Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter vs Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio obtained a 8.50% compound annual return, with a 13.85% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 9.98% compound annual return, with a 9.57% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Very High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 90% 60%
Fixed Income 10% 40%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +8.50% +9.98%
Std Dev 13.85% 9.57%
Max Drawdown -48.52% -32.52%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1982)
Return +10.26% +11.24%
Std Dev 13.72% 9.89%
Max Drawdown -48.52% -32.52%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1982

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio +2.84 +18.90 +21.44 +10.51 +8.95 +8.50 +10.26
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio +2.17 +22.75 +21.53 +7.57 +8.75 +9.98 +11.24
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 11.57$, with a total return of 1056.76% (8.50% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 17.36$, with a total return of 1635.93% (9.98% annualized).

Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 62.02$, with a total return of 6102.31% (10.26% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 90.04$, with a total return of 8904.44% (11.24% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-48.52% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Sep 2012 (59) 20.36
-39.03% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Jul 2005 (64) 20.73
-32.52% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 15.23
-24.21% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 16.25
-24.21% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 12.05
-21.14% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Jan 2004 (41) 12.11
-19.32% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.35
-14.32% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 7.70
-11.99% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 5.73
-10.88% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 5.67
-10.73% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jun 2020 (5) 4.89
-9.29% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Jun 2019 (9) 4.52
-7.14% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 2.68
-6.78% Aug 1998 Aug 1998 (1) Oct 1998 (3) 3.54
-5.44% May 2019 May 2019 (1) Jun 2019 (2) 3.14
-5.20% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 (2) Nov 2020 (3) 2.87
-5.17% Feb 2018 Mar 2018 (2) Aug 2018 (7) 3.49
-4.84% Aug 1997 Aug 1997 (1) Sep 1997 (2) 2.80
-4.61% Aug 2015 Sep 2015 (2) Mar 2016 (8) 2.30
-4.52% Oct 1997 Oct 1997 (1) Feb 1998 (5) 2.22

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1982.

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Paul Farrell Second Grader's Starter Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-48.52% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Sep 2012 (59) 20.36
-39.03% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Jul 2005 (64) 20.73
-32.52% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 15.23
-24.21% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 16.25
-24.21% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 12.05
-21.75% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 10.60
-21.14% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Jan 2004 (41) 12.11
-20.08% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) May 1989 (21) 11.04
-19.32% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.35
-16.95% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 (9) Feb 1991 (14) 8.77
-14.32% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 7.70
-12.58% Jan 1982 Jul 1982 (7) Oct 1982 (10) 6.89
-11.99% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 5.73
-10.88% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 5.67
-10.73% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jun 2020 (5) 4.89
-9.29% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Jun 2019 (9) 4.52
-8.94% Jul 1983 May 1984 (11) Aug 1984 (14) 4.35
-7.66% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 (2) Jan 1991 (6) 4.58
-7.54% Dec 1983 May 1984 (6) Aug 1984 (9) 3.90
-7.14% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 2.68

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+7.12%
0.00%
+11.43%
0.00%
2023
+20.93%
-9.14%
+7.66%
-5.48%
2022
-17.70%
-24.21%
-16.20%
-21.97%
2021
+17.70%
-3.84%
+7.27%
-2.88%
2020
+16.72%
-19.32%
+20.99%
-10.73%
2019
+25.83%
-5.44%
+19.89%
-0.92%
2018
-7.40%
-11.99%
-1.04%
-9.29%
2017
+21.30%
0.00%
+23.93%
0.00%
2016
+9.42%
-5.60%
+4.01%
-3.57%
2015
-1.16%
-9.62%
+5.58%
-4.61%
2014
+6.75%
-3.49%
+11.10%
-2.40%
2013
+24.11%
-2.56%
+19.91%
-2.13%
2012
+15.86%
-7.88%
+10.22%
-3.51%
2011
-2.83%
-17.88%
+6.73%
-7.14%
2010
+14.62%
-11.38%
+13.29%
-6.43%
2009
+28.98%
-17.20%
+11.92%
-12.79%
2008
-34.54%
-37.04%
-21.83%
-24.08%
2007
+8.57%
-5.03%
+13.35%
-1.41%
2006
+17.83%
-3.36%
+8.04%
-2.23%
2005
+8.70%
-3.82%
+12.44%
-0.99%
2004
+14.35%
-3.09%
+11.72%
-2.06%
2003
+30.95%
-4.37%
+17.18%
-1.95%
2002
-15.98%
-22.25%
-4.07%
-11.25%
2001
-11.78%
-21.62%
-7.04%
-13.57%
2000
-9.89%
-14.07%
-1.21%
-6.50%
1999
+23.19%
-3.08%
+23.95%
-1.65%
1998
+19.50%
-14.32%
+32.69%
-6.78%
1997
+19.31%
-4.84%
+25.89%
-3.48%
1996
+14.34%
-4.50%
+19.33%
-2.32%
1995
+24.48%
-1.28%
+32.67%
0.00%
1994
+2.56%
-5.09%
-1.72%
-6.35%
1993
+16.32%
-4.22%
+11.81%
-0.99%
1992
+1.74%
-4.65%
+5.45%
-2.52%
1991
+23.80%
-4.67%
+28.24%
-2.57%
1990
-10.22%
-16.95%
+4.36%
-7.66%
1989
+22.09%
-2.57%
+31.11%
-1.20%
1988
+18.82%
-3.47%
+7.18%
-3.36%
1987
+10.87%
-21.75%
+2.02%
-20.08%
1986
+29.27%
-5.18%
+19.66%
-5.55%
1985
+36.18%
-2.85%
+28.33%
-1.52%
1984
+3.66%
-8.18%
+5.51%
-7.11%
1983
+21.23%
-3.07%
+12.26%
-3.09%
1982
+14.99%
-12.58%
+30.72%
-2.23%