When holding the iShares S&P 500 Communication Sector (IU5C.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~21 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 77 months (from August 2016 to December 2022).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 78 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares S&P 500 Communication Sector (IU5C.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-36.16%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+14.18% |
+49.78%
Mar 2023 - Feb 2024 |
23.65%
57 out of 241 |
|
-41.54%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+12.24% |
+46.61%
Apr 2020 - Mar 2021 |
25.73%
62 out of 241 |
|
-23.75%
Jun 2007 - May 2009 |
+13.42% |
+47.92%
Jan 2023 - Dec 2024 |
24.45%
56 out of 229 |
|
-25.12%
Jun 2007 - May 2009 |
+11.68% |
+44.05%
Jan 2023 - Dec 2024 |
27.51%
63 out of 229 |
|
-12.65%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2009 |
+9.36% |
+34.88%
Jan 2023 - Dec 2025 |
17.97%
39 out of 217 |
|
-14.24%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2009 |
+6.96% |
+31.74%
Jan 2023 - Dec 2025 |
27.19%
59 out of 217 |
|
-5.08%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2009 |
+9.19% |
+20.18%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2013 |
16.59%
34 out of 205 |
|
-6.82%
Dec 2005 - Nov 2009 |
+6.39% |
+18.97%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2016 |
18.54%
38 out of 205 |
|
-1.58%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2012 |
+9.18% |
+19.37%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2014 |
4.66%
9 out of 193 |
|
-3.55%
Feb 2007 - Jan 2012 |
+7.30% |
+17.51%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2016 |
9.84%
19 out of 193 |
|
-1.13%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2022 |
+9.03% |
+19.89%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.55%
1 out of 181 |
|
-3.95%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2022 |
+7.88% |
+18.26%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
5.52%
10 out of 181 |
|
+2.45%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2022 |
+9.54% |
+18.09%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 169 |
|
-0.22%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2022 |
+8.22% |
+16.59%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2016 |
0.59%
1 out of 169 |
|
+3.65%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+9.31% |
+18.24%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
|
+1.06%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+7.70% |
+16.77%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 157 |
|
+5.37%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2022 |
+9.66% |
+13.66%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 145 |
|
+3.22%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2022 |
+7.47% |
+12.23%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 145 |
|
+6.20%
Jul 2007 - Jun 2017 |
+10.04% |
+14.39%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 133 |
|
+4.63%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2022 |
+7.85% |
+13.01%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 133 |
|
+4.42%
Jun 2007 - May 2018 |
+9.97% |
+13.33%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 121 |
|
+2.93%
Jun 2007 - May 2018 |
+8.22% |
+11.83%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 121 |
|
+4.60%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2018 |
+10.23% |
+14.76%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 109 |
|
+3.08%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2018 |
+8.10% |
+13.22%
Sep 2009 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 109 |
|
+5.18%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
+9.88% |
+14.15%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 97 |
|
+3.74%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2020 |
+7.61% |
+12.53%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 97 |
|
+5.69%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+9.51% |
+13.34%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 85 |
|
+4.21%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+7.70% |
+11.01%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 85 |
|
+5.68%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2022 |
+8.74% |
+13.83%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 73 |
|
+3.64%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2022 |
+7.15% |
+11.40%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 73 |
|
+4.98%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2022 |
+9.36% |
+14.04%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 61 |
|
+2.90%
Jan 2007 - Dec 2022 |
+7.68% |
+11.69%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 61 |
|
+5.95%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2022 |
+7.99% |
+13.61%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 49 |
|
+3.86%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2022 |
+5.77% |
+11.33%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 49 |
|
+6.52%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022 |
+8.36% |
+10.27%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 37 |
|
+4.41%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2022 |
+6.13% |
+8.06%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 37 |
|
+8.42%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2023 |
+9.32% |
+10.01%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 25 |
|
+6.22%
Jan 2005 - Dec 2023 |
+7.06% |
+7.76%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 25 |
|
+9.52%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2025 |
+9.83% |
+10.58%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 13 |
|
+7.25%
Aug 2005 - Jul 2025 |
+7.56% |
+8.30%
Feb 2005 - Jan 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 13 |
iShares S&P 500 Communication Sector (IU5C.DE) ETF: Historical Returns

