Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024
Holding the Dynamic 40/60 Income Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?
Considering all the available data source (~32 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 69 months (from June 2003 to February 2009).
This means that every rolling period of 70 months or above has always granted a positive return.
To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Dynamic 40/60 Income Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?
In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.
Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area
The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 4.62% (updated at Mar 31, 2024).
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +7.23% |
+45.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-27.71%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
13.03%
49 out of 376 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.99% |
+42.75%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
-27.72%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
21.01%
79 out of 376 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +7.28% |
+27.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-14.95%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
9.07%
33 out of 364 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.67% |
+25.19%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
-16.66%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
12.91%
47 out of 364 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +7.27% |
+20.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
-7.96%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
3.69%
13 out of 352 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.83% |
+17.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
-9.92%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009 |
13.64%
48 out of 352 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.89% |
+17.20%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
-4.50%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
2.06%
7 out of 340 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.89% |
+14.57%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
-6.86%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
9.71%
33 out of 340 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.94% |
+15.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
-2.29%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
0.91%
3 out of 328 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.90% |
+12.80%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
-4.81%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
7.93%
26 out of 328 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.89% |
+13.71%
Apr 1992 - Mar 1998 |
+1.25%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 316 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.70% |
+11.79%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
-1.39%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
6.01%
19 out of 316 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.60% |
+12.44%
May 1992 - Apr 1999 |
+1.44%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 304 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.58% |
+9.67%
May 1992 - Apr 1999 |
-1.11%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
1.32%
4 out of 304 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.48% |
+11.98%
Jan 1992 - Dec 1999 |
+2.25%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 292 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.40% |
+9.37%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017 |
-0.15%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009 |
0.34%
1 out of 292 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.53% |
+11.78%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2003 |
+2.56%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 280 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.43% |
+9.18%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2003 |
+0.04%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 280 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.55% |
+11.43%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2004 |
+3.40%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 268 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.38% |
+8.74%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2004 |
+0.79%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 268 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.73% |
+10.86%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2005 |
+3.33%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 256 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.29% |
+8.09%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2005 |
+0.81%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 256 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.70% |
+10.83%
Feb 1992 - Jan 2004 |
+4.34%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
0.00%
0 out of 244 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.23% |
+8.12%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2004 |
+1.88%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 244 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.77% |
+10.60%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2004 |
+4.46%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 232 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.35% |
+7.85%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2004 |
+1.81%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 232 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.79% |
+10.23%
Feb 1992 - Jan 2006 |
+4.76%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 220 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.42% |
+7.41%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2005 |
+2.65%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 220 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.85% |
+10.14%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2006 |
+4.34%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 208 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.45% |
+7.35%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2006 |
+1.92%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 208 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.72% |
+9.53%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2007 |
+4.35%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 196 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.44% |
+6.66%
Jan 1992 - Dec 2007 |
+1.87%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 196 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.73% |
+8.78%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2012 |
+4.46%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 184 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.48% |
+6.16%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2012 |
+1.91%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 184 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.72% |
+8.86%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2012 |
+4.75%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 172 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.50% |
+6.27%
Jan 1995 - Dec 2012 |
+2.22%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 172 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.76% |
+8.87%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 |
+4.81%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 160 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.49% |
+6.18%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 |
+2.21%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 160 |
Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)
Median | Best | Worst | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +6.74% |
+8.70%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2012 |
+4.99%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 148 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +4.54% |
+6.22%
Dec 1994 - Nov 2014 |
+2.35%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 148 |
To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Dynamic 40/60 Income Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.