Bill Bernstein No Brainer vs Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio obtained a 7.69% compound annual return, with a 11.73% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio obtained a 7.76% compound annual return, with a 7.72% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 75% 40%
Fixed Income 25% 40%
Commodities 0% 20%
30 Years Stats Return +7.69% +7.76%
Std Dev 11.73% 7.72%
Max Drawdown -40.40% -17.79%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1970)
Return +9.54% +9.95%
Std Dev 12.08% 8.60%
Max Drawdown -40.40% -17.79%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1970

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio +2.40 +14.70 +15.47 +8.01 +6.96 +7.69 +9.54
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio +3.22 +13.99 +9.26 +6.61 +5.77 +7.76 +9.95
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.22$, with a total return of 822.34% (7.69% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.42$, with a total return of 841.59% (7.76% annualized).

Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1970, now would be worth 139.90$, with a total return of 13889.98% (9.54% annualized).

Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1970, now would be worth 171.41$, with a total return of 17041.49% (9.95% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.40% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 18.40
-24.46% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Dec 2003 (45) 13.30
-19.76% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 9.75
-18.24% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.70
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-16.20% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Sep 2012 (17) 6.47
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-13.95% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 6.45
-11.92% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Oct 2019 (14) 4.83
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-9.17% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 4.70
-7.16% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jun 2020 (5) 3.10
-6.86% Jun 2002 Jul 2002 (2) May 2003 (12) 4.25
-6.37% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Apr 2019 (8) 3.17
-6.25% Feb 2015 Sep 2015 (8) Mar 2016 (14) 3.60
-4.99% Feb 2001 Mar 2001 (2) Dec 2001 (11) 2.05
-4.66% Jun 1996 Jul 1996 (2) Sep 1996 (4) 2.42
-4.36% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Sep 2004 (6) 2.66
-4.07% Mar 2005 Apr 2005 (2) Jul 2005 (5) 1.92
-4.06% Oct 1997 Oct 1997 (1) Feb 1998 (5) 2.29

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1970.

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio
Tyler Golden Butterfly Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.40% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 18.40
-33.61% Jan 1973 Sep 1974 (21) Jan 1976 (37) 15.36
-24.46% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Dec 2003 (45) 13.30
-19.76% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 9.75
-19.71% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 9.28
-18.24% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.70
-17.79% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 9.39
-17.57% Jan 1970 Jun 1970 (6) Jan 1971 (13) 8.92
-16.20% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Sep 2012 (17) 6.47
-14.87% Apr 1974 Sep 1974 (6) Jan 1975 (10) 8.03
-14.81% Mar 2008 Feb 2009 (12) Sep 2009 (19) 7.24
-14.76% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 (9) Feb 1991 (14) 7.56
-13.95% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 6.45
-13.73% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 6.54
-11.92% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Oct 2019 (14) 4.83
-10.93% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 5.04
-10.53% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 4.89
-9.99% Jun 1981 Jul 1982 (14) Oct 1982 (17) 5.65
-9.44% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 3.99
-9.37% Sep 1978 Oct 1978 (2) Mar 1979 (7) 4.42

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+4.36%
-0.87%
+2.76%
-1.54%
2023
+15.77%
-8.54%
+11.98%
-8.07%
2022
-13.89%
-19.76%
-13.35%
-17.79%
2021
+15.39%
-2.73%
+9.35%
-2.45%
2020
+11.61%
-18.24%
+13.93%
-7.16%
2019
+19.82%
-5.15%
+18.03%
-1.83%
2018
-6.41%
-11.92%
-4.03%
-6.37%
2017
+15.70%
-0.29%
+10.96%
-0.32%
2016
+11.03%
-4.44%
+10.82%
-3.36%
2015
-1.35%
-7.81%
-3.71%
-6.25%
2014
+3.78%
-3.16%
+9.13%
-3.27%
2013
+22.10%
-1.89%
+6.26%
-3.84%
2012
+12.91%
-6.94%
+8.84%
-2.43%
2011
-2.59%
-16.20%
+8.86%
-3.00%
2010
+14.15%
-9.69%
+16.54%
-2.77%
2009
+22.80%
-15.37%
+10.77%
-10.16%
2008
-26.26%
-28.63%
-4.18%
-13.53%
2007
+7.14%
-4.50%
+9.58%
-2.06%
2006
+15.27%
-3.41%
+12.44%
-2.71%
2005
+7.66%
-4.07%
+8.04%
-1.76%
2004
+13.66%
-3.04%
+9.88%
-4.36%
2003
+27.39%
-4.14%
+18.85%
-2.72%
2002
-10.88%
-16.92%
+3.15%
-6.86%
2001
-4.49%
-14.84%
+2.71%
-4.99%
2000
-4.63%
-10.08%
+6.88%
-3.64%
1999
+18.99%
-3.58%
+4.24%
-3.38%
1998
+12.24%
-13.95%
+8.03%
-9.44%
1997
+15.88%
-4.06%
+13.09%
-2.50%
1996
+12.52%
-4.66%
+8.18%
-2.60%
1995
+20.57%
-1.62%
+21.86%
-0.40%
1994
+2.49%
-4.18%
-1.98%
-4.64%
1993
+16.21%
-3.68%
+14.50%
-1.37%
1992
+4.40%
-3.33%
+9.15%
-1.58%
1991
+24.11%
-4.26%
+19.14%
-1.63%
1990
-9.08%
-14.76%
-2.51%
-7.94%
1989
+18.78%
-2.53%
+14.78%
-0.89%
1988
+17.83%
-3.06%
+9.18%
-1.64%
1987
+8.39%
-19.71%
+5.10%
-10.93%
1986
+25.39%
-4.13%
+17.75%
-2.42%
1985
+32.35%
-2.40%
+25.09%
-1.93%
1984
+4.70%
-6.54%
+3.75%
-4.68%
1983
+21.16%
-2.72%
+11.13%
-2.46%
1982
+17.74%
-8.02%
+28.31%
-5.34%
1981
+2.36%
-9.62%
-1.23%
-8.50%
1980
+24.96%
-10.53%
+15.59%
-13.73%
1979
+19.11%
-7.00%
+38.92%
-6.53%
1978
+14.56%
-9.37%
+13.30%
-7.41%
1977
+6.69%
-2.39%
+7.87%
-1.53%
1976
+19.98%
-3.10%
+20.55%
-2.29%
1975
+32.96%
-10.04%
+16.99%
-8.68%
1974
-16.80%
-24.06%
+5.51%
-14.87%
1973
-13.98%
-14.44%
+7.22%
-5.95%
1972
+17.61%
-1.37%
+17.32%
-1.70%
1971
+18.87%
-5.26%
+14.13%
-3.04%
1970
-0.89%
-17.57%
+8.32%
-8.47%