Cathie Wood Ark Tech Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: November 2014 - March 2026 (~11 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the Cathie Wood Ark Tech Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~11 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 64 months (from December 2020 to March 2026). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

CATHIE WOOD ARK TECH PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 2016 - 31 March 2026 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 November 2014 - 31 March 2026 (~11 years)
All Data
(2014/11 - 2026/03)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

CATHIE WOOD ARK TECH PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 2014 - 31 March 2026 (~11 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-61.23%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022
+19.45% +177.21%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
26.98%
34 out of 126
-64.43%
Jul 2021 - Jun 2022
+17.25% +170.14%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021
29.37%
37 out of 126
-41.88%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+21.19% +83.68%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020
21.05%
24 out of 114
-45.58%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+18.57% +80.41%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020
23.68%
27 out of 114
-24.93%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024
+20.68% +49.94%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2020
26.47%
27 out of 102
-28.96%
Feb 2021 - Jan 2024
+18.73% +47.18%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2020
31.37%
32 out of 102
-15.28%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2025
+7.61% +55.11%
Feb 2017 - Jan 2021
23.33%
21 out of 90
-19.17%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2025
+3.37% +52.24%
Feb 2017 - Jan 2021
34.44%
31 out of 90
-6.08%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2026
+8.40% +50.48%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021
6.41%
5 out of 78
-9.98%
Apr 2021 - Mar 2026
+4.04% +47.52%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2021
19.23%
15 out of 78
+3.96%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2024
+12.66% +36.66%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2021
0.00%
0 out of 66
+0.19%
Sep 2018 - Aug 2024
+8.62% +34.13%
Feb 2015 - Jan 2021
0.00%
0 out of 66
+7.59%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2025
+13.32% +28.96%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 54
+3.86%
Apr 2018 - Mar 2025
+9.55% +26.18%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 54
+9.05%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022
+13.44% +17.15%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 42
+5.89%
Jan 2015 - Dec 2022
+9.71% +13.25%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 42
+9.39%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+14.64% +20.48%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 30
+6.29%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+11.00% +16.61%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 30
+11.36%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+14.85% +19.13%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
0.00%
0 out of 18
+8.03%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+11.43% +15.40%
Feb 2016 - Jan 2026
0.00%
0 out of 18
+13.84%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026
+15.44% +16.78%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 6
+10.50%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2026
+12.04% +13.51%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2025
0.00%
0 out of 6
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