Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2009 to January 2024 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 January 2024

Holding the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~15 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 46 months (from December 2013 to September 2017).

This means that every rolling period of 47 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

HARRY BROWNE PERMANENT PORTFOLIO WITH BITCOIN
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 February 2014 - 31 January 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 31 January 2024 (~15 years)
Inflation Adjusted:
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -16.38 11/2021
10/2022
0.83$ -2.10 0.97$ 8.28 1.08$ 17.26 1.17$ 36.15 01/2017
12/2017
1.36$ 7.54 18.35%
2Y -5.18 11/2021
10/2023
0.89$ -0.93 0.98$ 11.11 1.23$ 15.62 1.33$ 21.18 01/2016
12/2017
1.46$ 0.68 18.56%
3Y 0.22 10/2020
09/2023
1.00$ 3.44 1.10$ 11.97 1.40$ 14.68 1.50$ 17.59 08/2017
07/2020
1.62$ 1.64 0.00%
4Y 3.57 11/2019
10/2023
1.15$ 6.43 1.28$ 10.08 1.46$ 14.39 1.71$ 17.23 01/2017
12/2020
1.88$ 5.00 0.00%
5Y 4.76 01/2018
12/2022
1.26$ 6.53 1.37$ 10.47 1.64$ 13.92 1.91$ 15.30 01/2016
12/2020
2.03$ 7.60 0.00%
6Y 6.07 02/2018
01/2024
1.42$ 8.03 1.58$ 10.48 1.81$ 12.60 2.03$ 13.60 01/2016
12/2021
2.14$ 6.07 0.00%
7Y 7.88 10/2016
09/2023
1.70$ 8.77 1.80$ 9.76 1.91$ 11.04 2.08$ 11.55 11/2014
10/2021
2.14$ 9.76 0.00%
8Y 7.60 11/2014
10/2022
1.79$ 7.86 1.83$ 8.60 1.93$ 9.63 2.08$ 10.14 02/2014
01/2022
2.16$ 9.63 0.00%
9Y 7.59 10/2014
09/2023
1.93$ 7.59 1.93$ 8.00 1.99$ 8.25 2.04$ 8.44 01/2015
12/2023
2.07$ 8.00 0.00%
10Y 8.18 02/2014
01/2024
2.19$ 8.18 2.19$ 8.18 2.19$ 8.18 2.19$ 8.18 02/2014
01/2024
2.19$ 8.18 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -22.40 11/2021
10/2022
0.77$ -3.70 0.96$ 4.72 1.04$ 15.04 1.15$ 33.31 01/2017
12/2017
1.33$ 4.30 24.77%
2Y -10.71 01/2021
12/2022
0.79$ -6.55 0.87$ 7.24 1.15$ 13.54 1.28$ 18.70 01/2016
12/2017
1.40$ -3.86 22.68%
3Y -5.21 10/2020
09/2023
0.85$ -1.75 0.94$ 9.61 1.31$ 11.64 1.39$ 15.40 08/2017
07/2020
1.53$ -3.81 20.00%
4Y -0.96 11/2019
10/2023
0.96$ 1.94 1.07$ 8.26 1.37$ 12.06 1.57$ 15.00 01/2017
12/2020
1.74$ 0.41 4.11%
5Y 0.91 01/2018
12/2022
1.04$ 2.56 1.13$ 8.42 1.49$ 11.27 1.70$ 13.08 01/2016
12/2020
1.84$ 3.30 0.00%
6Y 2.28 02/2018
01/2024
1.14$ 4.38 1.29$ 8.51 1.63$ 10.18 1.78$ 10.91 09/2015
08/2021
1.86$ 2.28 0.00%
7Y 4.21 10/2016
09/2023
1.33$ 5.17 1.42$ 6.39 1.54$ 8.86 1.81$ 9.38 02/2014
01/2021
1.87$ 6.06 0.00%
8Y 4.57 03/2015
02/2023
1.42$ 4.72 1.44$ 5.40 1.52$ 6.31 1.63$ 7.65 02/2014
01/2022
1.80$ 6.07 0.00%
9Y 4.54 11/2014
10/2023
1.49$ 4.55 1.49$ 5.03 1.55$ 5.31 1.59$ 5.35 02/2014
01/2023
1.59$ 4.73 0.00%
10Y 5.24 02/2014
01/2024
1.66$ 5.24 1.66$ 5.24 1.66$ 5.24 1.66$ 5.24 02/2014
01/2024
1.66$ 5.24 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -29.51 07/2011
06/2012
0.70$ 0.90 1.00$ 12.98 1.12$ 34.71 1.34$ 190.49 12/2012
11/2013
2.90$ 7.54 14.71%
2Y -10.69 07/2011
06/2013
0.79$ 2.07 1.04$ 14.83 1.31$ 41.95 2.01$ 85.83 12/2011
11/2013
3.45$ 0.68 13.29%
3Y -4.81 12/2013
11/2016
0.86$ 4.84 1.15$ 14.55 1.50$ 33.06 2.35$ 67.14 12/2010
11/2013
4.66$ 1.64 0.68%
4Y 3.04 12/2013
11/2017
1.12$ 7.42 1.33$ 14.92 1.74$ 28.90 2.76$ 51.63 12/2009
11/2013
5.28$ 5.00 0.00%
5Y 2.79 12/2013
11/2018
1.14$ 8.30 1.48$ 14.73 1.98$ 33.10 4.17$ 37.50 03/2009
02/2014
4.91$ 7.60 0.00%
6Y 5.04 12/2013
11/2019
1.34$ 9.43 1.71$ 18.75 2.80$ 28.33 4.46$ 31.64 03/2009
02/2015
5.20$ 6.07 0.00%
7Y 6.65 12/2013
11/2020
1.56$ 9.39 1.87$ 20.46 3.68$ 25.62 4.93$ 27.22 02/2011
01/2018
5.39$ 9.76 0.00%
8Y 7.05 12/2013
11/2021
1.72$ 8.60 1.93$ 20.19 4.35$ 24.18 5.65$ 26.37 02/2010
01/2018
6.50$ 9.63 0.00%
9Y 4.71 12/2013
11/2022
1.51$ 8.22 2.03$ 19.74 5.06$ 23.56 6.71$ 24.66 03/2009
02/2018
7.26$ 8.00 0.00%
10Y 5.08 12/2013
11/2023
1.64$ 14.93 4.02$ 18.72 5.56$ 22.31 7.49$ 23.14 08/2010
07/2020
8.01$ 8.18 0.00%
11Y 11.42 07/2011
06/2022
