Amundi Euro Government Bond 7-10Y (LYXD.DE): Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Category:
Period: February 1983 - October 2025 (~43 years)
Initial Amount: 1€
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Amundi Euro Government Bond 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~43 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 126 months (from March 2015 to August 2025).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 127 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

AMUNDI EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 November 1995 - 31 October 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1983 - 31 October 2025 (~43 years)
30 Years
(1995/11 - 2025/10)
All Data
(1983/02 - 2025/10)

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As of Oct 31, 2025, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.17%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

AMUNDI EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 November 1995 - 31 October 2025 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 February 1983 - 31 October 2025 (~43 years)
30 Years
(1995/11 - 2025/10)
All Data
(1983/02 - 2025/10)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

AMUNDI EURO GOVERNMENT BOND 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 1983 - 31 October 2025 (~43 years)
Over Time
Histogram
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-18.83%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.13% +18.03%
May 1995 - Apr 1996
16.73%
84 out of 502
-25.66%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+3.08% +15.53%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986
27.49%
138 out of 502
-11.24%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+5.10% +14.27%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997
9.80%
48 out of 490
-17.09%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022
+3.13% +12.37%
Jun 1984 - May 1986
21.22%
104 out of 490
-7.43%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+4.61% +12.13%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993
8.37%
40 out of 478
-12.51%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023
+2.81% +10.12%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998
14.44%
69 out of 478
-5.53%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+4.63% +11.08%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999
9.23%
43 out of 466
-9.40%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023
+3.01% +9.34%
May 1995 - Apr 1999
12.23%
57 out of 466
-2.94%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024
+4.74% +9.52%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993
9.03%
41 out of 454
-6.52%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024
+3.01% +6.64%
Jun 1994 - May 1999
11.23%
51 out of 454
-2.18%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+4.78% +9.40%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993
9.50%
42 out of 442
-5.51%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
+3.17% +6.83%
Oct 1992 - Sep 1998
11.99%
53 out of 442
-2.06%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+4.65% +9.30%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1997
9.07%
39 out of 430
-4.99%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023
+3.09% +6.43%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1998
10.93%
47 out of 430
-1.28%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023
+4.46% +9.14%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
8.85%
37 out of 418
-3.79%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024
+3.08% +6.54%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999
10.29%
43 out of 418
-0.64%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023
+4.37% +9.05%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999
5.91%
24 out of 406
-3.24%
Sep 2016 - Aug 2025
+2.87% +6.26%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999
10.59%
43 out of 406
-0.30%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+4.17% +8.64%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1993
0.76%
3 out of 394
-2.72%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2025
+2.61% +6.18%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1993
9.90%
39 out of 394
+0.40%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2025
+4.11% +8.46%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 382
-1.93%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2025
+2.40% +5.70%
Feb 1988 - Jan 1999
9.95%
38 out of 382
+1.05%
Apr 2013 - Mar 2025
+4.20% +7.98%
Feb 1987 - Jan 1999
0.00%
0 out of 370
-1.06%
May 2013 - Apr 2025
+2.44% +5.46%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997
10.54%
39 out of 370
+0.99%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+4.32% +8.20%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1997
0.00%
0 out of 358
-1.20%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023
+2.56% +5.74%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1997
10.61%
38 out of 358
+1.19%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+4.46% +8.13%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1998
0.00%
0 out of 346
-0.98%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023
+2.61% +5.76%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1998
10.69%
37 out of 346
+1.46%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+4.43% +8.21%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1998
0.00%
0 out of 334
-0.72%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2025
+2.58% +5.93%
Feb 1984 - Jan 1999
9.88%
33 out of 334
+1.69%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2023
+4.51% +8.06%
May 1983 - Apr 1999
0.00%
0 out of 322
-0.45%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2025
+2.64% +5.72%
May 1983 - Apr 1999
9.01%
29 out of 322
+1.59%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2022
+4.63% +7.42%
Apr 1983 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 310
-0.52%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023
+2.66% +5.16%
Mar 1984 - Feb 2001
7.74%
24 out of 310
+1.47%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+4.72% +7.38%
Apr 1983 - Mar 2001
0.00%
0 out of 298
-0.62%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023
+2.74% +5.08%
Nov 1983 - Oct 2001
10.74%
32 out of 298
+1.72%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+4.95% +7.36%
Mar 1984 - Feb 2003
0.00%
0 out of 286
-0.39%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024
+2.89% +5.10%
Mar 1984 - Feb 2003
10.49%
30 out of 286
+1.83%
Sep 2005 - Aug 2025
+5.07% +7.32%
Jun 1983 - May 2003
0.00%
0 out of 274
-0.28%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023
+3.00% +5.01%
Jun 1983 - May 2003
9.49%
26 out of 274
+2.35%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
+5.21% +6.37%
Jan 1984 - Dec 2008
0.00%
0 out of 214
+0.24%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023
+3.11% +4.11%
Jan 1984 - Dec 2008
0.00%
0 out of 214
+3.26%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+5.21% +6.06%
May 1983 - Apr 2013
0.00%
0 out of 154
+1.16%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023
+3.17% +3.87%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 154
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