When holding the Aim Ways Aim comfortable trip To EUR Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~40 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 106 months (from September 2000 to June 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 107 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aim Ways Aim comfortable trip To EUR Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of May 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 6.20%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-21.26%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003 |
+6.58% |
+42.53%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
24.89%
118 out of 474 |
-23.08%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003 |
+4.83% |
+40.44%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
33.33%
158 out of 474 |
-11.01%
Jun 2001 - May 2003 |
+7.60% |
+30.56%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
14.94%
69 out of 462 |
-12.70%
Jun 2001 - May 2003 |
+4.94% |
+28.54%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
25.76%
119 out of 462 |
-5.98%
May 2000 - Apr 2003 |
+6.92% |
+22.73%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998 |
10.44%
47 out of 450 |
-8.16%
May 2000 - Apr 2003 |
+4.46% |
+20.67%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998 |
16.00%
72 out of 450 |
-4.19%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004 |
+7.45% |
+22.48%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
4.79%
21 out of 438 |
-6.28%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004 |
+4.69% |
+20.67%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
11.87%
52 out of 438 |
-1.75%
May 2000 - Apr 2005 |
+7.26% |
+20.94%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
2.82%
12 out of 426 |
-3.92%
May 2000 - Apr 2005 |
+4.83% |
+19.03%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
9.39%
40 out of 426 |
-0.53%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008 |
+6.93% |
+18.27%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
0.72%
3 out of 414 |
-2.79%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2008 |
+4.91% |
+16.21%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
7.49%
31 out of 414 |
-0.70%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+7.25% |
+15.48%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002 |
1.00%
4 out of 402 |
-2.99%
Jul 2001 - Jun 2008 |
+4.83% |
+13.42%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2002 |
7.46%
30 out of 402 |
-0.13%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+7.33% |
+17.22%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
0.51%
2 out of 390 |
-2.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2008 |
+5.26% |
+14.82%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
6.15%
24 out of 390 |
+0.24%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009 |
+7.54% |
+15.00%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 378 |
-1.78%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2009 |
+5.83% |
+12.26%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
3.44%
13 out of 378 |
+2.35%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2010 |
+7.61% |
+15.67%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 366 |
+0.29%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2010 |
+5.75% |
+12.97%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 366 |
+2.26%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+7.69% |
+13.26%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 354 |
+0.18%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+5.81% |
+10.65%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 354 |
+3.41%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012 |
+7.64% |
+12.32%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 342 |
+1.22%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012 |
+5.59% |
+9.50%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 342 |
+3.28%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013 |
+7.44% |
+12.26%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 330 |
+1.19%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013 |
+5.60% |
+9.49%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 330 |
+3.70%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+7.41% |
+11.20%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
+1.64%
May 2000 - Apr 2014 |
+5.47% |
+8.46%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+7.44% |
+10.07%
Nov 1985 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 306 |
+2.57%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+5.42% |
+7.70%
Nov 1985 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 306 |
+4.69%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016 |
+7.33% |
+9.61%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 294 |
+2.91%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016 |
+5.31% |
+7.14%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 294 |
+4.43%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+7.22% |
+9.12%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 282 |
+2.68%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+5.11% |
+6.65%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 282 |
+4.49%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018 |
+7.24% |
+9.00%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2005 |
0.00%
0 out of 270 |
+2.70%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018 |
+5.00% |
+6.58%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 270 |
+4.88%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2019 |
+7.17% |
+8.56%
Jan 1988 - Dec 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 258 |
+3.13%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2019 |
+5.01% |
+6.58%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 258 |
+4.76%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020 |
+7.12% |
+9.15%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 246 |
+3.12%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020 |
+4.89% |
+7.21%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 246 |
Aim Ways Aim comfortable trip To EUR Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns