Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: Rolling Returns

Last Update: 30 April 2023

Implementing the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all 6 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 100.00% of times

Considering all 2 years rolling periods, you would have obtained a positive returns 91.99% of times

All the returns are calculated over the available historical serie, starting from January 1985 until April 2023.

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.

Rolling Returns

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: annualized rolling and average returns

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Rolling Period	*Return ()**			Negative Periods
Rolling Period	Average (%)	Best (%)	Worst (%)	Negative Periods
1 Year	9.53	37.91 Apr 1985 - Mar 1986	-25.31 Mar 2008 - Feb 2009	16.26%
2 Years	9.28	25.27 Mar 1985 - Feb 1987	-11.24 Mar 2007 - Feb 2009	8.01%
3 Years	9.13	20.59 Dec 1994 - Nov 1997	-5.41 Mar 2006 - Feb 2009	3.06%
4 Years	9.07	19.48 Jan 1995 - Dec 1998	-2.51 Mar 2005 - Feb 2009	1.21%
5 Years	9.01	17.45 Jan 1995 - Dec 1999	-0.85 Mar 2004 - Feb 2009	0.25%
6 Years	8.99	15.56 Jul 1994 - Jun 2000	2.88 Mar 2003 - Feb 2009	0.00%
7 Years	8.95	15.55 Oct 1990 - Sep 1997	2.22 Mar 2002 - Feb 2009	0.00%
8 Years	8.90	15.03 Nov 1990 - Oct 1998	1.84 Mar 2001 - Feb 2009	0.00%
9 Years	8.88	14.60 Nov 1990 - Oct 1999	1.83 Mar 2000 - Feb 2009	0.00%
10 Years	8.87	14.28 Sep 1990 - Aug 2000	2.76 Mar 1999 - Feb 2009	0.00%
11 Years	8.84	14.09 Dec 1987 - Nov 1998	3.41 Mar 1998 - Feb 2009	0.00%
12 Years	8.79	13.78 Oct 1985 - Sep 1997	4.99 Mar 1997 - Feb 2009	0.00%
13 Years	8.71	14.10 Apr 1985 - Mar 1998	5.58 Sep 2000 - Aug 2013	0.00%
14 Years	8.59	14.16 Jan 1985 - Dec 1998	5.98 Jan 2005 - Dec 2018	0.00%
15 Years	8.47	13.85 Jan 1985 - Dec 1999	5.76 Feb 2001 - Jan 2016	0.00%
20 Years	8.41	11.75 Jan 1985 - Dec 2004	5.74 Apr 2000 - Mar 2020	0.00%
30 Years	8.86	10.06 Jan 1985 - Dec 2014	7.85 Mar 1993 - Feb 2023	0.00%

(*) Annualized rolling and average returns over full calendar month periods

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.53%	+37.91% Apr 1985 - Mar 1986	-25.31% Mar 2008 - Feb 2009	16.26% 73 out of 449

1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns over time

1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.28%	+25.27% Mar 1985 - Feb 1987	-11.24% Mar 2007 - Feb 2009	8.01% 35 out of 437

2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.13%	+20.59% Dec 1994 - Nov 1997	-5.41% Mar 2006 - Feb 2009	3.06% 13 out of 425

3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.07%	+19.48% Jan 1995 - Dec 1998	-2.51% Mar 2005 - Feb 2009	1.21% 5 out of 413

4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+9.01%	+17.45% Jan 1995 - Dec 1999	-0.85% Mar 2004 - Feb 2009	0.25% 1 out of 401

5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.99%	+15.56% Jul 1994 - Jun 2000	+2.88% Mar 2003 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 389

6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.95%	+15.55% Oct 1990 - Sep 1997	+2.22% Mar 2002 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 377

7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.90%	+15.03% Nov 1990 - Oct 1998	+1.84% Mar 2001 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 365

8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.88%	+14.60% Nov 1990 - Oct 1999	+1.83% Mar 2000 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 353

9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.87%	+14.28% Sep 1990 - Aug 2000	+2.76% Mar 1999 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 341

10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.84%	+14.09% Dec 1987 - Nov 1998	+3.41% Mar 1998 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 329

11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.79%	+13.78% Oct 1985 - Sep 1997	+4.99% Mar 1997 - Feb 2009	0.00% 0 out of 317

12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.71%	+14.10% Apr 1985 - Mar 1998	+5.58% Sep 2000 - Aug 2013	0.00% 0 out of 305

13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.59%	+14.16% Jan 1985 - Dec 1998	+5.98% Jan 2005 - Dec 2018	0.00% 0 out of 293

14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.47%	+13.85% Jan 1985 - Dec 1999	+5.76% Feb 2001 - Jan 2016	0.00% 0 out of 281

15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.41%	+11.75% Jan 1985 - Dec 2004	+5.74% Apr 2000 - Mar 2020	0.00% 0 out of 221

20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

Annualized Rolling Returns - 30 Years (360 months)

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Average Return	Best Return	Worst Return	Negative Periods
+8.86%	+10.06% Jan 1985 - Dec 2014	+7.85% Mar 1993 - Feb 2023	0.00% 0 out of 101

30 Years Annualized Rolling Returns over time

30 Years Annualized Rolling Returns Histogram

In order to have complete information about the portfolio, please refer to the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns page.