Marvin Appel One-Decision vs Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio obtained a 7.15% compound annual return, with a 8.40% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio obtained a 7.76% compound annual return, with a 7.72% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Medium High
Asset Allocation Stocks 50% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 40%
Commodities 0% 20%
30 Years Stats Return +7.15% +7.76%
Std Dev 8.40% 7.72%
Max Drawdown -31.96% -17.79%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1928)
Return +7.26% +8.31%
Std Dev 9.39% 8.85%
Max Drawdown -47.77% -48.31%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1928

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio +1.66 +11.88 +10.82 +5.85 +5.79 +7.15 +7.26
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio +3.22 +13.99 +9.26 +6.61 +5.77 +7.76 +8.31
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 7.94$, with a total return of 693.75% (7.15% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.42$, with a total return of 841.59% (7.76% annualized).

Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1928, now would be worth 850.79$, with a total return of 84979.15% (7.26% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1928, now would be worth 2177.07$, with a total return of 217607.10% (8.31% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-31.96% Jun 2007 Feb 2009 (21) Oct 2010 (41) 13.28
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-16.74% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.18
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-13.04% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Nov 2020 (10) 5.40
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-8.52% Jun 2011 Sep 2011 (4) Jan 2012 (8) 3.61
-8.13% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Dec 1998 (6) 3.91
-7.23% Apr 2002 Sep 2002 (6) May 2003 (14) 4.72
-7.16% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jun 2020 (5) 3.10
-6.99% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 3.10
-6.86% Jun 2002 Jul 2002 (2) May 2003 (12) 4.25
-6.37% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Apr 2019 (8) 3.17
-6.25% Feb 2015 Sep 2015 (8) Mar 2016 (14) 3.60
-4.99% Feb 2001 Mar 2001 (2) Dec 2001 (11) 2.05
-4.76% Apr 2015 Sep 2015 (6) Mar 2016 (12) 2.77
-4.65% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Aug 2004 (5) 2.49
-4.36% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Sep 2004 (6) 2.66
-3.84% Apr 2013 Jun 2013 (3) Sep 2013 (6) 1.60
-3.64% Sep 2000 Nov 2000 (3) Dec 2000 (4) 1.86

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1928.

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Marvin Appel One-Decision Portfolio
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-48.31% Sep 1929 May 1932 (33) Jun 1935 (70) 23.15
-47.77% Sep 1929 May 1932 (33) Jul 1936 (83) 23.27
-31.96% Jun 2007 Feb 2009 (21) Oct 2010 (41) 13.28
-23.45% Mar 1937 Mar 1938 (13) Jan 1943 (71) 9.73
-23.43% Aug 1937 Mar 1938 (8) Jan 1943 (66) 10.09
-18.44% Dec 1972 Sep 1974 (22) Jun 1975 (31) 8.48
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-17.05% May 1969 Jun 1970 (14) Feb 1971 (22) 9.63
-16.74% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.18
-14.87% Apr 1974 Sep 1974 (6) Jan 1975 (10) 8.03
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-13.73% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 6.54
-13.04% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Nov 2020 (10) 5.40
-12.38% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Sep 1988 (13) 5.77
-10.93% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 5.04
-10.40% Dec 1968 Jun 1970 (19) Nov 1970 (24) 4.31
-9.56% Dec 1961 Jun 1962 (7) Jan 1963 (14) 4.62
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-9.34% Jun 1946 Nov 1946 (6) May 1948 (24) 5.21
-9.09% Dec 1980 Sep 1981 (10) Nov 1981 (12) 4.19

