Tyler Golden Butterfly vs Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio obtained a 7.76% compound annual return, with a 7.72% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio obtained a 8.41% compound annual return, with a 10.81% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 40% 66.67%
Fixed Income 40% 33.33%
Commodities 20% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +7.76% +8.41%
Std Dev 7.72% 10.81%
Max Drawdown -17.79% -40.17%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1928)
Return +8.31% +7.78%
Std Dev 8.85% 12.36%
Max Drawdown -48.31% -57.05%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1928

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio +3.22 +13.99 +9.26 +6.61 +5.77 +7.76 +8.31
Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio +1.65 +14.76 +12.54 +6.33 +6.86 +8.41 +7.78
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.42$, with a total return of 841.59% (7.76% annualized).

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 11.26$, with a total return of 1026.50% (8.41% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1928, now would be worth 2177.07$, with a total return of 217607.10% (8.31% annualized).

Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1928, now would be worth 1354.80$, with a total return of 135380.32% (7.78% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.17% Jun 2007 Feb 2009 (21) Oct 2010 (41) 17.05
-22.88% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 14.25
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-15.16% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Aug 2020 (7) 6.94
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-10.50% Jun 2011 Sep 2011 (4) Jan 2012 (8) 4.43
-10.43% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Dec 1998 (6) 5.05
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-8.26% Apr 2002 Oct 2002 (7) May 2003 (14) 5.13
-7.57% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Feb 2019 (6) 3.56
-7.16% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jun 2020 (5) 3.10
-6.86% Jun 2002 Jul 2002 (2) May 2003 (12) 4.25
-6.69% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Aug 2004 (5) 3.63
-6.37% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Apr 2019 (8) 3.17
-6.25% Feb 2015 Sep 2015 (8) Mar 2016 (14) 3.60
-5.69% Apr 2015 Aug 2015 (5) Mar 2016 (12) 3.12
-5.28% Sep 1994 Nov 1994 (3) Feb 1995 (6) 2.68
-5.08% Feb 2001 Mar 2001 (2) Jun 2001 (5) 2.68
-4.99% Feb 2001 Mar 2001 (2) Dec 2001 (11) 2.05
-4.84% Aug 2016 Oct 2016 (3) Feb 2017 (7) 2.76

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1928.

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Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Roger Gibson Talmud Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-57.05% Sep 1929 May 1932 (33) Jan 1937 (89) 28.90
-48.31% Sep 1929 May 1932 (33) Jun 1935 (70) 23.15
-40.17% Jun 2007 Feb 2009 (21) Oct 2010 (41) 17.05
-29.48% Aug 1937 Mar 1938 (8) Feb 1943 (67) 12.56
-25.53% Dec 1972 Sep 1974 (22) Jan 1976 (38) 11.81
-23.45% Mar 1937 Mar 1938 (13) Jan 1943 (71) 9.73
-22.88% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 14.25
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-17.05% May 1969 Jun 1970 (14) Feb 1971 (22) 9.63
-15.52% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 6.69
-15.49% Dec 1968 Jun 1970 (19) Nov 1970 (24) 6.74
-15.16% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Aug 2020 (7) 6.94
-14.87% Apr 1974 Sep 1974 (6) Jan 1975 (10) 8.03
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-13.73% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 6.54
-13.02% Dec 1961 Jun 1962 (7) Jan 1963 (14) 6.37
-10.93% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 5.04
-10.61% Jun 1946 Sep 1946 (4) Jul 1947 (14) 5.77
-10.50% Jun 2011 Sep 2011 (4) Jan 2012 (8) 4.43
-10.43% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Dec 1998 (6) 5.05

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+2.76%
-1.54%
+2.25%
-1.37%
2023
+11.98%
-8.07%
+14.42%
-9.16%
2022
-13.35%
-17.79%
-19.62%
-22.88%
2021
+9.35%
-2.45%
+21.44%
-3.93%
2020
+13.93%
-7.16%
+8.02%
-15.16%
2019
+18.03%
-1.83%
+22.79%
-1.65%
2018
-4.03%
-6.37%
-3.78%
-7.57%
2017
+10.96%
-0.32%
+9.90%
-0.80%
2016
+10.82%
-3.36%
+7.99%
-4.84%
2015
-3.71%
-6.25%
+1.11%
-5.69%
2014
+9.13%
-3.27%
+16.24%
-3.05%
2013
+6.26%
-3.84%
+11.22%
-4.74%
2012
+8.84%
-2.43%
+12.41%
-3.41%
2011
+8.86%
-3.00%
+5.83%
-10.50%
2010
+16.54%
-2.77%
+17.33%
-7.24%
2009
+10.77%
-10.16%
+20.87%
-18.28%
2008
-4.18%
-13.53%
-22.37%
-28.90%
2007
+9.58%
-2.06%
-1.40%
-7.11%
2006
+12.44%
-2.71%
+18.42%
-3.01%
2005
+8.04%
-1.76%
+6.88%
-3.47%
2004
+9.88%
-4.36%
+15.93%
-6.69%
2003
+18.85%
-2.72%
+23.46%
-1.81%
2002
+3.15%
-6.86%
-2.82%
-8.26%
2001
+2.71%
-4.99%
+3.27%
-5.08%
2000
+6.88%
-3.64%
+9.05%
-4.13%
1999
+4.24%
-3.38%
+6.34%
-4.64%
1998
+8.03%
-9.44%
+5.18%
-10.43%
1997
+13.09%
-2.50%
+19.74%
-1.89%
1996
+8.18%
-2.60%
+19.46%
-1.65%
1995
+21.86%
-0.40%
+22.03%
-0.94%
1994
-1.98%
-4.64%
-3.74%
-8.67%
1993
+14.50%
-1.37%
+13.33%
-2.90%
1992
+9.15%
-1.58%
+10.28%
-1.73%
1991
+19.14%
-1.63%
+27.78%
-2.56%
1990
-2.51%
-7.94%
-4.26%
-10.14%
1989
+14.78%
-0.89%
+16.87%
-1.33%
1988
+9.18%
-1.64%
+12.71%
-1.50%
1987
+5.10%
-10.93%
+0.17%
-15.52%
1986
+17.75%
-2.42%
+16.28%
-3.57%
1985
+25.09%
-1.93%
+24.20%
-2.28%
1984
+3.75%
-4.68%
+12.71%
-4.02%
1983
+11.13%
-2.46%
+19.51%
-2.63%
1982
+28.31%
-5.34%
+24.41%
-3.38%
1981
-1.23%
-8.50%
+3.76%
-8.59%
1980
+15.59%
-13.73%
+20.13%
-9.71%
1979
+38.92%
-6.53%
+21.82%
-8.78%
1978
+13.30%
-7.41%
+6.65%
-7.13%
1977
+7.87%
-1.53%
+6.70%
-1.95%
1976
+20.55%
-2.29%
+29.26%
-1.67%
1975
+16.99%
-8.68%
+21.49%
-7.79%
1974
+5.51%
-14.87%
-14.51%
-20.06%
1973
+7.22%
-5.95%
-9.74%
-10.13%
1972
+17.32%
-1.70%
+9.45%
-2.27%
1971
+14.13%
-3.04%
+10.45%
-6.96%
1970
+8.32%
-8.47%
+10.08%
-12.17%
1969
-9.95%
-11.26%
-1.80%
-6.18%
1968
+14.16%
-1.16%
+6.81%
-3.69%
1967
+15.73%
-1.53%
+9.72%
-3.90%
1966
-1.43%
-6.81%
-0.84%
-8.95%
1965
+9.98%
-1.26%
+5.52%
-3.72%
1964
+9.63%
-0.39%
+7.19%
-1.30%
1963
+9.52%
-1.19%
+8.31%
-2.46%
1962
-2.25%
-8.47%
-1.20%
-12.80%
1961
+11.32%
-1.53%
+9.75%
-2.91%
1960
+4.68%
-2.33%
+4.91%
-4.48%
1959
+5.78%
-2.67%
+3.73%
-4.97%
1958
+21.04%
-0.09%
+14.22%
-2.11%
1957
-1.90%
-5.44%
+0.45%
-7.30%
1956
+2.40%
-3.74%
+2.62%
-6.16%
1955
+9.05%
-1.20%
+8.32%
-3.92%
1954
+24.09%
-1.32%
+18.11%
-3.79%
1953
-1.25%
-5.95%
+5.28%
-3.00%
1952
+5.01%
-1.97%
+6.76%
-3.14%
1951
+5.62%
-3.17%
+8.95%
-5.14%
1950
+15.80%
-2.07%
+11.28%
-4.60%
1949
+8.87%
-1.60%
+8.15%
-4.52%
1948
+0.60%
-4.83%
+2.34%
-7.33%
1947
+3.73%
-2.27%
+8.22%
-2.39%
1946
-2.14%
-9.34%
+6.18%
-10.61%
1945
+23.40%
-1.03%
+18.38%
-3.34%
1944
+13.20%
-0.29%
+13.36%
-1.14%
1943
+18.24%
-2.65%
+13.94%
-7.79%
1942
+8.95%
-4.55%
+7.12%
-9.40%
1941
-1.87%
-5.56%
-5.41%
-8.93%
1940
-0.80%
-9.89%
+0.15%
-15.43%
1939
-0.30%
-6.03%
+1.38%
-9.87%
1938
+14.14%
-10.34%
+10.63%
-18.12%
1937
-15.74%
-17.75%
-10.14%
-17.27%
1936
+19.77%
-2.63%
+13.80%
-5.89%
1935
+19.44%
-3.22%
+19.99%
-8.97%
1934
+5.81%
-5.68%
+4.17%
-10.97%
1933
+45.52%
-6.98%
+18.79%
-17.83%
1932
+2.29%
-16.27%
-2.29%
-28.97%
1931
-20.79%
-25.80%
-18.11%
-28.11%
1930
-10.68%
-16.78%
-8.30%
-19.91%
1929
-3.62%
-14.87%
-3.04%
-22.74%
1928
+13.65%
-2.02%
+13.08%
-4.68%