Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs (VMBS): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 2010 to June 2024 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 June 2024

Holding the Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs (VMBS) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~15 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 113 months (from June 2014 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 114 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs (VMBS) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANGUARD MORTGAGE-BACKED SECS (VMBS) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 July 2014 - 30 June 2024 (10 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 2010 - 30 June 2024 (~15 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.15% +8.57%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2019
-14.97%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
31.29%
51 out of 163
US Inflation Adjusted +0.33% +7.19%
May 2019 - Apr 2020
-21.08%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
48.47%
79 out of 163
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.86% +6.18%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
-8.22%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
21.85%
33 out of 151
US Inflation Adjusted +0.07% +4.95%
May 2018 - Apr 2020
-14.09%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2022
49.67%
75 out of 151
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.28% +4.55%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2012
-5.77%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
19.42%
27 out of 139
US Inflation Adjusted +0.66% +2.88%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2016
-10.87%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
37.41%
52 out of 139
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.35% +3.39%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-3.49%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
17.32%
22 out of 127
US Inflation Adjusted +0.62% +1.95%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2015
-7.81%
May 2020 - Apr 2024
34.65%
44 out of 127
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.15% +3.62%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2014
-1.32%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022
16.52%
19 out of 115
US Inflation Adjusted +0.59% +1.93%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2015
-4.99%
May 2019 - Apr 2024
33.04%
38 out of 115
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.19% +3.30%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2016
-1.26%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
12.62%
13 out of 103
US Inflation Adjusted +0.33% +1.82%
May 2014 - Apr 2020
-4.82%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
38.83%
40 out of 103
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.14% +3.26%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-1.01%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
10.99%
10 out of 91
US Inflation Adjusted +0.44% +1.72%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2020
-4.35%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
35.16%
32 out of 91
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.39% +2.92%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
-0.51%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
5.06%
4 out of 79
US Inflation Adjusted +0.55% +1.26%
May 2012 - Apr 2020
-3.66%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
37.97%
30 out of 79
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.14% +3.07%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020
-0.17%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
1.49%
1 out of 67
US Inflation Adjusted +0.20% +1.45%
May 2011 - Apr 2020
-3.00%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
46.27%
31 out of 67
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.59% +3.17%
May 2010 - Apr 2020
+0.23%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 55
US Inflation Adjusted -0.71% +1.50%
May 2010 - Apr 2020
-2.48%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
54.55%
30 out of 55
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.16% +3.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
+0.16%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 43
US Inflation Adjusted -1.45% +1.37%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020
-2.39%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
67.44%
29 out of 43
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.16% +2.73%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
+0.44%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 31
US Inflation Adjusted -1.34% +0.56%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021
-2.08%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
90.32%
28 out of 31
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.35% +1.68%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2023
+0.71%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
0.00%
0 out of 19
US Inflation Adjusted -1.24% -0.82%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2023
-1.88%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
100.00%
19 out of 19
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.54% +1.78%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
+1.35%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
0.00%
0 out of 7
US Inflation Adjusted -1.03% -0.74%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023
-1.26%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
100.00%
7 out of 7
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month

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14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

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To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Secs (VMBS) ETF: Historical Returns page.