Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 vs Simplified Permanent Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio obtained a 5.84% compound annual return, with a 5.17% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Simplified Permanent Portfolio obtained a 7.06% compound annual return, with a 6.88% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Medium Medium
Asset Allocation Stocks 29.1% 25%
Fixed Income 70% 50%
Commodities 0.9% 25%
30 Years Stats Return +5.84% +7.06%
Std Dev 5.17% 6.88%
Max Drawdown -16.58% -16.43%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1985)
Return +7.27% +7.84%
Std Dev 5.50% 6.80%
Max Drawdown -16.58% -16.43%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1985

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio +1.43 +7.74 +6.29 +4.00 +3.60 +5.84 +7.27
Simplified Permanent Portfolio +3.26 +13.23 +9.28 +6.15 +5.12 +7.06 +7.84
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 5.48$, with a total return of 448.16% (5.84% annualized).

Simplified Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 7.74$, with a total return of 674.04% (7.06% annualized).

Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 15.73$, with a total return of 1473.34% (7.27% annualized).

Simplified Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 19.36$, with a total return of 1836.20% (7.84% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio
Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-16.58% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Nov 2009 (18) 8.33
-16.43% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 8.65
-13.28% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 (8) Aug 2009 (18) 5.20
-12.55% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 6.50
-6.69% Apr 2013 Jun 2013 (3) Feb 2014 (11) 3.22
-6.24% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 2.82
-6.23% Aug 2016 Dec 2016 (5) Jul 2017 (12) 3.09
-5.27% Feb 2015 Dec 2015 (11) Mar 2016 (14) 3.18
-5.09% Feb 1999 Aug 1999 (7) Oct 1999 (9) 3.00
-4.79% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Oct 2004 (7) 3.04
-4.63% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Sep 1998 (3) 2.40
-4.37% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 1.55
-4.01% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Oct 1998 (4) 1.90
-3.98% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 1.92
-3.81% Jan 2021 Mar 2021 (3) May 2021 (5) 2.20
-3.73% Dec 1996 Mar 1997 (4) May 1997 (6) 1.90
-3.69% Sep 2011 Sep 2011 (1) Nov 2011 (3) 1.87
-3.68% Feb 2018 Oct 2018 (9) Jan 2019 (12) 2.08
-3.64% Feb 1996 Jul 1996 (6) Oct 1996 (9) 2.20
-3.54% May 2015 Sep 2015 (5) Apr 2016 (12) 2.07

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1985.

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Bill Bernstein Sheltered Sam 30/70 Portfolio
Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-16.58% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Nov 2009 (18) 8.33
-16.43% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 8.65
-13.28% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 (8) Aug 2009 (18) 5.20
-12.55% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 6.50
-7.59% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jun 1988 (10) 3.58
-6.69% Apr 2013 Jun 2013 (3) Feb 2014 (11) 3.22
-6.24% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 2.82
-6.23% Aug 2016 Dec 2016 (5) Jul 2017 (12) 3.09
-5.83% Aug 1987 Nov 1987 (4) Oct 1988 (15) 2.68
-5.67% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 (5) Mar 1995 (14) 4.01
-5.67% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 (5) Apr 1995 (15) 3.82
-5.66% Jan 1990 Apr 1990 (4) Dec 1990 (12) 2.70
-5.27% Feb 2015 Dec 2015 (11) Mar 2016 (14) 3.18
-5.09% Feb 1999 Aug 1999 (7) Oct 1999 (9) 3.00
-4.79% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Oct 2004 (7) 3.04
-4.64% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 (2) Dec 1990 (5) 2.79
-4.63% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Sep 1998 (3) 2.40
-4.37% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 1.55
-4.01% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Oct 1998 (4) 1.90
-3.98% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 1.92

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+1.72%
-0.21%
+3.65%
-0.04%
2023
+7.25%
-4.05%
+11.51%
-5.16%
2022
-9.07%
-12.55%
-12.67%
-16.43%
2021
+8.27%
-1.49%
+3.72%
-3.81%
2020
+6.68%
-6.24%
+16.46%
-3.11%
2019
+11.29%
-1.23%
+16.15%
-0.99%
2018
-2.35%
-3.98%
-1.29%
-3.68%
2017
+6.35%
0.00%
+9.78%
-0.96%
2016
+6.14%
-0.94%
+5.72%
-6.23%
2015
-1.08%
-3.54%
-1.82%
-5.27%
2014
+3.87%
-1.94%
+7.12%
-2.59%
2013
+5.39%
-2.64%
-1.76%
-6.69%
2012
+6.92%
-1.73%
+7.59%
-1.89%
2011
+3.74%
-4.37%
+10.45%
-3.69%
2010
+8.08%
-3.32%
+16.36%
-0.02%
2009
+11.17%
-7.71%
+9.94%
-4.96%
2008
-8.30%
-12.57%
+0.94%
-13.28%
2007
+7.21%
-0.78%
+14.14%
-1.50%
2006
+8.56%
-1.09%
+10.82%
-2.47%
2005
+4.67%
-1.32%
+7.34%
-1.60%
2004
+8.30%
-3.26%
+6.42%
-4.79%
2003
+14.34%
-0.69%
+15.31%
-2.22%
2002
+3.99%
-2.62%
+9.00%
-2.60%
2001
+3.89%
-2.11%
+0.15%
-3.21%
2000
+9.31%
-1.23%
+4.63%
-2.98%
1999
+4.74%
-2.18%
+2.25%
-5.09%
1998
+8.32%
-4.01%
+12.93%
-4.63%
1997
+12.35%
-1.75%
+8.38%
-2.87%
1996
+8.07%
-1.16%
+4.09%
-3.64%
1995
+19.30%
0.00%
+21.97%
0.00%
1994
-2.28%
-5.67%
-4.18%
-5.67%
1993
+14.75%
-1.45%
+13.56%
-1.61%
1992
+8.20%
-1.27%
+4.46%
-3.11%
1991
+19.59%
-1.56%
+15.41%
-1.06%
1990
+2.91%
-4.64%
+1.55%
-5.66%
1989
+17.14%
-0.61%
+15.24%
-1.52%
1988
+10.47%
-1.19%
+3.97%
-2.03%
1987
+3.06%
-7.59%
+5.46%
-5.83%
1986
+17.32%
-2.63%
+19.06%
-1.00%
1985
+23.63%
-0.55%
+24.24%
-2.66%