Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Data Source: from January 1985 to May 2023 (~38 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 May 2023
Live Update: Jun 02 2023
PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)
1.35%
1 Day
Jun 02 2023
2.31%
Current Month
June 2023

The Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio is a High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 10 ETFs.

It's exposed for 65% on the Stock Market and for 5% on Commodities.

In the last 30 Years, the Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio obtained a 7.44% compound annual return, with a 12.00% standard deviation.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

65% Stocks
30% Fixed Income
5% Commodities

The Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%) Ticker ETF Name Investment Themes
15.00
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap Equity, U.S., Small Cap
15.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market Equity, U.S., Large Cap
10.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Equity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap
10.00
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe Equity, Developed Europe, Large Cap
10.00
VPL
Vanguard FTSE Pacific Equity, Developed Asia Pacific, Large Cap
5.00
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate Real Estate, U.S.
10.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond Bond, U.S., All-Term
10.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market Bond, U.S., All-Term
10.00
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term
5.00
GLTR
Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares Commodity, Broad Precious Metals

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of May 31, 2023

The Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Portfolio returns are calculated in USD, assuming: June 2023 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.
ALEXANDER GREEN GONE FISHIN' PORTFOLIO
Consolidated returns as of 31 May 2023
Live Update: Jun 02 2023
Swipe left to see all data
    Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of May 31, 2023
    1 Day Time ET(*) Jun 2023 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~38Y)
Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio 1.35 2.31 -1.86 0.05 -2.89 3.81 5.43 7.44 9.38
US Inflation Adjusted return -1.86 -1.82 -6.44 -0.01 2.68 4.81 6.41
Components
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap 4.12 Jun 02 2023 5.01 -1.67 -8.53 -7.27 3.75 8.89 9.76 11.34
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market 1.65 Jun 02 2023 2.67 0.43 2.44 2.13 9.99 11.40 9.70 9.04
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets 1.72 Jun 02 2023 3.53 -2.40 -1.90 -8.29 -1.39 1.39 5.57 7.36
VGK
Vanguard FTSE Europe 1.18 Jun 02 2023 2.37 -5.12 7.20 4.26 4.15 5.05 7.11 8.65
VPL
Vanguard FTSE Pacific 1.82 Jun 02 2023 3.85 -1.16 3.07 -0.43 1.34 4.54 2.62 8.21
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate 2.44 Jun 02 2023 2.45 -3.96 -6.98 -15.87 4.07 5.34 8.35 6.94
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond -0.49 Jun 02 2023 -0.33 -1.71 0.52 -5.71 2.20 1.42 5.21 6.80
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market -0.56 Jun 02 2023 -0.29 -1.16 1.58 -2.40 0.80 1.34 4.28 4.50
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond 0.51 Jun 02 2023 1.12 -1.23 0.38 -1.98 2.06 2.93 5.40 7.36
GLTR
Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares -1.07 Jun 02 2023 0.14 -3.62 3.86 1.74 7.14 1.81 5.98 8.47
Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
US Inflation is updated to Apr 2023. Waiting for updates, inflation of May 2023 is set to 0%. Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.79% , 5Y: 3.81% , 10Y: 2.68% , 30Y: 2.51%

In 2022, the Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio granted a 2.48% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Portfolio Metrics as of May 31, 2023

Metrics of Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio, updated as of 31 May 2023.

