Aim Ways Gold Pivot Ptf To EUR Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - April 2026 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Aim Ways Gold Pivot Ptf To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 90 months (from March 1985 to August 1992).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 91 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AIM WAYS GOLD PIVOT PTF TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 May 1996 - 30 April 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2026 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1996/05 - 2026/04)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2026/04)

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As of Apr 30, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 9.33%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AIM WAYS GOLD PIVOT PTF TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 May 1996 - 30 April 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2026 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1996/05 - 2026/04)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2026/04)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AIM WAYS GOLD PIVOT PTF TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2026 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-19.27%
Nov 1989 - Oct 1990
+7.43% +40.17%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2000
25.36%
123 out of 485
-22.77%
Nov 1989 - Oct 1990
+5.19% +37.36%
Sep 1999 - Aug 2000
34.64%
168 out of 485
-10.53%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+6.97% +31.67%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
13.32%
63 out of 473
-12.49%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+4.53% +29.63%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
28.96%
137 out of 473
-6.32%
May 2000 - Apr 2003
+6.99% +20.64%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
10.63%
49 out of 461
-8.50%
May 2000 - Apr 2003
+4.54% +19.04%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
17.35%
80 out of 461
-4.38%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004
+7.44% +20.56%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
6.46%
29 out of 449
-6.45%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004
+5.29% +18.78%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
12.47%
56 out of 449
-2.47%
May 2000 - Apr 2005
+7.79% +19.09%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
5.49%
24 out of 437
-4.62%
May 2000 - Apr 2005
+5.25% +17.21%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
9.38%
41 out of 437
-1.76%
Feb 1985 - Jan 1991
+8.16% +16.36%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
0.94%
4 out of 425
-3.45%
Feb 1985 - Jan 1991
+5.84% +14.34%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
7.76%
33 out of 425
-0.05%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1992
+7.68% +13.91%
May 1993 - Apr 2000
0.24%
1 out of 413
-2.29%
Sep 1985 - Aug 1992
+5.75% +11.76%
May 1993 - Apr 2000
6.30%
26 out of 413
+0.42%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008
+7.70% +15.87%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 401
-1.90%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008
+5.89% +13.50%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
2.74%
11 out of 401
+1.37%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2009
+7.85% +13.81%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2000
0.00%
0 out of 389
-0.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2009
+5.68% +11.16%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2000
2.06%
8 out of 389
+2.32%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
+7.87% +14.01%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 377
-0.05%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1995
+5.67% +11.34%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
0.53%
2 out of 377
+3.68%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1996
+7.82% +11.50%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2002
0.00%
0 out of 365
+1.28%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1996
+5.61% +8.93%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2002
0.00%
0 out of 365
+4.61%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1997
+7.65% +10.43%
May 1988 - Apr 2000
0.00%
0 out of 353
+2.21%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996
+5.51% +9.05%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 353
+4.52%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
+7.75% +10.23%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 341
+2.41%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
+5.58% +8.66%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 341
+4.60%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+7.94% +9.65%
May 2008 - Apr 2022
0.00%
0 out of 329
+2.52%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+5.68% +7.87%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 329
+5.20%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+7.68% +9.54%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2024
0.00%
0 out of 317
+3.25%
Aug 1993 - Jul 2008
+5.51% +7.67%
May 2005 - Apr 2020
0.00%
0 out of 317
+5.61%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016
+7.40% +9.96%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 305
+3.50%
Jun 1987 - May 2003
+5.40% +7.67%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2024
0.00%
0 out of 305
+5.24%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+7.49% +10.23%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
0.00%
0 out of 293
+3.13%
Jun 1986 - May 2003
+5.42% +8.01%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025
0.00%
0 out of 293
+5.15%
Jun 1985 - May 2003
+7.64% +9.92%
May 2008 - Apr 2026
0.00%
0 out of 281
+2.93%
Jun 1985 - May 2003
+5.60% +7.73%
May 2008 - Apr 2026
0.00%
0 out of 281
+5.08%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
+7.75% +9.47%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 269
+2.90%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2004
+5.70% +7.22%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 269
+4.88%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005
+7.42% +9.61%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2012
0.00%
0 out of 257
+2.71%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2005
+5.46% +7.35%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2012
0.00%
0 out of 257
+5.80%
Feb 1985 - Jan 2010
+7.53% +8.86%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2015
0.00%
0 out of 197
+3.65%
Feb 1985 - Jan 2010
+5.33% +6.84%
May 1995 - Apr 2020
0.00%
0 out of 197
+6.64%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014
+7.58% +8.71%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020
0.00%
0 out of 137
+4.51%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014
+5.45% +6.72%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020
0.00%
0 out of 137
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