Aim Ways Aim Bold Strategy Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1985 - June 2025 (~41 years)
Initial Amount: 1$
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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When holding the Aim Ways Aim Bold Strategy Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 53 months (from March 2000 to July 2004).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 54 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AIM WAYS AIM BOLD STRATEGY PORTFOLIO
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)

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As of Jun 30, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 8.97%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AIM WAYS AIM BOLD STRATEGY PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1995 - 30 June 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
30 Years
(1995/07 - 2025/06)
All Data
(1985/01 - 2025/06)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AIM WAYS AIM BOLD STRATEGY PORTFOLIO
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1985 - 30 June 2025 (~41 years)
Over Time
Histogram
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-27.35%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
+11.09% +41.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
16.00%
76 out of 475
-29.96%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008
+7.95% +38.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
20.63%
98 out of 475
-11.89%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+9.81% +30.17%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
10.37%
48 out of 463
-13.81%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+6.94% +27.44%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
15.77%
73 out of 463
-7.69%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+9.46% +22.32%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
5.10%
23 out of 451
-9.90%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+6.53% +19.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
11.75%
53 out of 451
-0.30%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+9.02% +18.16%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
0.68%
3 out of 439
-2.95%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2003
+5.85% +15.51%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
7.29%
32 out of 439
+1.32%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+8.83% +18.47%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 427
-1.29%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+5.66% +15.72%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999
2.58%
11 out of 427
+3.20%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2005
+8.52% +16.02%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 415
+0.48%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2005
+5.89% +13.14%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 415
+3.86%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+8.47% +15.57%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 403
+1.23%
Dec 2001 - Nov 2008
+5.99% +12.76%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 403
+2.33%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008
+8.63% +14.82%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 391
-0.46%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008
+5.99% +11.89%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2000
0.26%
1 out of 391
+0.91%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+8.81% +15.49%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 379
-1.58%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+6.21% +12.58%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
1.32%
5 out of 379
+3.32%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+8.72% +14.17%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 367
+0.71%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+6.25% +11.10%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2000
0.00%
0 out of 367
+4.36%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+8.84% +13.58%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 355
+1.81%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009
+6.26% +10.16%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 355
+5.12%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+8.85% +13.19%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996
0.00%
0 out of 343
+2.64%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009
+6.21% +9.76%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021
0.00%
0 out of 343
+5.71%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+8.50% +12.87%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998
0.00%
0 out of 331
+3.17%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009
+6.21% +9.27%
May 1985 - Apr 1998
0.00%
0 out of 331
+6.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+8.41% +13.41%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 319
+3.81%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+6.00% +9.87%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 319
+5.99%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+8.60% +14.20%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 307
+3.52%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022
+6.10% +10.67%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 307
+5.59%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+8.58% +12.63%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 295
+3.41%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+6.08% +9.14%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 295
+5.89%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016
+8.62% +11.45%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001
0.00%
0 out of 283
+3.65%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016
+6.05% +8.31%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007
0.00%
0 out of 283
+6.29%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+8.71% +10.46%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002
0.00%
0 out of 271
+4.08%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+6.08% +7.43%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 271
+5.92%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+8.73% +11.18%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003
0.00%
0 out of 259
+3.69%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+6.14% +7.92%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003
0.00%
0 out of 259
+5.89%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+8.61% +11.12%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004
0.00%
0 out of 247
+3.73%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+6.04% +7.85%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004
0.00%
0 out of 247
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