Portfolio metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
ALEXANDER GREEN GONE FISHIN' PORTFOLIO
Portfolio Metrics
Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 May 2023 (~38 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of May 31, 2023
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~38Y)
Portfolio Return (%) -1.86 0.01 0.05 -2.89 5.87 3.81 5.43 7.60 7.44 9.38
US Inflation (%) 0.00 0.84 1.90 3.79 5.77 3.81 2.68 2.55 2.51 2.79
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) -1.86 -0.82 -1.82 -6.44 0.09 -0.01 2.68 4.93 4.81 6.41
Waiting for updates, inflation of May 2023 is temporarily set to 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 17.04 13.20 13.67 10.99 12.47 12.00 12.04
Sharpe Ratio -0.36 0.37 0.18 0.42 0.52 0.44 0.45
Sortino Ratio -0.51 0.51 0.24 0.56 0.67 0.57 0.58
MAXIMUM DRAWDOWN
Drawdown Depth (%) -12.94 -21.98 -21.98 -21.98 -43.02 -43.02 -43.02
Start (yyyy mm) 2022 06 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 11 2007 11 2007 11
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2022 09 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 9 9 9 16 16 16
Start to Recovery (# months) in progress
8
> 17
> 17
> 17
38
38
38
ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS - Annualized
Best Return (%) 52.19 24.25 19.98 14.96 12.33 10.63
Worst Return (%) -37.52 -10.00 -0.86 3.80 5.88 7.44
% Positive Periods 78% 93% 100% 100% 100% 100%
MONTHS
Positive 0 2 3 6 21 35 77 154 229 304
Negative 1 1 3 6 15 25 43 86 131 157
% Positive 0% 67% 50% 50% 58% 58% 64% 64% 64% 66%
WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)
Safe WR (%) 38.56 21.47 12.60 9.65 7.28 10.62
Perpetual WR (%) 0.09 0.00 2.61 4.70 4.59 6.02
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Maximum Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
  • Rolling Returns: returns over a time frame (best, worst, % of positive returns).
  • Pos./Neg. Months: number of months with positive/negative return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1.

If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.

Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.
COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 31 May 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Asset
IJR
VTI
EEM
VGK
VPL
VNQ
TIP
BND
HYG
GLTR
IJR
-
0.92
0.50
0.79
0.72
0.88
0.73
0.53
0.83
0.03
VTI
0.92
-
0.64
0.87
0.85
0.92
0.90
0.74
0.94
0.29
EEM
0.50
0.64
-
0.79
0.93
0.76
0.67
0.87
0.61
0.67
VGK
0.79
0.87
0.79
-
0.93
0.89
0.84
0.81
0.87
0.55
VPL
0.72
0.85
0.93
0.93
-
0.90
0.85
0.92
0.86
0.64
VNQ
0.88
0.92
0.76
0.89
0.90
-
0.88
0.84
0.88
0.36
TIP
0.73
0.90
0.67
0.84
0.85
0.88
-
0.87
0.89
0.46
BND
0.53
0.74
0.87
0.81
0.92
0.84
0.87
-
0.78
0.74
HYG
0.83
0.94
0.61
0.87
0.86
0.88
0.89
0.78
-
0.47
GLTR
0.03
0.29
0.67
0.55
0.64
0.36
0.46
0.74
0.47
-
Asset
IJR
VTI
EEM
VGK
VPL
VNQ
TIP
BND
HYG
GLTR
IJR
-
0.91
0.73
0.84
0.83
0.79
0.44
0.28
0.81
0.18
VTI
0.91
-
0.73
0.88
0.86
0.85
0.59
0.44
0.85
0.30
EEM
0.73
0.73
-
0.81
0.86
0.64
0.44
0.49
0.72
0.45
VGK
0.84
0.88
0.81
-
0.91
0.79
0.54
0.47
0.82
0.39
VPL
0.83
0.86
0.86
0.91
-
0.73
0.53
0.49
0.80
0.35
VNQ
0.79
0.85
0.64
0.79
0.73
-
0.64
0.51
0.78
0.30
TIP
0.44
0.59
0.44
0.54
0.53
0.64
-
0.84
0.68
0.44
BND
0.28
0.44
0.49
0.47
0.49
0.51
0.84
-
0.61
0.46
HYG
0.81
0.85
0.72
0.82
0.80
0.78
0.68
0.61
-
0.41
GLTR
0.18
0.30
0.45
0.39
0.35
0.30
0.44
0.46
0.41
-
Asset
IJR
VTI
EEM
VGK
VPL
VNQ
TIP
BND
HYG
GLTR
IJR
-
0.89
0.62
0.74
0.74
0.67
0.31
0.18
0.75
0.08
VTI
0.89
-
0.69
0.85
0.82
0.73
0.46
0.34
0.82
0.20
EEM
0.62
0.69
-
0.77
0.86
0.52
0.43
0.40
0.67
0.39
VGK
0.74
0.85
0.77
-
0.86
0.63
0.46
0.38
0.78
0.29
VPL
0.74
0.82
0.86
0.86
-
0.61
0.44
0.37
0.73
0.25
VNQ
0.67
0.73
0.52
0.63
0.61
-
0.62
0.54
0.67
0.25
TIP
0.31
0.46
0.43
0.46
0.44
0.62
-
0.83
0.61
0.46
BND
0.18
0.34
0.40
0.38
0.37
0.54
0.83
-
0.54
0.43
HYG
0.75
0.82
0.67
0.78
0.73
0.67
0.61
0.54
-
0.38
GLTR
0.08
0.20
0.39
0.29
0.25
0.25
0.46
0.43
0.38
-
Asset
IJR
VTI
EEM
VGK
VPL
VNQ
TIP
BND
HYG
GLTR
IJR
-
0.88
0.69
0.74
0.64
0.64
0.11
0.05
0.66
0.40
VTI
0.88
-
0.74
0.84
0.70
0.62
0.19
0.14
0.69
0.40
EEM
0.69
0.74
-
0.77
0.75
0.51
0.20
0.14
0.60
0.61
VGK
0.74
0.84
0.77
-
0.73
0.59
0.20
0.17
0.68
0.44
VPL
0.64
0.70
0.75
0.73
-
0.49
0.21
0.15
0.56
0.49
VNQ
0.64
0.62
0.51
0.59
0.49
-
0.32
0.29
0.68
0.38
TIP
0.11
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.21
0.32
-
0.83
0.39
0.27
BND
0.05
0.14
0.14
0.17
0.15
0.29
0.83
-
0.38
0.18
HYG
0.66
0.69
0.60
0.68
0.56
0.68
0.39
0.38
-
0.41
GLTR
0.40
0.40
0.61
0.44
0.49
0.38
0.27
0.18
0.41
-
Asset
IJR
VTI
EEM
VGK
VPL
VNQ
TIP
BND
HYG
GLTR
IJR
-
0.89
0.66
0.70
0.51
0.65
0.12
0.08
0.65
0.34
VTI
0.89
-
0.71
0.79
0.57
0.62
0.22
0.18
0.66
0.34
EEM
0.66
0.71
-
0.68
0.59
0.48
0.21
0.18
0.54
0.44
VGK
0.70
0.79
0.68
-
0.68
0.57
0.23
0.21
0.63
0.41
VPL
0.51
0.57
0.59
0.68
-
0.41
0.20
0.16
0.47
0.42
VNQ
0.65
0.62
0.48
0.57
0.41
-
0.29
0.28
0.67
0.33
TIP
0.12
0.22
0.21
0.23
0.20
0.29
-
0.88
0.39
0.14
BND
0.08
0.18
0.18
0.21
0.16
0.28
0.88
-
0.39
0.08
HYG
0.65
0.66
0.54
0.63
0.47
0.67
0.39
0.39
-
0.36
GLTR
0.34
0.34
0.44
0.41
0.42
0.33
0.14
0.08
0.36
-

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Capital Growth as of May 31, 2023

An investment of 1000$, since June 1993, now would be worth 8616.36$, with a total return of 761.64% (7.44% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 4095.68$, with a net total return of 309.57% (4.81% annualized).
An investment of 1000$, since January 1985, now would be worth 31296.69$, with a total return of 3029.67% (9.38% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 10863.36$, with a net total return of 986.34% (6.41% annualized).

