Simplified Permanent vs Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Simplified Permanent Portfolio obtained a 7.06% compound annual return, with a 6.88% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio obtained a 7.18% compound annual return, with a 6.96% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Medium Medium
Asset Allocation Stocks 25% 40%
Fixed Income 50% 60%
Commodities 25% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +7.06% +7.18%
Std Dev 6.88% 6.96%
Max Drawdown -16.43% -19.17%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1871)
Return +5.82% +6.75%
Std Dev 6.25% 7.38%
Max Drawdown -30.22% -43.68%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1871

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Simplified Permanent Portfolio +3.26 +13.23 +9.28 +6.15 +5.12 +7.06 +5.82
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio +1.71 +12.72 +12.29 +6.01 +5.91 +7.18 +6.75
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Simplified Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 7.74$, with a total return of 674.04% (7.06% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 8.00$, with a total return of 699.72% (7.18% annualized).

Simplified Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 5858.30$, with a total return of 585729.62% (5.82% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 22305.34$, with a total return of 2230433.63% (6.75% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-19.17% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Nov 2009 (25) 8.87
-18.63% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 10.80
-16.43% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 8.65
-13.28% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 (8) Aug 2009 (18) 5.20
-8.59% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) May 2003 (33) 4.25
-8.09% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) May 2020 (4) 3.88
-6.69% Apr 2013 Jun 2013 (3) Feb 2014 (11) 3.22
-6.25% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 2.81
-6.23% Aug 2016 Dec 2016 (5) Jul 2017 (12) 3.09
-5.36% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 2.59
-5.27% Feb 2015 Dec 2015 (11) Mar 2016 (14) 3.18
-5.09% Feb 1999 Aug 1999 (7) Oct 1999 (9) 3.00
-4.79% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Oct 2004 (7) 3.04
-4.76% Jun 2011 Sep 2011 (4) Dec 2011 (7) 1.98
-4.63% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Sep 1998 (3) 2.40
-3.96% May 2010 Jun 2010 (2) Sep 2010 (5) 2.10
-3.81% Jan 2021 Mar 2021 (3) May 2021 (5) 2.20
-3.79% Apr 2000 May 2000 (2) Aug 2000 (5) 1.92
-3.73% Dec 1996 Mar 1997 (4) May 1997 (6) 1.90
-3.69% Sep 2011 Sep 2011 (1) Nov 2011 (3) 1.87

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1871.

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Simplified Permanent Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-43.68% Sep 1929 May 1932 (33) Sep 1935 (73) 20.75
-30.22% Sep 1929 May 1932 (33) Jun 1933 (46) 15.45
-21.33% Mar 1937 Mar 1938 (13) Jul 1941 (53) 7.66
-19.17% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Nov 2009 (25) 8.87
-18.63% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 10.80
-17.04% Jan 1973 Sep 1974 (21) May 1975 (29) 7.69
-16.43% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Mar 2024 (27) 8.65
-14.34% Dec 1980 Sep 1981 (10) Aug 1982 (21) 8.76
-13.70% Mar 1937 Mar 1938 (13) Oct 1939 (32) 5.72
-13.28% Mar 2008 Oct 2008 (8) Aug 2009 (18) 5.20
-13.17% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 6.15
-13.14% May 1969 May 1970 (13) Jan 1971 (21) 7.88
-13.08% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Oct 1988 (14) 6.07
-12.84% Dec 1968 Jun 1970 (19) Nov 1970 (24) 6.66
-11.98% Jan 1876 Jun 1877 (18) May 1879 (41) 6.59
-11.62% Oct 1906 Nov 1907 (14) Jul 1908 (22) 5.75
-11.37% Apr 1974 Sep 1974 (6) Jan 1975 (10) 5.96
-11.05% Feb 1893 Aug 1893 (7) Feb 1895 (25) 4.82
-10.88% Oct 1895 Aug 1896 (11) Jun 1897 (21) 4.82
-10.74% Apr 1876 Jun 1877 (15) Apr 1878 (25) 5.37

