Craig Israelsen 7Twelve vs Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio obtained a 6.85% compound annual return, with a 9.75% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio obtained a 7.76% compound annual return, with a 7.72% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 50% 40%
Fixed Income 33.34% 40%
Commodities 16.66% 20%
30 Years Stats Return +6.85% +7.76%
Std Dev 9.75% 7.72%
Max Drawdown -37.96% -17.79%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1976)
Return +9.27% +9.76%
Std Dev 9.48% 8.42%
Max Drawdown -37.96% -17.79%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1976

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio +2.36 +9.67 +10.39 +6.05 +4.15 +6.85 +9.27
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio +3.22 +13.99 +9.26 +6.61 +5.77 +7.76 +9.76
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 7.30$, with a total return of 630.07% (6.85% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.42$, with a total return of 841.59% (7.76% annualized).

Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 72.17$, with a total return of 7117.08% (9.27% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 89.30$, with a total return of 8829.85% (9.76% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-37.96% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Feb 2011 (33) 18.93
-17.90% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 8.97
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-14.54% Jul 2014 Feb 2016 (20) Jul 2017 (37) 6.60
-13.54% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 6.14
-13.50% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Dec 2012 (20) 4.88
-13.28% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 (6) Feb 2024 (23) 6.26
-10.05% Feb 2001 Sep 2001 (8) Apr 2003 (27) 4.49
-9.83% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 4.66
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-7.16% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jun 2020 (5) 3.10
-6.86% Jun 2002 Jul 2002 (2) May 2003 (12) 4.25
-6.37% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Apr 2019 (8) 3.17
-6.25% Feb 2015 Sep 2015 (8) Mar 2016 (14) 3.60
-5.06% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Sep 2004 (6) 3.00
-4.99% Feb 2001 Mar 2001 (2) Dec 2001 (11) 2.05
-4.51% Sep 1994 Nov 1994 (3) Apr 1995 (8) 2.66
-4.36% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Sep 2004 (6) 2.66
-4.35% Nov 2007 Jan 2008 (3) Apr 2008 (6) 2.51

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1976.

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-37.96% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Feb 2011 (33) 18.93
-17.90% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 8.97
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-14.54% Jul 2014 Feb 2016 (20) Jul 2017 (37) 6.60
-13.73% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 6.54
-13.54% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 6.14
-13.50% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Dec 2012 (20) 4.88
-13.43% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Oct 1988 (14) 6.31
-13.28% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 (6) Feb 2024 (23) 6.26
-10.93% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 5.04
-10.52% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 5.02
-10.05% Feb 2001 Sep 2001 (8) Apr 2003 (27) 4.49
-9.83% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 4.66
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-9.09% Dec 1980 Sep 1981 (10) Nov 1981 (12) 4.19
-8.68% Dec 1980 Sep 1981 (10) Sep 1982 (22) 4.25
-7.94% Jan 1990 Oct 1990 (10) Feb 1991 (14) 3.88
-7.77% Dec 1981 Mar 1982 (4) Aug 1982 (9) 4.70
-7.41% Oct 1978 Nov 1978 (2) Jan 1979 (4) 4.12

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+3.79%
-0.30%
+2.76%
-1.54%
2023
+8.77%
-6.61%
+11.98%
-8.07%
2022
-7.91%
-13.28%
-13.35%
-17.79%
2021
+16.41%
-3.52%
+9.35%
-2.45%
2020
+3.64%
-17.90%
+13.93%
-7.16%
2019
+17.04%
-3.93%
+18.03%
-1.83%
2018
-6.60%
-9.83%
-4.03%
-6.37%
2017
+11.15%
-0.23%
+10.96%
-0.32%
2016
+7.88%
-3.46%
+10.82%
-3.36%
2015
-6.71%
-8.96%
-3.71%
-6.25%
2014
-0.27%
-5.11%
+9.13%
-3.27%
2013
+9.98%
-2.34%
+6.26%
-3.84%
2012
+9.05%
-5.96%
+8.84%
-2.43%
2011
-0.33%
-13.50%
+8.86%
-3.00%
2010
+12.87%
-7.69%
+16.54%
-2.77%
2009
+19.77%
-13.75%
+10.77%
-10.16%
2008
-24.01%
-29.50%
-4.18%
-13.53%
2007
+11.31%
-2.37%
+9.58%
-2.06%
2006
+12.08%
-2.41%
+12.44%
-2.71%
2005
+11.36%
-3.44%
+8.04%
-1.76%
2004
+14.33%
-5.06%
+9.88%
-4.36%
2003
+25.20%
-1.95%
+18.85%
-2.72%
2002
+4.93%
-5.27%
+3.15%
-6.86%
2001
-4.66%
-10.05%
+2.71%
-4.99%
2000
+11.53%
-2.79%
+6.88%
-3.64%
1999
+19.24%
-3.02%
+4.24%
-3.38%
1998
-1.40%
-13.54%
+8.03%
-9.44%
1997
+7.34%
-3.49%
+13.09%
-2.50%
1996
+16.09%
-3.26%
+8.18%
-2.60%
1995
+18.64%
-1.07%
+21.86%
-0.40%
1994
-1.53%
-6.66%
-1.98%
-4.64%
1993
+17.28%
-3.19%
+14.50%
-1.37%
1992
+5.45%
-2.13%
+9.15%
-1.58%
1991
+26.17%
-3.31%
+19.14%
-1.63%
1990
+1.68%
-5.15%
-2.51%
-7.94%
1989
+27.09%
-1.51%
+14.78%
-0.89%
1988
+17.78%
-2.03%
+9.18%
-1.64%
1987
+3.08%
-13.43%
+5.10%
-10.93%
1986
+16.22%
-3.66%
+17.75%
-2.42%
1985
+24.57%
-0.68%
+25.09%
-1.93%
1984
+8.53%
-2.58%
+3.75%
-4.68%
1983
+17.12%
-1.50%
+11.13%
-2.46%
1982
+15.88%
-3.72%
+28.31%
-5.34%
1981
-1.36%
-7.83%
-1.23%
-8.50%
1980
+16.18%
-10.52%
+15.59%
-13.73%
1979
+20.37%
-6.26%
+38.92%
-6.53%
1978
+13.62%
-5.84%
+13.30%
-7.41%
1977
+7.11%
-1.81%
+7.87%
-1.53%
1976
+15.46%
-2.12%
+20.55%
-2.29%