Craig Israelsen 7Twelve vs Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio obtained a 6.85% compound annual return, with a 9.75% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio obtained a 7.48% compound annual return, with a 8.93% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 50% 53%
Fixed Income 33.34% 47%
Commodities 16.66% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +6.85% +7.48%
Std Dev 9.75% 8.93%
Max Drawdown -37.96% -29.58%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1985)
Return +8.58% +9.11%
Std Dev 9.52% 9.18%
Max Drawdown -37.96% -29.58%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1985

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio +2.36 +9.67 +10.39 +6.05 +4.15 +6.85 +8.58
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio +2.04 +13.82 +14.06 +6.86 +6.34 +7.48 +9.11
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 7.30$, with a total return of 630.07% (6.85% annualized).

Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 8.70$, with a total return of 769.82% (7.48% annualized).

Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 25.28$, with a total return of 2427.71% (8.58% annualized).

Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 30.65$, with a total return of 2964.95% (9.11% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-37.96% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Feb 2011 (33) 18.93
-29.58% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Apr 2010 (30) 13.63
-20.56% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 10.84
-17.90% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 8.97
-15.42% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Oct 2003 (38) 8.32
-14.54% Jul 2014 Feb 2016 (20) Jul 2017 (37) 6.60
-13.54% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 6.14
-13.50% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Dec 2012 (20) 4.88
-13.28% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 (6) Feb 2024 (23) 6.26
-10.96% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 4.84
-10.05% Feb 2001 Sep 2001 (8) Apr 2003 (27) 4.49
-9.83% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 4.66
-9.65% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Feb 2012 (10) 3.99
-7.97% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 3.78
-7.17% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 3.46
-6.44% May 2015 Feb 2016 (10) Jun 2016 (14) 3.46
-5.89% May 2010 Jun 2010 (2) Sep 2010 (5) 3.33
-5.06% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Sep 2004 (6) 3.00
-4.51% Sep 1994 Nov 1994 (3) Apr 1995 (8) 2.66
-4.35% Nov 2007 Jan 2008 (3) Apr 2008 (6) 2.51

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1985.

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Moderate Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-37.96% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Feb 2011 (33) 18.93
-29.58% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Apr 2010 (30) 13.63
-20.56% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 10.84
-17.90% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 8.97
-15.42% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Oct 2003 (38) 8.32
-15.26% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Dec 1988 (16) 6.95
-14.54% Jul 2014 Feb 2016 (20) Jul 2017 (37) 6.60
-13.54% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 6.14
-13.50% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Dec 2012 (20) 4.88
-13.43% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Oct 1988 (14) 6.31
-13.28% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 (6) Feb 2024 (23) 6.26
-10.96% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 4.84
-10.40% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 (2) Feb 1991 (7) 5.57
-10.05% Feb 2001 Sep 2001 (8) Apr 2003 (27) 4.49
-9.83% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 4.66
-9.65% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Feb 2012 (10) 3.99
-7.97% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 3.78
-7.17% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 3.46
-6.66% Feb 1994 Nov 1994 (10) May 1995 (16) 4.30
-6.44% May 2015 Feb 2016 (10) Jun 2016 (14) 3.46

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+3.79%
-0.30%
+3.80%
-0.14%
2023
+8.77%
-6.61%
+16.31%
-7.34%
2022
-7.91%
-13.28%
-16.06%
-20.56%
2021
+16.41%
-3.52%
+9.66%
-2.75%
2020
+3.64%
-17.90%
+13.88%
-10.96%
2019
+17.04%
-3.93%
+19.44%
-3.06%
2018
-6.60%
-9.83%
-4.47%
-7.17%
2017
+11.15%
-0.23%
+15.00%
0.00%
2016
+7.88%
-3.46%
+7.31%
-2.51%
2015
-6.71%
-8.96%
-1.02%
-6.05%
2014
-0.27%
-5.11%
+6.15%
-2.15%
2013
+9.98%
-2.34%
+12.89%
-2.80%
2012
+9.05%
-5.96%
+11.74%
-4.35%
2011
-0.33%
-13.50%
+1.36%
-9.65%
2010
+12.87%
-7.69%
+11.88%
-5.89%
2009
+19.77%
-13.75%
+21.52%
-11.06%
2008
-24.01%
-29.50%
-18.62%
-22.60%
2007
+11.31%
-2.37%
+8.20%
-2.71%
2006
+12.08%
-2.41%
+12.10%
-2.46%
2005
+11.36%
-3.44%
+6.80%
-2.45%
2004
+14.33%
-5.06%
+10.27%
-2.82%
2003
+25.20%
-1.95%
+21.24%
-1.84%
2002
+4.93%
-5.27%
-5.21%
-10.16%
2001
-4.66%
-10.05%
-2.83%
-10.45%
2000
+11.53%
-2.79%
-1.46%
-6.21%
1999
+19.24%
-3.02%
+14.10%
-2.41%
1998
-1.40%
-13.54%
+14.87%
-7.97%
1997
+7.34%
-3.49%
+14.53%
-4.08%
1996
+16.09%
-3.26%
+10.99%
-2.45%
1995
+18.64%
-1.07%
+22.46%
-0.02%
1994
-1.53%
-6.66%
-0.46%
-5.84%
1993
+17.28%
-3.19%
+17.25%
-2.24%
1992
+5.45%
-2.13%
+4.97%
-2.63%
1991
+26.17%
-3.31%
+28.12%
-3.00%
1990
+1.68%
-5.15%
-1.02%
-10.40%
1989
+27.09%
-1.51%
+23.35%
-0.80%
1988
+17.78%
-2.03%
+14.65%
-2.43%
1987
+3.08%
-13.43%
+4.00%
-15.26%
1986
+16.22%
-3.66%
+21.58%
-4.43%
1985
+24.57%
-0.68%
+29.83%
-1.40%