iShares MSCI World Quality Factor (IS3Q.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: January 1995 - March 2026 (~31 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the iShares MSCI World Quality Factor (IS3Q.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~31 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 143 months (from January 2000 to November 2011).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 144 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ISHARES MSCI WORLD QUALITY FACTOR (IS3Q.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 March 2026 (~31 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1995/01 - 2026/03)

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As of Mar 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 11.07%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES MSCI WORLD QUALITY FACTOR (IS3Q.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 April 1996 - 31 March 2026 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 March 2026 (~31 years)
30 Years
(1996/04 - 2026/03)
All Data
(1995/01 - 2026/03)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES MSCI WORLD QUALITY FACTOR (IS3Q.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 March 2026 (~31 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-38.79%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+11.81% +51.55%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997
19.51%
71 out of 364
-40.21%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+9.73% +49.33%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997
23.63%
86 out of 364
-23.59%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+12.27% +34.24%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2000
17.33%
61 out of 352
-25.20%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002
+9.96% +31.83%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2000
21.59%
76 out of 352
-17.15%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+11.49% +28.78%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1999
18.82%
64 out of 340
-19.06%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+9.00% +27.10%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1999
20.29%
69 out of 340
-11.42%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004
+10.15% +26.84%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
21.34%
70 out of 328
-13.36%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2004
+8.04% +24.97%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000
26.22%
86 out of 328
-6.88%
May 2000 - Apr 2005
+10.40% +24.91%
Nov 1995 - Oct 2000
15.51%
49 out of 316
-8.94%
May 2000 - Apr 2005
+7.41% +22.89%
Nov 1995 - Oct 2000
25.63%
81 out of 316
-3.54%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+9.42% +21.46%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2015
11.18%
34 out of 304
-5.64%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+7.10% +19.74%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
23.03%
70 out of 304
-6.49%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+7.94% +17.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
9.59%
28 out of 292
-8.41%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+6.15% +16.12%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
17.47%
51 out of 292
-5.67%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+7.48% +17.69%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
10.00%
28 out of 280
-7.74%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008
+5.55% +16.23%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
12.14%
34 out of 280
-5.82%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+7.67% +15.84%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
9.33%
25 out of 268
-7.78%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+5.89% +14.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
15.30%
41 out of 268
-2.86%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2009
+8.15% +15.46%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2019
11.33%
29 out of 256
-4.87%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2009
+6.34% +13.96%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2019
17.97%
46 out of 256
-1.67%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+8.28% +14.86%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
6.97%
17 out of 244
-3.70%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+6.59% +13.44%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
20.08%
49 out of 244
+0.01%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+8.49% +15.28%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 232
-2.11%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+6.85% +13.84%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2021
16.38%
38 out of 232
+0.99%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
+8.33% +15.36%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 220
-1.14%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2012
+6.65% +13.60%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
7.73%
17 out of 220
+2.14%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+8.41% +13.85%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 208
+0.12%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+6.76% +11.56%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 208
+3.23%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2015
+8.13% +14.80%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 196
+1.40%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2015
+6.42% +12.42%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 196
+3.40%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016
+7.69% +14.78%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 184
+1.64%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016
+5.93% +12.42%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
0.00%
0 out of 184
+3.83%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+6.95% +14.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 172
+2.09%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+4.89% +11.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026
0.00%
0 out of 172
+4.12%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+7.30% +10.90%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2026
0.00%
0 out of 160
+2.35%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+5.31% +8.70%
Jan 2004 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 160
+4.14%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+7.68% +10.41%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 148
+2.36%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018
+5.78% +8.44%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 148
+4.31%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+7.60% +10.71%
Dec 2004 - Nov 2024
0.00%
0 out of 136
+2.61%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+5.82% +8.44%
Dec 2004 - Nov 2024
0.00%
0 out of 136
+6.20%
May 2000 - Apr 2025
+7.42% +9.15%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2021
0.00%
0 out of 76
+3.97%
May 2000 - Apr 2025
+5.28% +7.39%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2021
0.00%
0 out of 76
+8.74%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2026
+9.13% +9.69%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 16
+6.56%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2026
+6.95% +7.51%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 16
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