Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2009 to March 2024 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~15 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 44 months (from December 2013 to July 2017).

This means that every rolling period of 45 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

GOLDEN BUTTERFLY WITH BITCOIN PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 2014 - 31 March 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2009 - 31 March 2024 (~15 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.14% +201.14%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013 		-30.25%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012 		15.70%
27 out of 172
US Inflation Adjusted +11.48% +197.47%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013 		-31.39%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012 		18.02%
31 out of 172
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +15.38% +91.13%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 		-9.53%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015 		9.38%
15 out of 160
US Inflation Adjusted +12.85% +88.28%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 		-11.52%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 		15.63%
25 out of 160
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.45% +69.74%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 		-3.48%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 		0.68%
1 out of 148
US Inflation Adjusted +12.16% +66.16%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 		-4.55%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 		10.14%
15 out of 148
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +15.35% +54.49%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 		+3.75%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 136
US Inflation Adjusted +12.94% +51.63%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 		-0.79%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 		1.47%
2 out of 136
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +15.48% +41.04%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 		+3.82%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2018 		0.00%
0 out of 124
US Inflation Adjusted +13.08% +38.19%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 		+1.15%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 124
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.78% +34.49%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 		+5.67%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2019 		0.00%
0 out of 112
US Inflation Adjusted +17.17% +32.24%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 		+2.39%
Feb 2018 - Jan 2024 		0.00%
0 out of 112
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.52% +28.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 		+6.87%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2020 		0.00%
0 out of 100
US Inflation Adjusted +18.69% +26.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016 		+4.81%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 100
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.96% +28.03%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018 		+7.91%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2021 		0.00%
0 out of 88
US Inflation Adjusted +19.00% +25.89%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018 		+5.30%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 88
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.94% +27.00%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 		+5.56%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 76
US Inflation Adjusted +18.83% +24.77%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 		+2.74%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 76
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +19.82% +24.27%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 		+5.56%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 64
US Inflation Adjusted +17.57% +22.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019 		+2.70%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 64
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +20.80% +23.13%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 		+12.30%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 52
US Inflation Adjusted +18.10% +20.92%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020 		+9.56%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 52
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +19.73% +23.03%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 		+11.81%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 40
US Inflation Adjusted +16.74% +20.85%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 		+9.03%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 40
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.70% +21.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 		+17.28%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 28
US Inflation Adjusted +15.78% +18.91%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 		+14.26%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 28
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.23% +19.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 		+17.47%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 16
US Inflation Adjusted +15.23% +16.22%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 		+14.55%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 16
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +18.06% +18.60%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024 		+17.68%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 4
US Inflation Adjusted +15.11% +15.61%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 		+14.75%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 4
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Golden Butterfly with Bitcoin Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.