VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Long Municipal Index (MLN): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from January 1978 to April 2024 (~46 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 April 2024

Holding the VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Long Municipal Index (MLN) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~46 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 92 months (from March 2016 to October 2023).

This means that every rolling period of 93 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Long Municipal Index (MLN) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

VANECK VECTORS AMT-FREE LONG MUNICIPAL INDEX (MLN) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to April 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 2.36% (updated at Apr 30, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

VANECK VECTORS AMT-FREE LONG MUNICIPAL INDEX (MLN) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 May 1994 - 30 April 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 January 1978 - 30 April 2024 (~46 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

Swipe left to see all data
Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.93% +38.56%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1982 		-22.25%
Apr 1979 - Mar 1980 		20.18%
110 out of 545
US Inflation Adjusted +3.14% +33.45%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1982 		-32.15%
Apr 1979 - Mar 1980 		35.23%
192 out of 545
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.04% +24.30%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1983 		-17.99%
Sep 1979 - Aug 1981 		12.20%
65 out of 533
US Inflation Adjusted +3.14% +19.70%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1983 		-26.68%
Sep 1979 - Aug 1981 		21.39%
114 out of 533
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.06% +19.33%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985 		-11.43%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981 		9.21%
48 out of 521
US Inflation Adjusted +3.44% +14.91%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1985 		-20.83%
Oct 1978 - Sep 1981 		13.82%
72 out of 521
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.97% +19.46%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1986 		-6.41%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1981 		6.48%
33 out of 509
US Inflation Adjusted +3.41% +15.20%
Apr 1982 - Mar 1986 		-15.58%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1981 		13.16%
67 out of 509
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.17% +19.01%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1987 		-1.44%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 		1.41%
7 out of 497
US Inflation Adjusted +3.49% +15.13%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1987 		-7.48%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1982 		11.87%
59 out of 497
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.22% +15.38%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987 		-0.93%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 		1.03%
5 out of 485
US Inflation Adjusted +3.67% +11.32%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1987 		-6.69%
Jun 1978 - May 1984 		10.72%
52 out of 485
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.24% +14.32%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1988 		-0.43%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023 		0.42%
2 out of 473
US Inflation Adjusted +3.71% +10.33%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1988 		-4.10%
Jan 1978 - Dec 1984 		9.73%
46 out of 473
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.13% +13.74%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1989 		+0.47%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 461
US Inflation Adjusted +3.66% +9.63%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1989 		-2.72%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023 		8.24%
38 out of 461
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.08% +12.74%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1990 		+0.80%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 449
US Inflation Adjusted +3.67% +8.38%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1990 		-2.06%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 		6.90%
31 out of 449
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.16% +12.61%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1991 		+0.93%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 437
US Inflation Adjusted +3.70% +8.37%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1991 		-1.57%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 		6.18%
27 out of 437
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.14% +12.31%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1992 		+1.08%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 425
US Inflation Adjusted +3.58% +8.16%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1992 		-1.49%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 		4.47%
19 out of 425
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.16% +12.45%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993 		+2.09%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 413
US Inflation Adjusted +3.60% +8.37%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1993 		-0.47%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 		1.94%
8 out of 413
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.11% +11.28%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994 		+2.17%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 401
US Inflation Adjusted +3.48% +7.24%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1994 		-0.46%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 		0.50%
2 out of 401
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.97% +11.43%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1995 		+2.59%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 389
US Inflation Adjusted +3.45% +7.58%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1995 		+0.03%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 389
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.16% +10.95%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1996 		+3.27%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 377
US Inflation Adjusted +3.54% +7.13%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1996 		+0.87%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 377
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.21% +10.84%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1997 		+3.22%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 365
US Inflation Adjusted +3.41% +7.15%
Jan 1982 - Dec 1997 		+0.74%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 365
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.20% +10.66%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998 		+3.18%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 353
US Inflation Adjusted +3.45% +7.05%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1998 		+0.66%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 353
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.30% +9.88%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999 		+3.29%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 341
US Inflation Adjusted +3.42% +6.34%
Oct 1981 - Sep 1999 		+0.77%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2022 		0.00%
0 out of 341
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.20% +9.91%
Jan 1982 - Dec 2000 		+3.25%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 329
US Inflation Adjusted +3.46% +6.39%
Jan 1982 - Dec 2000 		+0.69%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 329
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.34% +9.82%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2001 		+3.40%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 317
US Inflation Adjusted +3.46% +6.30%
Oct 1981 - Sep 2001 		+0.80%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 		0.00%
0 out of 317
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the VanEck Vectors AMT-Free Long Municipal Index (MLN) ETF: Historical Returns page.