Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1970 - March 2025 (~55 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2025
Live Update available for April 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1970)
Live
Inflation Adjusted:
Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
15.64$
Final Capital
March 2025
9.60%
Yearly Return
15.54%
Std Deviation
-52.14%
Max Drawdown
59months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
7.40$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.90%
Yearly Return
15.54%
Std Deviation
-52.93%
Max Drawdown
65months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1970
234.36$
Final Capital
March 2025
10.38%
Yearly Return
15.59%
Std Deviation
-52.14%
Max Drawdown
59months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1970
27.64$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.19%
Yearly Return
15.59%
Std Deviation
-53.64%
Max Drawdown
124months
Recovery Period
---
1 Day: ---
---
Month: ---

The Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio can be implemented with 2 ETFs. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

The portfolio asset allocation is: 100% on the Stock Market, 0% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 0% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.

As of March 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio obtained a 9.60% compound annual return, with a 15.54% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -52.14% that required 59 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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About the Author

Dedalo Invest

Dedalo Invest offers a wide range of tools for portfolio analysis and replication. Dedalo Invest’s database includes both actively and passively managed funds, such as ETFs. Users can access all articles, some ebooks, and many analysis services for free (with some limitations).

The main services of Dedalo Invest are:

  • Hourly-based financial consulting, which minimizes potential conflicts of interest between the client and the consultant/coach;
  • Dollar cost averaging (DCA) and Value Averaging (VA) analysis, linear correlation analysis, relative strength analysis and many others.
  • Model portfolios.

Portfolio Overview

The Dedalo Three Lazy portfolio, in its original composition for EU investors, is composed by 3 ETFs. In its US version, it can be implemented with only 2 ETFs

The portfolio is described in detail in the official Dedalo Invest page.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

To effectively implement the asset allocation of the Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.

100% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

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Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 ETF
Currency		 ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
70.00
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
30.00
VT
USD Vanguard Total World Stock Equity, Global, Large Cap (USD)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

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Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Mar 31, 2025

The Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
DEDALO INVEST DEDALO THREE PORTFOLIO
1 January 1970 - 31 March 2025 (~55 years)
Live Update: April 2025
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  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2025
  1 Day Time ET(*) --- YTD
(3M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~55Y)
Investment Return --- --- -3.68 -5.15 -2.18 7.17 17.30 10.91 9.60 10.38
US Inflation Adjusted Return -4.28 -5.10 -3.71 4.66 12.39 7.60 6.90 6.19
Components
VTI
USD Vanguard Total Stock Market --- --- --- -4.83 -5.86 -2.28 7.17 18.10 11.76 10.30 10.66
VT
USD Vanguard Total World Stock --- --- --- -0.98 -3.52 -2.09 6.98 15.37 8.90 7.84 9.53
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
US Inflation is updated to Mar 2025. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.39% , 5Y: 4.37% , 10Y: 3.08% , 30Y: 2.53%

In 2024, the Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio granted a 1.47% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

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Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2025

An investment of 1$, from April 1995 to March 2025, would be worth 15.64$, with a total return of 1464.00% (9.60% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 7.40$, with a net total return of 639.69% (6.90% annualized).

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An investment of 1$, from January 1970 to March 2025, would be worth 234.36$, with a total return of 23336.13% (10.38% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 27.64$, with a net total return of 2663.68% (6.19% annualized).

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Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2025