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

ALEXANDER GREEN GONE FISHIN' PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Updated to May 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-43.02% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Dec 2010 22 38
-21.98% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 8 17
-17.18% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Aug 2020 5 8
-16.22% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Apr 1999 8 12
-15.69% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 25 Aug 2003 11 36
-15.05% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Sep 2012 12 17
-9.95% May 2015 Jan 2016 9 Jul 2016 6 15
-9.79% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 11 Apr 2019 4 15
-7.83% Feb 1994 Jan 1995 12 May 1995 4 16
-6.10% Apr 2000 May 2000 2 Aug 2000 3 5
-5.14% Oct 1997 Nov 1997 2 Feb 1998 3 5
-5.09% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Sep 2004 5 6
-4.35% Jun 1996 Jul 1996 2 Sep 1996 2 4
-4.09% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2
-4.02% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Feb 2015 5 6
-4.01% Mar 2005 Apr 2005 2 Jun 2005 2 4
-3.99% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Sep 2013 3 5
-3.74% Aug 1997 Aug 1997 1 Sep 1997 1 2
-3.73% May 2006 May 2006 1 Oct 2006 5 6
-3.31% Nov 1993 Nov 1993 1 Dec 1993 1 2
Swipe left to see all data
Drawdown period
Recovery period
Total
Drawdown Start Bottom #Months End #Months #Months
-43.02% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Dec 2010 22 38
-21.98% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 8 17
-18.93% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 Jan 1989 14 17
-17.18% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Aug 2020 5 8
-16.22% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Apr 1999 8 12
-15.69% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 25 Aug 2003 11 36
-15.45% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 2 Feb 1991 5 7
-15.05% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Sep 2012 12 17
-9.95% May 2015 Jan 2016 9 Jul 2016 6 15
-9.79% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 11 Apr 2019 4 15
-7.96% Jan 1990 Apr 1990 4 Jul 1990 3 7
-7.83% Feb 1994 Jan 1995 12 May 1995 4 16
-6.10% Apr 2000 May 2000 2 Aug 2000 3 5
-5.14% Oct 1997 Nov 1997 2 Feb 1998 3 5
-5.09% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 1 Sep 2004 5 6
-4.35% Jun 1996 Jul 1996 2 Sep 1996 2 4
-4.09% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2
-4.02% Sep 2014 Sep 2014 1 Feb 2015 5 6
-4.01% Mar 2005 Apr 2005 2 Jun 2005 2 4
-3.99% May 2013 Jun 2013 2 Sep 2013 3 5

Rolling Returns ( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ALEXANDER GREEN GONE FISHIN' PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Data Source: from January 1985 to May 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Rolling
Period
Annualized Return (%) Negative
Periods
Average Latest Best Worst
1 Year
10.01 -2.89 52.19
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
-37.52
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
22.22%
2 Years
9.49 -5.60 35.98
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
-19.73
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
11.64%
3 Years
9.20 5.87 24.25
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
-10.00
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
7.28%
5 Years
9.02 3.81 19.98
Jan 1985 - Dec 1989
-0.86
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
0.25%
7 Years
8.98 5.99 17.24
Jan 1985 - Dec 1991
3.14
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
0.00%
10 Years
8.85 5.43 14.96
Jan 1985 - Dec 1994
3.80
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
0.00%
15 Years
8.57 5.13 14.37
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999
4.35
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022
0.00%
20 Years
8.74 7.60 12.33
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004
5.88
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
0.00%
30 Years
8.88 7.44 10.63
Jan 1985 - Dec 2014
7.44
Jun 1993 - May 2023
0.00%
Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

ALEXANDER GREEN GONE FISHIN' PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to May 2023

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 5.43% (updated at May 31, 2023).

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.