3.28$ 15.16 4.72$ 20.22 7.57$ 21.67 8.64$ 22.17 08/2009
07/2020
9.04$ 15.53 0.00%
12Y 11.01 07/2011
06/2023
3.50$ 14.80 5.24$ 18.69 7.81$ 20.92 9.77$ 21.18 05/2009
04/2021
10.02$ 14.80 0.00%
13Y 16.49 11/2010
10/2023
7.27$ 16.98 7.68$ 17.72 8.34$ 19.12 9.71$ 19.82 03/2009
02/2022
10.49$ 16.98 0.00%
14Y 16.56 10/2009
09/2023
8.54$ 16.65 8.63$ 17.23 9.26$ 17.60 9.67$ 17.71 05/2009
04/2023
9.80$ 17.23 0.00%
15Y 16.55 01/2009
12/2023
9.94$ 16.55 9.94$ 16.55 9.94$ 16.82 10.30$ 16.82 02/2009
01/2024
10.30$ 16.82 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods
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Rolling
Period
Worst Period
15th Percentile
50th Percentile
85th Percentile
Best Period
Latest Negative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -30.65 07/2011
06/2012
0.69$ -2.53 0.97$ 10.27 1.10$ 30.70 1.30$ 186.95 12/2012
11/2013
2.86$ 4.30 18.82%
2Y -12.17 07/2011
06/2013
0.77$ -2.70 0.94$ 12.50 1.26$ 40.45 1.97$ 83.06 12/2011
11/2013
3.35$ -3.86 15.82%
3Y -5.86 12/2013
11/2016
0.83$ 3.37 1.10$ 11.52 1.38$ 31.76 2.28$ 63.61 12/2010
11/2013
4.37$ -3.81 12.33%
4Y -0.96 11/2019
10/2023
0.96$ 3.05 1.12$ 12.30 1.59$ 27.30 2.62$ 48.82 12/2009
11/2013
4.90$ 0.41 2.24%
5Y 0.91 01/2018
12/2022
1.04$ 4.05 1.21$ 12.33 1.78$ 30.73 3.81$ 34.72 03/2009
02/2014
4.43$ 3.30 0.00%
6Y 2.28 02/2018
01/2024
1.14$ 5.70 1.39$ 17.16 2.58$ 26.31 4.06$ 29.44 03/2009
02/2015
4.70$ 2.28 0.00%
7Y 4.21 10/2016
09/2023
1.33$ 5.91 1.49$ 18.68 3.31$ 23.58 4.40$ 25.13 07/2009
06/2016
4.80$ 6.06 0.00%
8Y 4.57 03/2015
02/2023
1.42$ 5.29 1.51$ 18.19 3.80$ 22.09 4.93$ 24.26 02/2010
01/2018
5.68$ 6.07 0.00%
9Y 1.91 12/2013
11/2022
1.18$ 5.27 1.58$ 17.52 4.27$ 21.36 5.70$ 22.47 03/2009
02/2018
6.19$ 4.73 0.00%
10Y 2.23 12/2013
11/2023
1.24$ 11.88 3.07$ 16.23 4.50$ 20.23 6.31$ 21.04 08/2010
07/2020
6.74$ 5.24 0.00%
11Y 8.70 07/2011
06/2022
2.50$ 12.20 3.54$ 17.57 5.93$ 19.50 7.09$ 20.13 08/2009
07/2020
7.51$ 12.52 0.00%
12Y 8.26 07/2011
06/2023
2.59$ 11.90 3.85$ 15.70 5.75$ 18.60 7.74$ 18.95 03/2009
02/2021
8.02$ 11.90 0.00%
13Y 13.49 11/2010
10/2023
5.17$ 13.99 5.48$ 14.72 5.96$ 16.35 7.15$ 17.17 03/2009
02/2022
7.84$ 13.99 0.00%
14Y 13.66 10/2009
09/2023
6.00$ 13.76 6.08$ 14.33 6.52$ 14.72 6.83$ 14.77 05/2009
04/2023
6.88$ 14.31 0.00%
15Y 13.64 01/2009
12/2023
6.80$ 13.64 6.80$ 13.64 6.80$ 13.91 7.05$ 13.91 02/2009
01/2024
7.05$ 13.91 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.98% +190.49%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013
-29.51%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012
14.71%
25 out of 170
US Inflation Adjusted +10.27% +186.95%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013
-30.65%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012
18.82%
32 out of 170
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.83% +85.83%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
-10.69%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2013
13.29%
21 out of 158
US Inflation Adjusted +12.50% +83.06%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
-12.17%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2013
15.82%
25 out of 158
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.55% +67.14%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013
-4.81%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016
0.68%
1 out of 146
US Inflation Adjusted +11.52% +63.61%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013
-5.86%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016
12.33%
18 out of 146
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.92% +51.63%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013
+3.04%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2017
0.00%
0 out of 134
US Inflation Adjusted +12.30% +48.82%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013
-0.96%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
2.24%
3 out of 134
