When holding the Amundi MSCI Japan (LCUJ.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~53 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 636 months (from January 1972 to December 2024). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Amundi MSCI Japan (LCUJ.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Dec 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -33.66%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-99.31%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018 |
+5.94% |
+124.04%
Jan 1999 - Dec 1999 |
38.24%
239 out of 625 |
-99.32%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018 |
+3.45% |
+120.20%
Jan 1999 - Dec 1999 |
41.92%
262 out of 625 |
-91.32%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2020 |
+6.74% |
+59.41%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2000 |
33.93%
208 out of 613 |
-91.43%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2020 |
+3.46% |
+56.55%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2000 |
40.46%
248 out of 613 |
-80.19%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2020 |
+5.94% |
+35.07%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1983 |
30.78%
185 out of 601 |
-80.41%
Apr 2017 - Mar 2020 |
+2.85% |
+30.83%
Aug 1985 - Jul 1988 |
39.27%
236 out of 601 |
-69.69%
Jun 2015 - May 2019 |
+5.17% |
+37.24%
May 1980 - Apr 1984 |
32.09%
189 out of 589 |
-70.03%
Jun 2015 - May 2019 |
+1.93% |
+34.35%
Sep 1982 - Aug 1986 |
42.95%
253 out of 589 |
-61.46%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020 |
+4.27% |
+32.89%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
34.66%
200 out of 577 |
-62.68%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+1.24% |
+30.96%
Oct 1982 - Sep 1987 |
44.19%
255 out of 577 |
-54.00%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023 |
+2.32% |
+31.34%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1986 |
35.93%
203 out of 565 |
-55.43%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023 |
-0.26% |
+27.41%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1988 |
52.39%
296 out of 565 |
-48.30%
Jul 2015 - Jun 2022 |
+2.23% |
+30.15%
May 1980 - Apr 1987 |
41.59%
230 out of 553 |
-49.45%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
-0.33% |
+26.55%
May 1980 - Apr 1987 |
50.81%
281 out of 553 |
-43.38%
May 2015 - Apr 2023 |
+2.27% |
+27.92%
May 1980 - Apr 1988 |
39.00%
211 out of 541 |
-44.81%
May 2015 - Apr 2023 |
-0.61% |
+24.67%
May 1980 - Apr 1988 |
51.76%
280 out of 541 |
-38.58%
Jun 2015 - May 2024 |
+2.52% |
+27.51%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1989 |
31.57%
167 out of 529 |
-40.12%
Jun 2015 - May 2024 |
+0.44% |
+24.19%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1989 |
47.26%
250 out of 529 |
-34.63%
May 2013 - Apr 2023 |
+2.72% |
+25.57%
Dec 1979 - Nov 1989 |
32.30%
167 out of 517 |
-36.00%
May 2013 - Apr 2023 |
+0.64% |
+22.18%
Dec 1979 - Nov 1989 |
44.87%
232 out of 517 |
-33.77%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2018 |
+2.76% |
+22.07%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1989 |
31.68%
160 out of 505 |
-34.72%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2018 |
+0.75% |
+18.55%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1989 |
44.16%
223 out of 505 |
-32.10%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2018 |
+2.56% |
+20.98%
Dec 1977 - Nov 1989 |
32.45%
160 out of 493 |
-33.10%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2018 |
+0.60% |
+17.49%
Dec 1977 - Nov 1989 |
46.86%
231 out of 493 |
-30.28%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2018 |
+3.04% |
+19.40%
Oct 1974 - Sep 1987 |
32.22%
155 out of 481 |
-31.31%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2018 |
+0.89% |
+15.80%
Nov 1976 - Oct 1989 |
47.40%
228 out of 481 |
-28.39%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+2.30% |
+20.02%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1989 |
34.97%
164 out of 469 |
-29.40%
Apr 2006 - Mar 2020 |
+0.28% |
+16.29%
Feb 1975 - Jan 1989 |
48.83%
229 out of 469 |
-25.66%
Feb 2006 - Jan 2021 |
+2.28% |
+19.59%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1989 |
35.67%
163 out of 457 |
-26.75%
Jul 2007 - Jun 2022 |
+0.16% |
+15.85%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1989 |
49.45%
226 out of 457 |
-24.21%
May 2006 - Apr 2022 |
+1.64% |
+16.22%
Dec 1973 - Nov 1989 |
33.03%
147 out of 445 |
-25.60%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2022 |
-0.34% |
+12.44%
Jan 1974 - Dec 1989 |
53.03%
236 out of 445 |
-23.66%
Jun 2001 - May 2018 |
+1.47% |
+15.69%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1991 |
28.64%
124 out of 433 |
-24.92%
Jun 2001 - May 2018 |
-0.71% |
+11.95%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1991 |
55.43%
240 out of 433 |
-23.91%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+1.94% |
+15.17%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1989 |
29.22%
123 out of 421 |
-25.20%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
-0.13% |
+10.98%
Jan 1972 - Dec 1989 |
50.83%
214 out of 421 |
-22.95%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+2.56% |
+14.51%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1993 |
31.05%
127 out of 409 |
-24.26%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+0.65% |
+10.81%
Nov 1974 - Oct 1993 |
45.72%
187 out of 409 |
-21.92%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+2.84% |
+14.34%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000 |
29.72%
118 out of 397 |
-23.19%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+0.81% |
+11.43%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000 |
44.08%
175 out of 397 |
-16.33%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024 |
+2.66% |
+13.24%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999 |
25.22%
85 out of 337 |
-18.06%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024 |
+0.57% |
+9.98%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999 |
42.43%
143 out of 337 |
-13.69%
Jun 1989 - May 2019 |
+4.11% |
+8.58%
Jan 1975 - Dec 2004 |
29.60%
82 out of 277 |
-15.40%
Jun 1989 - May 2019 |
+1.96% |
+5.64%
Mar 1976 - Feb 2006 |
29.60%
82 out of 277 |
Amundi MSCI Japan (LCUJ.DE) ETF: Historical Returns