For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.86
60%
-1.14
40%
-1.69
60%
1.28
80%
-0.10
60%
0.17
60%
2.37
60%
0.09
60%
-2.46
20%
0.48
60%
3.21
80%
0.63
60%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
101.86
100.70
99.00
100.26
100.17
100.33
102.71
102.80
100.27
100.75
103.98
104.63
Best 6.8
2019
1.9
2021
1.7
2021
7.2
2020
3.6
2020
4.9
2019
5.5
2022
3.2
2020
1.4
2019
4.2
2022
8.6
2020
4.8
2020
Worst -3.9
2022
-4.7
2020
-12.0
2020
-5.9
2022
-4.1
2019
-6.5
2022
-0.1
2021
-4.1
2022
-8.0
2022
-6.0
2018
-2.2
2021
-4.9
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jun 2018 - May 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
0.90
60%
-0.05
60%
-0.15
70%
1.04
90%
0.27
60%
0.12
60%
1.93
60%
-0.36
60%
-1.18
40%
1.15
70%
1.84
80%
0.40
60%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
100.90
100.85
100.69
101.74
102.02
102.14
104.10
103.73
102.51
103.69
105.60
106.02
Best 6.8
2019
3.8
2014
6.0
2016
7.2
2020
3.6
2020
4.9
2019
5.5
2022
3.2
2020
4.2
2013
4.9
2015
8.6
2020
4.8
2020
Worst -3.9
2022
-4.7
2020
-12.0
2020
-5.9
2022
-4.1
2019
-6.5
2022
-1.7
2014
-4.6
2015
-8.0
2022
-6.0
2018
-2.2
2021
-4.9
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jun 2013 - May 2023
Swipe left to see all data
Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency
1.16
67%
0.68
62%
0.79
69%
1.55
85%
0.69
62%
0.34
58%
1.14
58%
-0.01
61%
-0.30
55%
0.34
66%
1.21
68%
2.12
82%
 Capital Growth on monthly avg returns
100
101.16
101.84
102.64
104.24
104.96
105.32
106.53
106.52
106.20
106.56
107.84
110.13
Best 8.7
1987
7.2
1991
7.5
2009
10.9
2009
7.2
2009
4.9
2019
7.7
2009
5.7
1986
7.3
2010
9.1
2011
8.6
2020
9.2
1991
Worst -8.2
2009
-8.4
2009
-12.0
2020
-5.9
2022
-6.4
2010
-6.5
2022
-7.3
2002
-11.4
1998
-8.5
2011
-17.3
2008
-6.2
2008
-4.9
2018
Monthly Seasonality over the period Jan 1985 - May 2023

Monthly/Yearly Returns

Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio data source starts from January 1985: let's focus on monthly and yearly returns.