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.73% +37.50%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
+2.79%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2018
0.00%
0 out of 122
US Inflation Adjusted +12.33% +34.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
+0.91%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
0.00%
0 out of 122
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.75% +31.64%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
+5.04%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2019
0.00%
0 out of 110
US Inflation Adjusted +17.16% +29.44%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
+2.28%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024
0.00%
0 out of 110
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.46% +27.22%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2018
+6.65%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2020
0.00%
0 out of 98
US Inflation Adjusted +18.68% +25.13%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2016
+4.21%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 98
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.19% +26.37%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018
+7.05%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2021
0.00%
0 out of 86
US Inflation Adjusted +18.19% +24.26%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018
+4.57%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 86
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +19.74% +24.66%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
+4.71%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022
0.00%
0 out of 74
US Inflation Adjusted +17.52% +22.47%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
+1.91%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022
0.00%
0 out of 74
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.72% +23.14%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2020
+5.08%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023
0.00%
0 out of 62
US Inflation Adjusted +16.23% +21.04%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2020
+2.23%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023
0.00%
0 out of 62
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.22% +22.17%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2020
+11.42%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022
0.00%
0 out of 50
US Inflation Adjusted +17.57% +20.13%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2020
+8.70%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022
0.00%
0 out of 50
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.69% +21.18%
May 2009 - Apr 2021
+11.01%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023
0.00%
0 out of 38
US Inflation Adjusted +15.70% +18.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
+8.26%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023
0.00%
0 out of 38
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +17.72% +19.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
+16.49%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 26
US Inflation Adjusted +14.72% +17.17%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
+13.49%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 26
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +17.23% +17.71%
May 2009 - Apr 2023
+16.56%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 14
US Inflation Adjusted +14.33% +14.77%
May 2009 - Apr 2023
+13.66%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 14
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +16.55% +16.82%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024
+16.55%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023
0.00%
0 out of 2
US Inflation Adjusted +13.64% +13.91%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024
+13.64%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023
0.00%
0 out of 2
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns page.