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+3.65%
-0.04%
+3.41%
0.00%
2023
+11.51%
-5.16%
+13.66%
-6.58%
2022
-12.67%
-16.43%
-15.67%
-18.63%
2021
+3.72%
-3.81%
+9.15%
-2.56%
2020
+16.46%
-3.11%
+13.04%
-8.09%
2019
+16.15%
-0.99%
+17.57%
-1.77%
2018
-1.29%
-3.68%
-2.15%
-5.36%
2017
+9.78%
-0.96%
+10.63%
-0.00%
2016
+5.72%
-6.23%
+6.64%
-1.57%
2015
-1.82%
-5.27%
+0.48%
-3.41%
2014
+7.12%
-2.59%
+8.51%
-1.20%
2013
-1.76%
-6.69%
+12.12%
-1.84%
2012
+7.59%
-1.89%
+8.47%
-2.11%
2011
+10.45%
-3.69%
+5.14%
-4.76%
2010
+16.36%
-0.02%
+10.69%
-3.96%
2009
+9.94%
-4.96%
+13.74%
-8.68%
2008
+0.94%
-13.28%
-10.67%
-14.39%
2007
+14.14%
-1.50%
+6.30%
-1.93%
2006
+10.82%
-2.47%
+8.84%
-1.40%
2005
+7.34%
-1.60%
+3.96%
-1.77%
2004
+6.42%
-4.79%
+7.66%
-2.46%
2003
+15.31%
-2.22%
+14.68%
-1.08%
2002
+9.00%
-2.60%
-3.23%
-6.97%
2001
+0.15%
-3.21%
+0.67%
-5.62%
2000
+4.63%
-2.98%
+2.61%
-4.51%
1999
+2.25%
-5.09%
+9.07%
-2.57%
1998
+12.93%
-4.63%
+14.45%
-6.25%
1997
+8.38%
-2.87%
+18.06%
-2.41%
1996
+4.09%
-3.64%
+10.53%
-2.15%
1995
+21.97%
0.00%
+25.22%
0.00%
1994
-4.18%
-5.67%
-1.66%
-5.98%
1993
+13.56%
-1.61%
+10.06%
-1.23%
1992
+4.46%
-3.11%
+7.93%
-1.27%
1991
+15.41%
-1.06%
+22.10%
-1.98%
1990
+1.55%
-5.66%
+2.76%
-5.70%
1989
+15.24%
-1.52%
+19.43%
-1.12%
1988
+3.97%
-2.03%
+11.34%
-1.71%
1987
+5.46%
-5.83%
+1.97%
-13.08%
1986
+19.06%
-1.00%
+14.89%
-4.37%
1985
+24.24%
-2.66%
+25.86%
-1.17%
1984
+3.14%
-5.27%
+9.88%
-5.84%
1983
+2.74%
-3.74%
+12.20%
-2.64%
1982
+28.65%
-5.77%
+26.88%
-2.17%
1981
-6.55%
-13.29%
+3.99%
-6.81%
1980
+11.44%
-13.17%
+14.99%
-8.39%
1979
+38.61%
-5.94%
+12.91%
-6.34%
1978
+11.00%
-5.48%
+4.07%
-5.90%
1977
+5.09%
-3.12%
-0.72%
-3.59%
1976
+13.24%
-2.32%
+18.84%
-1.06%
1975
+6.02%
-7.68%
+19.54%
-5.93%
1974
+11.61%
-11.37%
-7.71%
-13.50%
1973
+15.34%
-6.38%
-4.59%
-5.73%
1972
+17.84%
-2.23%
+8.68%
-1.10%
1971
+14.20%
-2.36%
+12.75%
-5.80%
1970
+12.20%
-5.73%
+12.26%
-8.78%
1969
-9.41%
-11.13%
-5.38%
-7.12%
1968
+11.01%
-0.78%
+7.09%
-3.10%
1967
+5.38%
-1.95%
+10.63%
-2.31%
1966
+0.48%
-4.81%
-0.51%
-7.40%
1965
+4.02%
-0.86%
+6.11%
-1.52%
1964
+5.99%
-0.28%
+8.90%
-0.46%
1963
+6.03%
-0.83%
+9.44%
-1.27%
1962
+0.41%
-5.15%
-0.42%
-8.22%
1961
+7.10%
-1.25%
+11.57%
-1.78%
1960
+6.95%
-1.34%
+8.19%
-2.58%
1959
+2.64%
-2.19%
+4.09%
-3.21%
1958
+10.15%
-0.76%
+16.24%
-0.74%
1957
+0.51%
-3.69%
+1.17%
-4.90%
1956
+0.82%
-2.90%
+2.47%
-3.96%
1955
+5.80%
-0.45%
+9.83%
-0.87%
1954
+14.04%
-1.08%
+21.93%
-1.61%
1953
-0.81%
-5.34%
+2.45%
-4.06%
1952
+3.54%
-1.51%
+6.80%
-2.08%
1951
+4.75%
-1.88%
+8.33%
-2.81%
1950
+6.73%
-1.65%
+12.06%
-2.45%
1949
+6.56%
-1.06%
+10.62%
-1.47%