We are providing two different views:
  • Histogram: it shows the distribution of the returns recorded so far
  • Plain Table: it shows the detailed monthly and yearly returns
MONTHLY RETURNS HISTOGRAM
Jan 1985 - May 2023
304 Positive Months (66%) - 157 Negative Months (34%)
MONTHLY RETURNS TABLE
Jan 1985 - May 2023
(Scroll down to see all data)
Swipe left to see all data
Yearly Return(%)
Monthly Return(%)
Year Total Infl.Adj Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2023
+3.08 +0.85 6.7 -3.4 1.5 0.4 -1.9
2022
-15.58 -20.70 -3.9 -1.1 -0.2 -5.9 0.3 -6.5 5.5 -4.1 -8.0 4.2 7.0 -2.9
2021
+11.58 +4.25 0.8 1.9 1.7 2.6 1.6 0.4 -0.1 1.2 -3.0 2.9 -2.2 3.3
2020
+12.37 +10.86 -1.2 -4.7 -12.0 7.2 3.6 2.4 4.6 3.2 -2.2 -0.7 8.6 4.8
2019
+19.76 +17.09 6.8 1.6 0.5 2.1 -4.1 4.9 0.0 -0.7 1.4 2.0 1.1 2.8
2018
-7.32 -9.05 2.7 -3.6 0.3 0.1 1.0 -0.4 1.8 0.8 -0.5 -6.0 1.5 -4.9
2017
+16.62 +14.21 2.2 1.8 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.7 2.0 0.4 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.1
2016
+10.50 +8.25 -3.3 0.2 6.0 1.4 -0.2 1.8 3.6 0.0 0.9 -2.3 0.8 1.5
2015
-3.07 -3.78 0.5 2.9 -0.4 1.0 -0.1 -1.8 -0.3 -4.6 -2.3 4.9 -0.6 -2.0
2014
+3.43 +2.66 -2.4 3.8 0.2 0.4 1.5 2.1 -1.7 2.1 -4.0 2.3 0.1 -0.6
2013
+13.26 +11.59 2.6 -0.1 1.9 1.6 -1.6 -2.4 3.8 -1.8 4.2 2.9 0.8 0.8
2012
+13.95 +12.00 5.5 2.6 0.5 -0.5 -5.9 3.9 0.5 2.1 2.0 -0.6 1.2 2.2
2011
-1.05 -3.90 0.3 3.0 0.6 4.0 -1.5 -1.3 -0.1 -4.4 -8.5 9.1 -0.9 -0.3
2010
+16.13 +14.42 -3.2 2.0 5.4 1.7 -6.4 -2.5 6.4 -2.6 7.3 3.3 -0.8 5.5
2009
+29.72 +26.28 -8.2 -8.4 7.5 10.9 7.2 -0.2 7.7 2.3 4.9 -2.5 4.6 2.5
2008
-28.75 -28.82 -3.8 -0.3 -0.3 4.0 1.9 -5.7 -2.0 -0.8 -8.4 -17.3 -6.2 7.9
2007
+8.90 +4.63 1.4 -0.1 1.6 2.3 2.5 -0.8 -2.2 1.0 4.6 3.6 -3.9 -1.1
2006
+16.96 +14.06 5.5 -0.7 2.5 2.1 -3.7 0.3 0.1 2.0 0.3 3.7 2.8 1.2
2005
+12.08 +8.37 -1.6 3.1 -2.6 -1.5 2.4 2.0 3.4 1.0 2.8 -3.0 3.3 2.4
2004
+15.76 +12.11 1.6 1.8 1.5 -5.1 1.3 2.2 -2.2 1.5 2.6 2.3 5.0 2.8
2003
+31.54 +29.11 -1.4 -1.0 -0.7 5.4 5.3 2.3 2.0 3.6 1.4 5.2 2.1 3.8
2002
-4.17 -6.40 -0.1 0.6 4.0 1.0 0.8 -4.3 -7.3 1.7 -4.9 1.5 3.7 -0.5
2001
-2.20 -3.70 3.3 -4.1 -4.5 5.7 0.7 -1.0 -1.6 -1.0 -7.0 2.5 3.6 2.0
2000
-4.37 -7.50 -3.0 3.5 0.9 -3.6 -2.6 4.8 -1.6 3.5 -2.8 -2.6 -4.1 3.9
1999
+21.54 +18.36 0.6 -2.8 3.6 6.2 -2.5 3.8 -0.6 -1.0 1.1 1.6 3.4 6.7
1998
+5.75 +4.07 0.8 4.2 2.5 0.6 -3.4 -0.3 -1.8 -11.4 4.7 4.9 3.8 2.2
1997
+8.91 +7.09 0.6 1.0 -2.7 0.7 5.4 3.4 3.4 -3.7 4.8 -4.9 -0.2 1.4
1996
+11.89 +8.29 2.7 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.2 -0.9 -3.5 2.2 2.6 0.4 3.6 0.3
1995
+18.66 +15.72 -1.9 2.1 2.2 2.7 2.7 1.3 3.4 -0.1 1.7 -1.9 2.5 2.7
1994
-2.38 -4.92 3.9 -2.8 -5.0 1.3 0.1 -1.1 2.1 3.4 -1.7 0.6 -3.8 0.9
1993
+30.92 +27.42 3.2 1.8 5.1 2.2 2.0 1.7 2.6 2.9 -0.4 3.7 -3.3 6.0
1992
+3.63 +0.71 1.1 -0.4 -2.4 0.2 4.2 -3.0 2.3 -0.3 0.0 -1.1 1.9 1.2
1991
+33.42 +29.46 3.7 7.2 0.9 1.4 3.3 -3.7 3.3 2.6 2.1 2.7 -2.9 9.2
1990
-8.26 -13.54 -3.9 -1.4 -0.4 -2.4 6.4 1.0 2.1 -8.9 -7.1 3.1 2.1 2.0
1989
+25.58 +20.01 4.3 0.6 -0.3 3.1 2.0 0.3 5.0 2.0 2.6 -2.6 2.7 3.5
1988
+16.97 +12.02 4.2 4.2 0.7 0.9 -1.0 3.9 -0.4 -2.5 2.5 2.2 0.2 1.2
1987
+1.97 -2.36 8.7 3.6 1.7 0.8 -1.4 0.9 3.9 2.3 -1.7 -16.8 -0.9 3.0
1986
+25.77 +24.41 2.2 6.6 6.0 1.7 -0.2 3.2 -1.5 5.7 -3.2 0.6 2.2 0.2
1985
+31.99 +27.16 6.8 0.9 1.7 0.7 5.4 1.7 0.5 0.2 -2.0 3.2 5.6 3.8

Portofolio Returns, up to December 2010, are simulated. They have been calculated using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.

In particular, it has been used:

  • IJR - iShares Core S&P Small-Cap: simulated historical serie, up to December 2000
  • VTI - Vanguard Total Stock Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2001
  • EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
  • VGK - Vanguard FTSE Europe: simulated historical serie, up to December 2005
  • VPL - Vanguard FTSE Pacific: simulated historical serie, up to December 2005
  • VNQ - Vanguard Real Estate: simulated historical serie, up to December 2004
  • TIP - iShares TIPS Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2003
  • BND - Vanguard Total Bond Market: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
  • HYG - iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond: simulated historical serie, up to December 2007
  • GLTR - Aberdeen Standard Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares: simulated historical serie, up to December 2010

Portfolio efficiency

Compared to the Alexander Green Gone Fishin' Portfolio, the following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum +9.28 9.43 -32.52 60 40 0
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 +8.89 12.33 -41.09 80 20 0
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins +8.66 11.60 -38.53 75 25 0
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel +8.19 11.57 -41.80 71 29 0
Yale Endowment David Swensen +8.06 10.83 -39.48 70 30 0
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson +8.00 10.64 -40.17 66.7 33.3 0
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 +7.93 9.46 -30.55 60 40 0
Couch Potato Scott Burns +7.88 8.66 -27.04 50 50 0
Seven Value Scott Burns +7.85 11.26 -41.22 71.5 28.5 0
Edge Select Moderately Aggressive Merrill Lynch +7.77 11.04 -38.23 69 31 0
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum +7.77 6.87 -21.11 40 60 0
Sheltered Sam 70/30 Bill Bernstein +7.72 10.60 -39.73 67.9 30 2.1
Lazy Portfolio David Swensen +7.71 10.76 -40.89 70 30 0
Family Taxable Portfolio Ted Aronson +7.65 11.54 -38.46 70 30 0
Six Ways from Sunday Scott Burns +7.60 10.87 -39.14 66.7 33.3 0
Jane Bryant Quinn Portfolio Jane Bryant Quinn +7.59 10.65 -39.55 70 30 0
Golden Butterfly Tyler +7.52 7.52 -17.79 40 40 20
Gone Fishin' Portfolio Alexander Green +7.44 12.00 -43.02 65 30 5

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and High Risk categorization.

Swipe left to see all data
30 Years Stats (%)
% Allocation
Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum +9.28 9.43 -32.52 60 40 0
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins +8.66 11.60 -38.53 75 25 0
Late Sixties and Beyond Burton Malkiel +8.19 11.57 -41.80 71 29 0
Yale Endowment David Swensen +8.06 10.83 -39.48 70 30 0
Talmud Portfolio Roger Gibson +8.00 10.64 -40.17 66.7 33.3 0