When holding the Aim Ways Aim Bold Strategy Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 53 months (from March 2000 to July 2004).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 54 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aim Ways Aim Bold Strategy Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
As of Aug 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 9.58%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
Loading data
Please wait
Loading data
Please wait
Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-27.35%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 |
+11.14% |
+41.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
15.93%
76 out of 477 |
-29.96%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2008 |
+7.95% |
+38.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010 |
20.55%
98 out of 477 |
-11.89%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+9.89% |
+30.17%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
10.32%
48 out of 465 |
-13.81%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+6.94% |
+27.44%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011 |
15.70%
73 out of 465 |
-7.69%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+9.46% |
+22.32%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
5.08%
23 out of 453 |
-9.90%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+6.55% |
+19.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012 |
11.70%
53 out of 453 |
-0.30%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009 |
+8.97% |
+18.16%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
0.68%
3 out of 441 |
-2.95%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2003 |
+5.85% |
+15.51%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013 |
7.26%
32 out of 441 |
+1.32%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+8.83% |
+18.47%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 429 |
-1.29%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009 |
+5.65% |
+15.72%
Jan 1995 - Dec 1999 |
2.56%
11 out of 429 |
+3.20%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2005 |
+8.52% |
+16.02%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 417 |
+0.48%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2005 |
+5.88% |
+13.14%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 417 |
+3.86%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009 |
+8.47% |
+15.57%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 405 |
+1.23%
Dec 2001 - Nov 2008 |
+5.99% |
+12.76%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 405 |
+2.33%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+8.63% |
+14.82%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 393 |
-0.46%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+5.98% |
+11.89%
Apr 1992 - Mar 2000 |
0.25%
1 out of 393 |
+0.91%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
+8.81% |
+15.49%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 381 |
-1.58%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
+6.21% |
+12.58%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
1.31%
5 out of 381 |
+3.32%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+8.73% |
+14.17%
Apr 1990 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 369 |
+0.71%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009 |
+6.25% |
+11.10%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 369 |
+4.36%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
+8.84% |
+13.58%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 357 |
+1.81%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2009 |
+6.25% |
+10.16%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 357 |
+5.12%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+8.85% |
+13.19%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 345 |
+2.64%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2009 |
+6.21% |
+9.76%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 345 |
+5.71%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009 |
+8.51% |
+12.87%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 333 |
+3.17%
Mar 1996 - Feb 2009 |
+6.20% |
+9.27%
May 1985 - Apr 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 333 |
+6.22%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014 |
+8.41% |
+13.41%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 321 |
+3.81%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014 |
+5.99% |
+9.87%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 321 |
+5.99%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+8.65% |
+14.20%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 309 |
+3.52%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+6.10% |
+10.67%
Jan 1985 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 309 |
+5.59%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016 |
+8.59% |
+12.63%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 297 |
+3.41%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016 |
+6.08% |
+9.14%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 297 |
+5.89%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016 |
+8.63% |
+11.45%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 285 |
+3.65%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2016 |
+6.06% |
+8.31%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 285 |
+6.29%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+8.70% |
+10.46%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 273 |
+4.08%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+6.07% |
+7.43%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 273 |
+5.92%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+8.72% |
+11.18%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 261 |
+3.69%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+6.14% |
+7.92%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 261 |
+5.89%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+8.61% |
+11.12%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 249 |
+3.73%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+6.04% |
+7.85%
Jan 1985 - Dec 2004 |
0.00%
0 out of 249 |
Aim Ways Aim Bold Strategy Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns