Aim Ways Aim comfortable trip To EUR Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - April 2025 (~40 years)
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Aim Ways Aim comfortable trip To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~40 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 106 months (from September 2000 to June 2009).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 107 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AIM WAYS AIM COMFORTABLE TRIP TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)

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As of Apr 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 6.21%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AIM WAYS AIM COMFORTABLE TRIP TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 May 1995 - 30 April 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AIM WAYS AIM COMFORTABLE TRIP TO EUR PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 April 2025 (~40 years)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-21.26%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+6.58% +42.53%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997
24.95%
118 out of 473
-23.08%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+4.90% +40.44%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997
33.40%
158 out of 473
-11.01%
Jun 2001 - May 2003
+7.60% +30.56%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
14.97%
69 out of 461
-12.70%
Jun 2001 - May 2003
+4.94% +28.54%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000
25.81%
119 out of 461
-5.98%
May 2000 - Apr 2003
+6.93% +22.73%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
10.47%
47 out of 449
-8.16%
May 2000 - Apr 2003
+4.49% +20.67%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
16.04%
72 out of 449
-4.19%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004
+7.47% +22.48%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
4.81%
21 out of 437
-6.28%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004
+4.70% +20.67%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
11.90%
52 out of 437
-1.75%
May 2000 - Apr 2005
+7.26% +20.94%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
2.82%
12 out of 425
-3.92%
May 2000 - Apr 2005
+4.84% +19.03%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000
9.41%
40 out of 425
-0.53%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
+6.93% +18.27%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
0.73%
3 out of 413
-2.79%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008
+4.91% +16.21%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000
7.51%
31 out of 413
-0.70%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
+7.25% +15.48%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002
1.00%
4 out of 401
-2.99%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008
+4.90% +13.42%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002
7.48%
30 out of 401
-0.13%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008
+7.33% +17.22%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
0.51%
2 out of 389
-2.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008
+5.26% +14.82%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
6.17%
24 out of 389
+0.24%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
+7.55% +15.00%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 377
-1.78%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009
+5.84% +12.26%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
3.45%
13 out of 377
+2.35%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2010
+7.64% +15.67%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 365
+0.29%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2010
+5.77% +12.97%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 365
+2.26%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011
+7.69% +13.26%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2002
0.00%
0 out of 353
+0.18%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011
+5.82% +10.65%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2002
0.00%
0 out of 353
+3.41%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+7.64% +12.32%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 341
+1.22%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+5.61% +9.50%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 341
+3.28%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
+7.45% +12.26%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 329
+1.19%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
+5.61% +9.49%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 329
+3.70%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+7.41% +11.20%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001
0.00%
0 out of 317
+1.64%
May 2000 - Apr 2014
+5.47% +8.46%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001
0.00%
0 out of 317
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+7.44% +10.07%
Nov 1985 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 305
+2.57%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+5.42% +7.70%
Nov 1985 - Oct 2000
0.00%
0 out of 305
+4.69%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016
+7.33% +9.61%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006
0.00%
0 out of 293
+2.91%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016
+5.31% +7.14%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006
0.00%
0 out of 293
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+7.22% +9.12%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 281
+2.68%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+5.11% +6.65%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 281
+4.49%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+7.24% +9.00%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005
0.00%
0 out of 269
+2.70%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+5.00% +6.58%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2010
0.00%
0 out of 269
+4.88%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2019
+7.17% +8.56%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2006
0.00%
0 out of 257
+3.13%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2019
+5.01% +6.58%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 257
+4.76%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+7.12% +9.15%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 245
+3.12%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+4.89% +7.21%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 245
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