 10 2009 10
Annualized Return (%) -1.56 -0.16 -1.02 -1.02 -0.33 -0.14 -0.14
Adjusting for units held makes the drawdown reflect real performance, just like in the no-cash-flow case.
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -2.69 -10.81 -17.29 -17.29 -18.61 -32.14 -32.14
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 9 34 34 37 134 134
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 02 2022 01 2022 01 2007 02 2000 11 2000 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 3 12 12 17 92 92
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 04 2022 12 2022 12 2008 06 2008 06 2008 06
Bottom to End (# months) 2 6 22 22 20 42 42
End (yyyy mm) 2026 05 2025 10 2024 10 2024 10 2010 02 2011 12 2011 12
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 02 2022 01 2022 01 2007 02 2000 11 2000 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 3 12 12 17 92 92
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 04 2022 12 2022 12 2008 06 2008 06 2008 06
Bottom to End (# months) 2 6 22 22 20 42 42
End (yyyy mm) 2026 05 2025 10 2024 10 2024 10 2010 02 2011 12 2011 12
Longest negative period (# months)
4 11 42 45 45 136 172
Start (yyyy mm) 2025 12 2024 08 2021 11 2020 02 2020 02 2000 05 1964 07
End (yyyy mm) 2026 03 2025 06 2025 04 2023 10 2023 10 2011 08 1978 10
Annualized Return (%) -0.83 -0.39 -0.10 -0.64 -0.64 -0.14 0.00
Adjusting for units held makes the drawdown reflect real performance, just like in the no-cash-flow case.
RISK INDICATORS - MISC
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 6.34 8.17 8.79 8.37 8.70 9.74 10.32
Sharpe Ratio 3.10 1.28 0.80 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.45
Sortino Ratio 4.13 1.67 1.09 1.35 1.30 0.96 0.64
Ulcer Index 0.52 2.90 3.70 3.39 4.20 8.59 7.34
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.41 1.64 1.02 1.05 1.02 0.86 0.86
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 14.92 1.39 0.93 0.91 0.62 0.32 0.34
Zero or Positive Months (%)
75.00 69.44 61.66 59.16 59.58 59.44 61.25
Zero or Positive Months 9 25 37 71 143 214 536
Negative Months 3 11 23 49 97 146 339
# Rebalances 1 3 5 10 20 30 73
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 8.77 11.68 11.68 19.38
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.00 0.81 0.81
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.81 10.21 10.21 14.65
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 4.39 -1.21 -2.08
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Jun 2026 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 47.57 22.64 18.27 11.68 8.91 8.40
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -23.18 -7.14 -2.65 0.81 5.33
Positive Periods (%) 79.0 85.5 93.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 45.40 21.02 16.32 10.21 6.81 6.22
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -24.96 -9.13 -4.80 -1.21 3.67
Positive Periods (%) 72.4 80.3 83.3 90.4 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
3.91 5.87 7.04 9.56 14.11 2.72 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 5.08 7.89 9.90 14.69 17.45 7.91 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
5.82 9.18 11.73 22.00 18.98 11.54 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 7.04 11.30 14.72 22.62 19.90 12.13 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 85.08 26.88 15.81 7.86 4.97 7.43
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 2.56 6.21
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Aug 1953 - Jun 2026)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 63.48 35.47 30.35 19.38 14.58 11.85
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -23.18 -7.14 -2.65 0.81 5.07 7.42
Positive Periods (%) 78.2 91.3 97.1 100.0 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 58.14 31.43 25.20 14.65 11.67 8.16
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -24.96 -9.18 -5.22 -2.08 1.55 4.27
Positive Periods (%) 70.9 82.1 85.4 92.0 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
4.15 6.23 7.49 9.59 6.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 5.39 8.37 10.52 13.87 14.29 2.07 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.18 9.75 12.46 17.06 17.66 7.68 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 7.47 11.99 15.63 20.38 18.57 10.70 0.00 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 85.08 26.88 15.81 7.86 4.97 4.91
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.71 3.60
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio. When cashflows are involved, it is calculated using the Money-Weighted Rate of Return (MWRR), based on the Modified Dietz formula.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration. When cashflows are involved, portfolio values are normalized by the invested capital (i.e. owned quotes) at each time step: this isolates the effect of market performance from capital contributions, avoiding misleading drawdowns caused by large inflows that artificially lift portfolio value and, as a result, the drawdowns match the ones without cash flows.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is based on the portfolio's composition currency:
    • USD → BIL (SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF)
    • CAD → CBIL.TO (CI First Asset Government 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF)
    • EUR → XEON.DE (Xtrackers II EUR Overnight Rate Swap ETF)
    • GBP → XSTR.L (Xtrackers II GBP Overnight Rate Swap ETF)
    • any other currency → defaults to BIL (USD)
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Inflation Adj:
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Rolling Return Analysis

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns — Over Time & Distribution

Holding Periods and Returns

Holding periods are based on rolling periods: each rolling window represents the return an investor would have achieved by holding the investment for a fixed period (e.g., 10, 20, or 30 years) starting from different dates.

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Inflation Adj:
Percentiles: Changes pending. Click 'Update' to refresh

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Time to Target

What it shows: Months to reach your target capital from each historical entry point, accounting for your initial investment and periodic contributions.

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Time to reach your Target Capital

Monthly Returns and Seasonality

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Fulvio Marchese In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

FULVIO MARCHESE IN SAECULA SAECULORUM TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution

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Monthly Seasonality Analysis
72 full years are available for analysis

Returns, up to December 2004, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

For non-EUR assets, returns are calculated based on the performance of the original asset, adjusted for actual currency exchange rates.

You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:

  • Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI) to EUR, up to December 2001
  • iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (IEF) to EUR, up to December 2002
  • iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond (LQD) to EUR, up to December 2002
  • iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR, up to December 2002
  • SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) to EUR, up to December 2004

Portfolio efficiency

Compare Fulvio Marchese In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.


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Allocation
Stocks Bonds Comm Ann.
Return
Standard
Deviation
Ulcer
Index
Deepest
Drawdown
Longest
Drawdown
Longest
Neg.Period
Avg
Rank

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Stocks Bonds Comm Ann.
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Index
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Drawdown
Longest
Drawdown
Longest
Neg.Period
Avg
Rank

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Stocks Bonds Comm Ann.
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Ulcer
Index
Deepest
Drawdown
Longest
Drawdown
Longest
Neg.Period
Avg
Rank
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