1948
+1.37%
-2.71%
+2.50%
-4.32%
1947
+3.38%
-1.58%
+1.27%
-2.13%
1946
-0.72%
-6.02%
-2.08%
-9.26%
1945
+13.13%
-0.77%
+18.36%
-1.37%
1944
+6.27%
-0.34%
+9.86%
-0.57%
1943
+8.67%
-2.39%
+12.64%
-3.58%
1942
+5.07%
-3.07%
+7.47%
-5.00%
1941
-0.43%
-3.99%
-2.69%
-6.19%
1940
+0.90%
-6.62%
-0.28%
-10.39%
1939
+2.59%
-2.86%
+2.79%
-5.09%
1938
+9.29%
-6.59%
+13.98%
-10.41%
1937
-8.08%
-9.88%
-12.81%
-15.42%
1936
+11.10%
-1.80%
+16.17%
-2.94%
1935
+13.72%
-1.24%
+20.86%
-2.56%
1934
+6.62%
-2.89%
+5.30%
-5.32%
1933
+29.29%
-5.58%
+24.67%
-9.11%
1932
+2.29%
-9.64%
+3.90%
-15.57%
1931
-12.31%
-16.02%
-18.89%
-24.29%
1930
-4.80%
-9.44%
-6.69%
-13.91%
1929
-0.60%
-8.59%
-1.97%
-13.91%
1928
+10.16%
-1.26%
+14.91%
-1.98%
1927
+11.74%
-1.08%
+16.51%
-1.80%
1926
+5.77%
-1.75%
+7.41%
-3.13%
1925
+9.10%
-1.55%
+12.21%
-2.63%
1924
+10.50%
-0.47%
+15.54%
-0.89%
1923
+3.44%
-2.77%
+4.38%
-4.74%
1922
+10.08%
-1.24%
+14.92%
-1.92%
1921
+9.09%
-1.94%
+11.92%
-3.20%
1920
-2.79%
-3.70%
-5.48%
-5.80%
1919
+6.19%
-2.20%
+9.18%
-3.41%
1918
+6.84%
-0.72%
+10.02%
-1.24%
1917
-5.80%
-5.80%
-8.47%
-8.47%
1916
+3.90%
-0.60%
+5.41%
-1.10%
1915
+10.04%
-0.74%
+16.21%
-0.82%
1914
-0.47%
-5.19%
+1.71%
-6.40%
1913
-0.35%
-1.95%
+0.41%
-2.35%
1912
+3.78%
-0.82%
+3.79%
-1.64%
1911
+1.80%
-2.64%
+3.85%
-3.88%
1910
+0.56%
-2.32%
+1.13%
-3.45%
1909
+3.60%
-0.55%
+7.30%
-0.82%
1908
+12.62%
-0.57%
+22.62%
-0.76%
1907
-9.25%
-9.26%
-9.88%
-10.61%
1906
+1.76%
-2.08%
+0.68%
-4.20%
1905
+6.65%
-1.44%
+8.89%
-2.45%
1904
+8.30%
-0.90%
+16.35%
-1.04%
1903
-3.26%
-5.82%
-5.56%
-9.38%
1902
+2.01%
-2.23%
+3.88%
-3.25%
1901
+6.90%
-2.18%
+8.86%
-3.45%
1900
+8.26%
-0.88%
+10.62%
-1.73%
1899
+4.73%
-1.32%
+1.22%
-3.83%
1898
+8.63%
-4.16%
+14.49%
-5.07%
1897
+10.73%
-0.31%
+11.63%
-1.44%
1896
+2.27%
-4.87%
+3.73%
-6.81%
1895
+5.14%
-2.94%
+2.01%
-5.62%
1894
+3.06%
-1.11%
+5.09%
-1.63%
1893
-2.81%
-7.23%
-4.70%
-11.05%
1892
+1.85%
-0.92%
+3.70%
-1.24%
1891
+4.30%
-2.66%
+10.78%
-2.88%
1890
-1.76%
-3.61%
-1.74%
-5.18%
1889
+2.94%
-0.76%
+4.31%
-1.08%
1888
+3.44%
-1.38%
+4.61%
-1.96%
1887
+0.13%
-3.25%
+0.60%
-4.61%
1886
+6.58%
-0.66%
+5.22%
-2.17%
1885
+9.57%
-0.72%
+15.19%
-0.95%
1884
-1.86%
-4.99%
-2.59%
-7.14%
1883
+1.84%
-1.39%
+0.38%
-2.52%
1882
+3.62%
-1.49%
+3.29%
-2.59%
1881
+4.48%
-2.34%
+2.17%
-4.53%
1880
+12.85%
-1.46%
+13.77%
-3.35%
1879
+15.96%
-0.31%
+21.48%
-0.68%
1878
+4.59%
-0.40%
+10.38%
-0.17%
1877
-2.46%
-6.35%
+1.75%
-6.47%
1876
-6.01%
-6.10%
-1.36%
-5.59%
1875
+4.28%
-1.56%
+6.03%
-1.68%
1874
+4.84%
-1.78%
+10.10%
-1.40%
1873
+1.68%
-6.29%
+1.53%
-9.21%
1872
+6.47%
-1.80%
+5.54%
-3.01%
1871
+8.64%
-1.32%
+7.90%
-2.38%