Metrics of Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio, updated as of 31 March 2025, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
DEDALO INVEST DEDALO THREE PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 January 1970 - 31 March 2025 (~55 years)
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Metrics as of Mar 31, 2025
YTD
(3M) 		1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~55Y)
Investment Return (%)
-3.68 -5.15 -3.68 -2.18 7.17 7.77 17.30 10.91 9.45 9.60 10.38
Growth of 1$ 0.96 0.95 0.96 0.98 1.07 1.25 2.22 2.82 6.09 15.64 234.36
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
-4.28 -5.10 -4.28 -3.71 4.66 4.03 12.39 7.60 6.73 6.90 6.19
US Inflation (%) 0.63 -0.05 0.63 1.59 2.39 3.60 4.37 3.08 2.55 2.53 3.94
Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.58 -6.58 -20.72 -25.03 -25.03 -52.14 -52.14 -52.14
Start to Recovery (# months)
4* 4* 16 24 24 59 59 59
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 04 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 6 9 9 16 16 16
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2025 03 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 0 10 15 15 43 43 43
End (yyyy mm) - 2023 07 2023 12 2023 12 2012 09 2012 09 2012 09
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same
same
same
same
same		 -44.69 -44.69
Start to Recovery (# months)
65 65
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 04 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 6 9 9 16 25 25
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2025 03 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 2002 09
Bottom to End (# months) 0 10 15 15 43 40 40
End (yyyy mm) - 2023 07 2023 12 2023 12 2012 09 2006 01 2006 01
Longest negative period (# months)
7* 19 30 30 66 137 137
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2022 04 2021 05 2021 05 2006 04 1997 10 1997 10
End (yyyy mm) 2025 03 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2011 09 2009 02 2009 02
Annualized Return (%) -0.24 -4.56 -1.02 -1.02 -0.33 0.00 0.00
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -7.53 -7.53 -23.08 -28.96 -28.96 -52.93 -52.93 -53.64
Start to Recovery (# months)
4* 4* 23 30 30 65 65 124
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 04 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 1973 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 6 9 9 16 16 21
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2025 03 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 1974 09
Bottom to End (# months) 0 17 21 21 49 49 103
End (yyyy mm) - 2024 02 2024 06 2024 06 2013 03 2013 03 1983 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same
same
same
same
same		 -47.34
same
Start to Recovery (# months)
85
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 12 2022 04 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2000 04 1973 01
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 6 9 9 16 30 21
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2025 03 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2002 09 1974 09
Bottom to End (# months) 0 17 21 21 49 55 103
End (yyyy mm) - 2024 02 2024 06 2024 06 2013 03 2007 04 1983 04
Longest negative period (# months)
7* 22 35 35 78 156 156
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2022 04 2020 12 2020 12 2005 04 2000 01 2000 01
End (yyyy mm) 2025 03 2024 01 2023 10 2023 10 2011 09 2012 12 2012 12
Annualized Return (%) -3.21 -0.01 -1.26 -1.26 -0.43 -0.01 -0.01
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 11.74 17.07 16.69 15.44 15.51 15.54 15.59
Sharpe Ratio 0.19 0.21 0.89 0.60 0.51 0.47 0.38
Sortino Ratio 0.26 0.29 1.22 0.79 0.67 0.62 0.51
Ulcer Index 2.37 7.67 8.47 7.03 12.52 14.63 12.66
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.61 0.45 1.04 0.71 0.61 0.62 0.67
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.09 0.37 0.69 0.44 0.18 0.18 0.20
Positive Months (%)
58.33 55.55 61.66 67.50 65.83 64.72 62.74
Positive Months 7 20 37 81 158 233 416
Negative Months 5 16 23 39 82 127 247
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 10.91 15.74 15.74 19.46
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 5.70 -2.17 -2.17
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.60 13.74 13.74 14.44
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 3.88 -4.64 -4.64
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Mar 2025 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 61.38 26.92 23.46 15.74 10.08 9.60
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -44.93 -16.32 -5.57 -2.17 4.59
Positive Periods (%) 77.6 83.0 86.0 96.2 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 57.26 24.03 20.46 13.74 7.43 6.90
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -44.94 -18.33 -8.00 -4.64 2.46
Positive Periods (%) 74.4 79.3 73.7 89.2 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.51 10.18 12.86 21.33 27.09 5.56 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.37 13.40 17.43 31.83 33.31 11.83 7.29 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
9.57 15.47 20.35 39.79 37.92 17.80 16.41 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.51 18.84 25.12 42.61 40.07 21.43 19.72 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 71.31 22.96 14.30 7.63 4.71 8.06
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.81 6.97
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1970 - Mar 2025)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 63.31 35.33 30.32 19.46 17.07 14.05
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -44.93 -16.32 -5.57 -2.17 4.59 8.44
Positive Periods (%) 79.1 87.4 92.7 98.3 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 59.37 31.37 26.35 14.44 12.71 8.66
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -46.74 -18.33 -8.58 -4.64 2.46 4.85
Positive Periods (%) 72.6 80.8 78.3 91.3 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.47 10.04 12.56 17.17 20.01 2.71 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.34 13.27 17.14 27.37 29.10 8.22 0.00 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
9.54 15.35 20.07 37.19 34.90 12.11 8.09 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.49 18.73 24.85 40.60 38.40 18.08 15.24 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 71.31 22.63 13.73 7.13 4.71 4.35
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.81 3.31
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 March 2025
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Terms and Definitions
Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DEDALO INVEST DEDALO THREE PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 Years)
1 January 1970 - 31 March 2025 (~55 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

DEDALO INVEST DEDALO THREE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 Years)
1 January 1970 - 31 March 2025 (~55 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1970 to March 2025.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

DEDALO INVEST DEDALO THREE PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 Years)
1 January 1970 - 31 March 2025 (~55 years)
233 Positive Months (65%) - 127 Negative Months (35%)
416 Positive Months (63%) - 247 Negative Months (37%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to December 2008, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI), up to December 2001
  • Vanguard Total World Stock (VT), up to December 2008

Portfolio efficiency

Compare Dedalo Invest Dedalo Three Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.

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Mastering Etf Investing
The first official book of
Mastering ETF Investing
Build wealth
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English book
Buy now
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