When holding the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 46 months (from December 2013 to September 2017).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 47 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-32.36%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012 |
+12.24% |
+200.76%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013 |
10.75%
20 out of 186 |
-33.46%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012 |
+9.61% |
+197.10%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013 |
14.52%
27 out of 186 |
-10.07%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2013 |
+13.64% |
+89.88%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 |
10.34%
18 out of 174 |
-11.56%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2013 |
+10.47% |
+87.05%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 |
14.37%
25 out of 174 |
-4.91%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 |
+13.71% |
+66.67%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 |
0.62%
1 out of 162 |
-5.96%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 |
+11.19% |
+63.15%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 |
17.90%
29 out of 162 |
+2.54%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2017 |
+13.36% |
+51.28%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 150 |
-0.47%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
+11.19% |
+48.47%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 |
3.33%
5 out of 150 |
+3.21%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2018 |
+13.64% |
+36.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 138 |
+0.72%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022 |
+11.22% |
+34.19%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 138 |
+4.79%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2019 |
+12.74% |
+30.79%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 126 |
+2.34%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023 |
+10.19% |
+28.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 126 |
+6.15%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2020 |
+15.51% |
+26.86%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 114 |
+3.35%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2024 |
+13.74% |
+24.76%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 114 |
+6.75%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2021 |
+19.26% |
+25.87%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 102 |
+4.44%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2021 |
+17.10% |
+23.77%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 102 |
+4.64%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 |
+19.07% |
+24.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 90 |
+1.85%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 |
+16.48% |
+22.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 90 |
+5.02%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 |
+16.91% |
+22.42%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 78 |
+2.18%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 |
+14.31% |
+20.33%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 78 |
+6.21%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2024 |
+15.80% |
+21.50%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 66 |
+3.34%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2024 |
+12.83% |
+19.29%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 66 |
+10.72%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 |
+16.71% |
+20.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 54 |
+7.97%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 |
+13.76% |
+18.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 54 |
+10.88%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+16.85% |
+19.47%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 42 |
+8.09%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+13.86% |
+16.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 42 |
+12.99%
Jun 2011 - May 2025 |
+16.98% |
+17.33%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 30 |
+10.16%
Jun 2011 - May 2025 |
+14.05% |
+14.41%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 30 |
+16.45%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 |
+16.74% |
+17.08%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 18 |
+13.54%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 |
+13.78% |
+14.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 18 |
+16.21%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024 |
+16.51% |
+16.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 6 |
+13.29%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024 |
+13.56% |
+13.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 6 |
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns