iShares Silver Trust (SLV): Rolling Returns

Data Source: from August 1982 to March 2024 (~42 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2024

Holding the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to obtain a positive return?

Considering all the available data source (~42 years), the longest period with a negative return lasted 446 months (from February 1983 to March 2020).

This means that every rolling period of 447 months or above has always granted a positive return.

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF: Historical Returns page.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Considering all 10-year rolling periods, is there a relationship between past and future returns, at a given date?

In the following chart, we show how past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis) are related.

Neighboring data is aggregated and occurrences are indicated. It is possible to zoom by clicking or drawing the desired area

ISHARES SILVER TRUST (SLV) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Updated to March 2024

The annualized return of the last 10 years has been 1.80% (updated at Mar 31, 2024).

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES SILVER TRUST (SLV) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Data Source: 1 April 1994 - 31 March 2024 (30 Years)
Data Source: 1 August 1982 - 31 March 2024 (~42 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

Annualized Rolling Returns - 1 Year (12 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return -2.32% +156.74%
May 2010 - Apr 2011 		-42.02%
Aug 1983 - Jul 1984 		54.19%
265 out of 489
US Inflation Adjusted -5.05% +149.07%
May 2010 - Apr 2011 		-44.42%
Aug 1983 - Jul 1984 		58.08%
284 out of 489
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
1 Year Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 2 Years (24 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +0.88% +95.95%
May 2009 - Apr 2011 		-32.43%
Jun 1983 - May 1985 		47.17%
225 out of 477
US Inflation Adjusted -1.42% +90.90%
May 2009 - Apr 2011 		-35.00%
Jun 1983 - May 1985 		54.30%
259 out of 477
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
2 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 3 Years (36 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.16% +51.69%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2011 		-27.19%
Jun 1983 - May 1986 		44.73%
208 out of 465
US Inflation Adjusted -1.47% +49.49%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2011 		-29.44%
Jun 1983 - May 1986 		55.70%
259 out of 465
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
3 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 4 Years (48 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.92% +36.93%
May 2007 - Apr 2011 		-24.26%
May 2011 - Apr 2015 		46.14%
209 out of 453
US Inflation Adjusted -1.00% +34.06%
May 2007 - Apr 2011 		-25.25%
May 2011 - Apr 2015 		51.43%
233 out of 453
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
4 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 5 Years (60 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.73% +33.79%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2008 		-18.38%
May 2011 - Apr 2016 		44.67%
197 out of 441
US Inflation Adjusted -0.74% +29.91%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2008 		-19.43%
May 2011 - Apr 2016 		54.20%
239 out of 441
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
5 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 6 Years (72 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.11% +37.69%
May 2005 - Apr 2011 		-16.14%
May 2011 - Apr 2017 		44.06%
189 out of 429
US Inflation Adjusted -1.37% +34.38%
May 2005 - Apr 2011 		-17.99%
Jun 1983 - May 1989 		54.55%
234 out of 429
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
6 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 7 Years (84 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.77% +34.06%
May 2004 - Apr 2011 		-14.72%
May 2011 - Apr 2018 		42.21%
176 out of 417
US Inflation Adjusted -0.65% +30.68%
May 2004 - Apr 2011 		-16.31%
Jun 1983 - May 1990 		53.24%
222 out of 417
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
7 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 8 Years (96 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.68% +33.53%
May 2003 - Apr 2011 		-14.79%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1991 		40.25%
163 out of 405
US Inflation Adjusted -0.65% +30.21%
May 2003 - Apr 2011 		-18.13%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1991 		53.33%
216 out of 405
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
8 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 9 Years (108 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.33% +29.66%
May 2002 - Apr 2011 		-12.64%
Jun 1983 - May 1992 		38.68%
152 out of 393
US Inflation Adjusted -1.14% +26.48%
May 2002 - Apr 2011 		-15.90%
Jun 1983 - May 1992 		58.78%
231 out of 393
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
9 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 10 Years (120 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +1.43% +26.90%
May 2001 - Apr 2011 		-12.44%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1993 		34.91%
133 out of 381
US Inflation Adjusted -0.86% +23.90%
May 2001 - Apr 2011 		-15.68%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1993 		57.74%
220 out of 381
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
10 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 11 Years (132 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +2.29% +22.66%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 		-8.62%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1994 		36.59%
135 out of 369
US Inflation Adjusted -0.01% +19.68%
May 2000 - Apr 2011 		-11.90%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1994 		50.14%
185 out of 369
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
11 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 12 Years (144 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +3.52% +19.72%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 		-8.66%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1995 		32.49%
116 out of 357
US Inflation Adjusted +1.07% +16.76%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 		-11.88%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1995 		45.94%
164 out of 357
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
12 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 13 Years (156 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.45% +18.07%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 		-6.86%
Jun 1983 - May 1996 		27.83%
96 out of 345
US Inflation Adjusted +2.00% +15.16%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2011 		-10.06%
Jun 1983 - May 1996 		38.26%
132 out of 345
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
13 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 14 Years (168 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +4.95% +17.89%
May 1997 - Apr 2011 		-7.29%
Jun 1983 - May 1997 		26.43%
88 out of 333
US Inflation Adjusted +2.84% +15.09%
May 1997 - Apr 2011 		-10.40%
Jun 1983 - May 1997 		34.53%
115 out of 333
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
14 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 15 Years (180 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.16% +15.62%
May 1996 - Apr 2011 		-6.32%
Jun 1983 - May 1998 		24.61%
79 out of 321
US Inflation Adjusted +3.72% +12.86%
May 1996 - Apr 2011 		-9.35%
Jun 1983 - May 1998 		33.33%
107 out of 321
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
15 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 16 Years (192 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.96% +14.06%
May 1995 - Apr 2011 		-6.13%
Jun 1983 - May 1999 		22.98%
71 out of 309
US Inflation Adjusted +4.48% +11.31%
May 1995 - Apr 2011 		-9.11%
Jun 1983 - May 1999 		31.39%
97 out of 309
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
16 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 17 Years (204 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.65% +13.63%
May 1994 - Apr 2011 		-5.81%
Jun 1983 - May 2000 		19.19%
57 out of 297
US Inflation Adjusted +4.31% +10.86%
May 1994 - Apr 2011 		-8.78%
Jun 1983 - May 2000 		26.60%
79 out of 297
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
17 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 18 Years (216 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +6.49% +14.08%
May 1993 - Apr 2011 		-6.08%
Jun 1983 - May 2001 		16.49%
47 out of 285
US Inflation Adjusted +4.13% +11.30%
May 1993 - Apr 2011 		-9.06%
Jun 1983 - May 2001 		24.91%
71 out of 285
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
18 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 19 Years (228 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.93% +13.85%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 		-6.04%
Feb 1983 - Jan 2002 		12.45%
34 out of 273
US Inflation Adjusted +3.51% +11.04%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 		-8.95%
Feb 1983 - Jan 2002 		22.34%
61 out of 273
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
19 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

Annualized Rolling Returns - 20 Years (240 months)

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Median Best Worst Negative Periods
Annualized Rolling Return +5.77% +13.10%
May 1991 - Apr 2011 		-5.35%
Jun 1983 - May 2003 		10.34%
27 out of 261
US Inflation Adjusted +3.30% +10.27%
May 1991 - Apr 2011 		-8.20%
Jun 1983 - May 2003 		19.54%
51 out of 261
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Timeframes ending in every month
20 Years Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Return Distribution

To obtain comprehensive information, please consult the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) ETF: Historical Returns page.