When holding the iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~29 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 271 months (from March 2000 to September 2022).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 272 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-57.86%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+8.08% |
+86.90%
Jun 1997 - May 1998 |
39.40%
132 out of 335 |
|
-57.87%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+5.25% |
+83.80%
Jun 1997 - May 1998 |
41.79%
140 out of 335 |
|
-36.92%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+6.78% |
+42.25%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1998 |
35.91%
116 out of 323 |
|
-38.19%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009 |
+3.22% |
+39.94%
Jan 1997 - Dec 1998 |
43.03%
139 out of 323 |
|
-22.98%
Jun 2007 - May 2010 |
+3.44% |
+39.11%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025 |
41.16%
128 out of 311 |
|
-24.24%
Jun 2007 - May 2010 |
+0.86% |
+34.97%
Oct 2022 - Sep 2025 |
46.62%
145 out of 311 |
|
-21.90%
Jun 2008 - May 2012 |
+2.54% |
+28.38%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 |
34.78%
104 out of 299 |
|
-23.08%
Jun 2008 - May 2012 |
+0.53% |
+24.89%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2007 |
46.49%
139 out of 299 |
|
-19.26%
Jun 2007 - May 2012 |
+2.78% |
+24.95%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
34.84%
100 out of 287 |
|
-20.88%
Jun 2007 - May 2012 |
+0.78% |
+21.44%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2007 |
46.69%
134 out of 287 |
|
-13.08%
Jul 2007 - Jun 2013 |
+4.35% |
+17.69%
Nov 2001 - Oct 2007 |
31.27%
86 out of 275 |
|
-14.91%
Jun 2006 - May 2012 |
+1.57% |
+14.59%
Oct 2001 - Sep 2007 |
37.45%
103 out of 275 |
|
-8.99%
Jan 2008 - Dec 2014 |
+3.09% |
+14.76%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2025 |
27.00%
71 out of 263 |
|
-10.92%
Jun 2005 - May 2012 |
+1.18% |
+10.74%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2025 |
39.92%
105 out of 263 |
|
-8.68%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016 |
+3.13% |
+14.17%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2005 |
34.66%
87 out of 251 |
|
-9.93%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2016 |
+0.96% |
+11.54%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2005 |
44.62%
112 out of 251 |
|
-9.13%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2016 |
+1.94% |
+14.21%
May 1997 - Apr 2006 |
33.89%
81 out of 239 |
|
-10.51%
Dec 2007 - Nov 2016 |
-0.28% |
+11.36%
May 1997 - Apr 2006 |
52.72%
126 out of 239 |
|
-7.54%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2016 |
+1.54% |
+15.25%
May 1997 - Apr 2007 |
29.07%
66 out of 227 |
|
-9.19%
Dec 2006 - Nov 2016 |
-0.72% |
+12.37%
May 1997 - Apr 2007 |
59.47%
135 out of 227 |
|
-6.01%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018 |
+1.31% |
+13.40%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2007 |
34.88%
75 out of 215 |
|
-7.62%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2018 |
-1.03% |
+10.50%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2007 |
61.86%
133 out of 215 |
|
-5.64%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 |
+1.39% |
+9.47%
Jul 2013 - Jun 2025 |
39.90%
81 out of 203 |
|
-7.05%
May 2008 - Apr 2020 |
-1.13% |
+6.54%
Jul 2013 - Jun 2025 |
61.08%
124 out of 203 |
|
-5.92%
May 2007 - Apr 2020 |
+0.72% |
+10.21%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
40.31%
77 out of 191 |
|
-7.48%
May 2007 - Apr 2020 |
-1.59% |
+7.38%
Jun 2012 - May 2025 |
64.40%
123 out of 191 |
|
-3.99%
May 2006 - Apr 2020 |
+1.13% |
+9.09%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025 |
33.52%
60 out of 179 |
|
-5.64%
May 2006 - Apr 2020 |
-0.99% |
+6.33%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2025 |
73.18%
131 out of 179 |
|
-4.36%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
+0.90% |
+7.04%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2025 |
32.93%
55 out of 167 |
|
-6.57%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2022 |
-1.28% |
+4.28%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2025 |
71.26%
119 out of 167 |
|
-3.16%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2022 |
+1.19% |
+6.70%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
33.55%
52 out of 155 |
|
-5.43%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2022 |
-0.98% |
+4.02%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
66.45%
103 out of 155 |
|
-2.02%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2022 |
+1.21% |
+5.96%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2025 |
28.67%
41 out of 143 |
|
-4.30%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2022 |
-0.88% |
+3.50%
May 1997 - Apr 2014 |
78.32%
112 out of 143 |
|
-0.65%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2022 |
+1.14% |
+4.79%
Jun 1997 - May 2015 |
9.92%
13 out of 131 |
|
-3.08%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2022 |
-1.01% |
+2.52%
Jun 1997 - May 2015 |
73.28%
96 out of 131 |
|
-0.32%
May 2001 - Apr 2020 |
+1.62% |
+4.23%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 |
1.68%
2 out of 119 |
|
-2.26%
May 2001 - Apr 2020 |
-0.70% |
+1.98%
Oct 2002 - Sep 2021 |
75.63%
90 out of 119 |
|
-0.48%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+2.42% |
+4.02%
Jun 1997 - May 2017 |
2.80%
3 out of 107 |
|
-2.51%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
-0.07% |
+1.85%
Jun 1997 - May 2017 |
53.27%
57 out of 107 |
|
+1.70%
Jun 1998 - May 2023 |
+2.88% |
+4.58%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 47 |
|
-0.81%
Jun 1998 - May 2023 |
+0.35% |
+2.23%
Jan 1997 - Dec 2021 |
23.40%
11 out of 47 |
iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI) ETF: Historical Returns

