Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy vs US Stocks Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio obtained a 8.35% compound annual return, with a 15.71% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The US Stocks Portfolio obtained a 10.49% compound annual return, with a 15.52% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio US Stocks Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Very High Very High
Asset Allocation Stocks 100% 100%
Fixed Income 0% 0%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +8.35% +10.49%
Std Dev 15.71% 15.52%
Max Drawdown -57.21% -50.84%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1976)
Return +11.59% +11.74%
Std Dev 15.40% 15.43%
Max Drawdown -57.21% -50.84%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1976

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio +3.31 +16.06 +14.43 +7.31 +6.73 +8.35 +11.59
US Stocks Portfolio +2.90 +22.88 +28.85 +14.15 +12.23 +10.49 +11.74
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 11.10$, with a total return of 1009.57% (8.35% annualized).

US Stocks Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 19.94$, with a total return of 1894.37% (10.49% annualized).

Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 198.62$, with a total return of 19761.82% (11.59% annualized).

US Stocks Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 212.26$, with a total return of 21126.16% (11.74% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio
US Stocks Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-57.21% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Jan 2013 (63) 25.06
-50.84% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Mar 2012 (53) 23.06
-43.94% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Mar 2006 (67) 23.71
-27.54% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 13.71
-24.81% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Dec 2023 (24) 13.14
-24.70% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 11.60
-20.84% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Jul 2020 (7) 9.03
-20.46% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 9.79
-20.10% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 (20) Jul 2003 (30) 11.01
-17.57% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 9.03
-15.11% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 (11) Nov 2019 (22) 5.70
-14.20% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 6.63
-12.10% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 6.28
-8.84% Jun 2015 Sep 2015 (4) May 2016 (12) 4.72
-8.65% Sep 2000 Nov 2000 (3) Jan 2001 (5) 4.44
-8.44% Apr 2000 May 2000 (2) Aug 2000 (5) 5.11
-6.82% Apr 2012 May 2012 (2) Aug 2012 (5) 3.19
-6.79% Sep 1994 Jan 1995 (5) May 1995 (9) 3.97
-6.45% May 2019 May 2019 (1) Jun 2019 (2) 3.72
-6.42% Jul 1999 Sep 1999 (3) Nov 1999 (5) 3.38

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1976.

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Paul Merriman Ultimate Buy and Hold Strategy Portfolio
US Stocks Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-57.21% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Jan 2013 (63) 25.06
-50.84% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Mar 2012 (53) 23.06
-43.94% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Mar 2006 (67) 23.71
-29.34% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) May 1989 (21) 14.96
-27.54% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 13.71
-25.26% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 11.68
-24.81% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Dec 2023 (24) 13.14
-24.70% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 11.60
-21.87% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 (9) May 1991 (17) 10.79
-20.84% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Jul 2020 (7) 9.03
-20.46% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 9.79
-20.10% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 (20) Jul 2003 (30) 11.01
-19.82% Jun 1981 Jul 1982 (14) Nov 1982 (18) 9.77
-17.85% Dec 1980 Jul 1982 (20) Oct 1982 (23) 9.42
-17.57% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 9.03
-16.20% Jun 1990 Oct 1990 (5) Feb 1991 (9) 8.96
-15.11% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 (11) Nov 2019 (22) 5.70
-14.20% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 6.63
-12.52% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jul 1980 (6) 6.03
-12.10% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 6.28

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+3.67%
-2.29%
+9.56%
0.00%
2023
+15.13%
-11.48%
+26.05%
-9.10%
2022
-15.37%
-24.70%
-19.51%
-24.81%
2021
+19.37%
-3.67%
+25.67%
-4.46%
2020
+6.40%
-27.54%
+21.03%
-20.84%
2019
+23.62%
-6.09%
+30.67%
-6.45%
2018
-11.86%
-15.11%
-5.21%
-14.20%
2017
+21.78%
-0.19%
+21.21%
0.00%
2016
+12.36%
-6.13%
+12.83%
-5.73%
2015
-1.21%
-10.45%
+0.36%
-8.84%
2014
+3.86%
-4.78%
+12.54%
-3.17%
2013
+24.33%
-3.16%
+33.45%
-3.03%
2012
+18.52%
-9.57%
+16.45%
-6.82%
2011
-6.03%
-21.49%
+0.97%
-17.58%
2010
+17.95%
-12.96%
+17.42%
-13.26%
2009
+32.93%
-22.58%
+28.89%
-17.72%
2008
-39.47%
-43.68%
-36.98%
-38.08%
2007
+3.86%
-8.69%
+5.37%
-5.23%
2006
+25.26%
-4.59%
+15.69%
-3.22%
2005
+14.55%
-4.36%
+6.31%
-4.48%
2004
+24.50%
-4.95%
+12.79%
-3.56%
2003
+45.35%
-4.40%
+30.75%
-4.27%
2002
-8.70%
-19.82%
-20.47%
-27.18%
2001
-4.24%
-16.27%
-10.97%
-23.65%
2000
-0.62%
-8.65%
-10.57%
-15.87%
1999
+20.93%
-3.33%
+23.81%
-6.42%
1998
+4.55%
-20.46%
+23.26%
-17.57%
1997
+7.53%
-6.22%
+30.99%
-4.56%
1996
+14.79%
-4.92%
+20.96%
-6.17%
1995
+16.47%
-2.82%
+35.79%
-1.17%
1994
-2.37%
-7.70%
-0.17%
-7.43%
1993
+30.62%
-3.22%
+10.62%
-2.77%
1992
+7.12%
-3.87%
+9.11%
-2.40%
1991
+32.16%
-5.51%
+32.39%
-4.47%
1990
-15.66%
-21.87%
-6.08%
-16.20%
1989
+27.73%
-3.75%
+28.12%
-3.05%
1988
+25.20%
-2.71%
+17.32%
-3.42%
1987
+6.29%
-25.26%
+2.61%
-29.34%
1986
+33.82%
-4.97%
+14.57%
-7.92%
1985
+40.18%
-2.65%
+31.27%
-4.77%
1984
+7.34%
-6.12%
+2.19%
-9.02%
1983
+26.91%
-2.38%
+22.66%
-4.00%
1982
+9.42%
-16.41%
+20.50%
-11.21%
1981
-0.23%
-10.99%
-4.15%
-12.79%
1980
+24.58%
-12.52%
+33.15%
-11.98%
1979
+19.34%
-9.15%
+24.25%
-7.22%
1978
+21.17%
-9.46%
+8.45%
-11.64%
1977
+13.48%
-1.92%
-3.36%
-8.29%
1976
+22.54%
-3.46%
+26.47%
-2.10%