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+1.87%
-1.20%
+2.76%
-1.54%
2023
+12.43%
-7.22%
+11.98%
-8.07%
2022
-13.18%
-16.74%
-13.35%
-17.79%
2021
+16.51%
-2.73%
+9.35%
-2.45%
2020
+5.32%
-13.04%
+13.93%
-7.16%
2019
+18.51%
-2.02%
+18.03%
-1.83%
2018
-3.64%
-6.99%
-4.03%
-6.37%
2017
+8.07%
-0.59%
+10.96%
-0.32%
2016
+8.52%
-3.21%
+10.82%
-3.36%
2015
-0.25%
-4.76%
-3.71%
-6.25%
2014
+11.14%
-2.54%
+9.13%
-3.27%
2013
+10.43%
-2.72%
+6.26%
-3.84%
2012
+10.65%
-2.81%
+8.84%
-2.43%
2011
+3.87%
-8.52%
+8.86%
-3.00%
2010
+13.01%
-6.14%
+16.54%
-2.77%
2009
+15.30%
-14.35%
+10.77%
-10.16%
2008
-16.74%
-22.59%
-4.18%
-13.53%
2007
-0.68%
-5.17%
+9.58%
-2.06%
2006
+14.45%
-1.98%
+12.44%
-2.71%
2005
+5.08%
-2.36%
+8.04%
-1.76%
2004
+12.05%
-4.65%
+9.88%
-4.36%
2003
+18.87%
-1.57%
+18.85%
-2.72%
2002
-2.42%
-7.23%
+3.15%
-6.86%
2001
+4.32%
-3.58%
+2.71%
-4.99%
2000
+9.42%
-2.13%
+6.88%
-3.64%
1999
+4.70%
-3.16%
+4.24%
-3.38%
1998
+5.32%
-8.13%
+8.03%
-9.44%
1997
+17.36%
-1.24%
+13.09%
-2.50%
1996
+15.52%
-1.31%
+8.18%
-2.60%
1995
+19.02%
-0.66%
+21.86%
-0.40%
1994
-1.28%
-5.02%
-1.98%
-4.64%
1993
+11.41%
-1.82%
+14.50%
-1.37%
1992
+9.68%
-0.89%
+9.15%
-1.58%
1991
+23.01%
-1.99%
+19.14%
-1.63%
1990
-1.89%
-7.50%
-2.51%
-7.94%
1989
+15.28%
-0.97%
+14.78%
-0.89%
1988
+12.57%
-1.14%
+9.18%
-1.64%
1987
+2.00%
-12.38%
+5.10%
-10.93%
1986
+13.98%
-2.95%
+17.75%
-2.42%
1985
+20.92%
-1.32%
+25.09%
-1.93%
1984
+12.26%
-2.55%
+3.75%
-4.68%
1983
+19.12%
-1.46%
+11.13%
-2.46%
1982
+23.18%
-1.47%
+28.31%
-5.34%
1981
+6.73%
-5.61%
-1.23%
-8.50%
1980
+17.14%
-6.77%
+15.59%
-13.73%
1979
+17.24%
-6.81%
+38.92%
-6.53%
1978
+7.38%
-5.77%
+13.30%
-7.41%
1977
+6.67%
-0.92%
+7.87%
-1.53%
1976
+25.20%
-1.17%
+20.55%
-2.29%
1975
+21.70%
-5.67%
+16.99%
-8.68%
1974
-10.56%
-15.06%
+5.51%
-14.87%
1973
-6.39%
-6.65%
+7.22%
-5.95%
1972
+8.28%
-1.29%
+17.32%
-1.70%
1971
+8.61%
-4.84%
+14.13%
-3.04%
1970
+8.28%
-8.62%
+8.32%
-8.47%
1969
-0.95%
-4.58%
-9.95%
-11.26%
1968
+8.59%
-2.35%
+14.16%
-1.16%
1967
+11.78%
-2.65%
+15.73%
-1.53%
1966
-0.03%
-6.32%
-1.43%
-6.81%
1965
+7.42%
-2.29%
+9.98%
-1.26%
1964
+7.72%
-0.79%
+9.63%
-0.39%
1963
+8.66%
-1.64%
+9.52%
-1.19%
1962
-0.86%
-9.52%
-2.25%
-8.47%
1961
+9.51%
-1.97%
+11.32%
-1.53%
1960
+3.46%
-3.30%
+4.68%
-2.33%
1959
+4.93%
-3.33%
+5.78%
-2.67%
1958
+15.16%
-1.24%
+21.04%
-0.09%
1957
-0.23%
-5.65%
-1.90%
-5.44%
1956
+2.65%
-4.39%
+2.40%
-3.74%
1955
+8.77%
-2.41%
+9.05%
-1.20%
1954
+17.75%
-2.51%
+24.09%
-1.32%
1953
+3.01%
-2.68%
-1.25%
-5.95%
1952
+6.69%
-2.02%
+5.01%
-1.97%
1951
+7.69%
-3.72%
+5.62%
-3.17%
1950
+12.10%
-3.16%
+15.80%
-2.07%
1949
+6.86%
-3.12%
+8.87%
-1.60%
1948
+2.07%
-5.48%
+0.60%
-4.83%
1947
+5.70%
-1.97%
+3.73%
-2.27%
1946
+2.54%
-8.87%
-2.14%
-9.34%
1945
+17.56%
-2.23%
+23.40%
-1.03%
1944
+12.01%
-0.72%
+13.20%
-0.29%
1943
+13.73%
-4.78%
+18.24%
-2.65%
1942
+7.74%
-6.44%
+8.95%
-4.55%
1941
-3.99%
-6.60%
-1.87%
-5.56%
1940
-0.89%
-11.63%
-0.80%
-9.89%
1939
-0.68%
-7.87%
-0.30%
-6.03%
1938
+10.93%
-13.41%
+14.14%
-10.34%
1937
-10.52%
-14.62%
-15.74%
-17.75%
1936
+13.90%
-4.16%
+19.77%
-2.63%
1935
+16.78%
-6.35%
+19.44%
-3.22%
1934
+2.19%
-8.93%
+5.81%
-5.68%
1933
+21.91%
-12.56%
+45.52%
-6.98%
1932
-1.37%
-21.80%
+2.29%
-16.27%
1931
-15.40%
-23.17%
-20.79%
-25.80%
1930
-6.85%
-15.85%
-10.68%
-16.78%
1929
-2.21%
-17.97%
-3.62%
-14.87%
1928
+12.69%
-2.87%
+13.65%
-2.02%