Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Data Source: from November 2012 to March 2024 (~11 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~11 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 26 months (from February 2018 to March 2020).

This means that every rolling period of 27 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ROBERT SHILLER CAPE US SECTOR VALUE PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 2014 - 31 March 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 November 2012 - 31 March 2024 (~11 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +15.90% +62.89%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
-15.62%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
13.49%
17 out of 126
US Inflation Adjusted +13.41% +58.73%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
-20.70%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
15.08%
19 out of 126
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +12.90% +37.58%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022
-1.92%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
0.88%
1 out of 114
US Inflation Adjusted +10.79% +30.36%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2022
-7.01%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
11.40%
13 out of 114
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.61% +26.51%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2021
+4.34%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 102
US Inflation Adjusted +12.55% +22.15%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2021
+2.39%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 102
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.77% +21.75%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2024
+8.21%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 90
US Inflation Adjusted +12.37% +16.13%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2021
+3.93%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2022
0.00%
0 out of 90
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.12% +19.92%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2021
+8.27%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 78
US Inflation Adjusted +11.73% +16.85%
May 2016 - Apr 2021
+6.10%
Oct 2018 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 78
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.17% +19.62%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
+9.56%
Apr 2014 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 66
US Inflation Adjusted +12.09% +16.93%
Sep 2015 - Aug 2021
+7.36%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 66
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.63% +16.84%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2021
+11.24%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2020
0.00%
0 out of 54
US Inflation Adjusted +11.68% +14.92%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2019
+9.14%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
0.00%
0 out of 54
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +15.08% +17.90%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2021
+11.97%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022
0.00%
0 out of 42
US Inflation Adjusted +11.53% +15.63%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2021
+8.73%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022
0.00%
0 out of 42
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +13.61% +18.25%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2021
+12.32%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 30
US Inflation Adjusted +10.28% +15.86%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2021
+9.14%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 30
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.14% +15.31%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2022
+12.71%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 18
US Inflation Adjusted +11.06% +12.39%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2022
+9.65%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 18
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +14.95% +15.47%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2023
+14.23%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 6
US Inflation Adjusted +11.90% +12.48%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2023
+11.32%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 6
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Robert Shiller Cape US Sector Value Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.