Craig Israelsen 7Twelve vs Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio obtained a 6.85% compound annual return, with a 9.75% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio obtained a 8.42% compound annual return, with a 9.60% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High High
Asset Allocation Stocks 50% 60%
Fixed Income 33.34% 40%
Commodities 16.66% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +6.85% +8.42%
Std Dev 9.75% 9.60%
Max Drawdown -37.96% -30.55%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1976)
Return +9.27% +9.90%
Std Dev 9.48% 10.01%
Max Drawdown -37.96% -30.55%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1976

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio +2.36 +9.67 +10.39 +6.05 +4.15 +6.85 +9.27
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio +2.12 +16.12 +17.74 +8.77 +8.05 +8.42 +9.90
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 7.30$, with a total return of 630.07% (6.85% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 11.32$, with a total return of 1031.62% (8.42% annualized).

Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 72.17$, with a total return of 7117.08% (9.27% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1976, now would be worth 94.91$, with a total return of 9391.49% (9.90% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-37.96% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Feb 2011 (33) 18.93
-30.55% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Oct 2010 (36) 13.38
-21.56% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Jan 2004 (41) 11.96
-20.69% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 11.44
-17.90% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 8.97
-14.54% Jul 2014 Feb 2016 (20) Jul 2017 (37) 6.60
-13.54% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 6.14
-13.50% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Dec 2012 (20) 4.88
-13.28% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 (6) Feb 2024 (23) 6.26
-12.29% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 5.29
-10.18% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 4.93
-10.05% Feb 2001 Sep 2001 (8) Apr 2003 (27) 4.49
-9.83% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 4.66
-9.00% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 3.76
-8.38% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Mar 2019 (7) 3.89
-5.35% Apr 2000 May 2000 (2) Aug 2000 (5) 2.94
-5.24% Jun 2015 Sep 2015 (4) Apr 2016 (11) 2.81
-5.06% Apr 2004 Apr 2004 (1) Sep 2004 (6) 3.00
-4.51% Sep 1994 Nov 1994 (3) Apr 1995 (8) 2.66
-4.35% Nov 2007 Jan 2008 (3) Apr 2008 (6) 2.51

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1976.

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Craig Israelsen 7Twelve Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-37.96% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Feb 2011 (33) 18.93
-30.55% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Oct 2010 (36) 13.38
-21.56% Sep 2000 Sep 2002 (25) Jan 2004 (41) 11.96
-20.69% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 11.44
-19.17% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 9.40
-17.90% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Nov 2020 (11) 8.97
-14.54% Jul 2014 Feb 2016 (20) Jul 2017 (37) 6.60
-13.54% Apr 1998 Aug 1998 (5) Apr 1999 (13) 6.14
-13.50% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Dec 2012 (20) 4.88
-13.43% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Oct 1988 (14) 6.31
-13.28% Apr 2022 Sep 2022 (6) Feb 2024 (23) 6.26
-12.29% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Jul 2020 (6) 5.29
-10.52% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) Jun 1980 (5) 5.02
-10.18% Jul 1998 Aug 1998 (2) Nov 1998 (5) 4.93
-10.05% Feb 2001 Sep 2001 (8) Apr 2003 (27) 4.49
-9.83% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Apr 2019 (7) 4.66
-9.57% Feb 1980 Mar 1980 (2) May 1980 (4) 4.65
-9.00% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Jan 2012 (9) 3.76
-8.82% Jun 1981 Sep 1981 (4) Nov 1981 (6) 4.16
-8.68% Dec 1980 Sep 1981 (10) Sep 1982 (22) 4.25

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+3.79%
-0.30%
+5.46%
0.00%
2023
+8.77%
-6.61%
+17.79%
-7.47%
2022
-7.91%
-13.28%
-16.95%
-20.69%
2021
+16.41%
-3.52%
+14.66%
-3.24%
2020
+3.64%
-17.90%
+15.70%
-12.29%
2019
+17.04%
-3.93%
+21.94%
-3.41%
2018
-6.60%
-9.83%
-3.17%
-8.38%
2017
+11.15%
-0.23%
+14.15%
0.00%
2016
+7.88%
-3.46%
+8.71%
-2.95%
2015
-6.71%
-8.96%
+0.44%
-5.24%
2014
-0.27%
-5.11%
+9.85%
-1.50%
2013
+9.98%
-2.34%
+19.23%
-2.27%
2012
+9.05%
-5.96%
+11.13%
-3.54%
2011
-0.33%
-13.50%
+3.75%
-9.00%
2010
+12.87%
-7.69%
+12.93%
-7.13%
2009
+19.77%
-13.75%
+18.79%
-11.70%
2008
-24.01%
-29.50%
-19.44%
-22.19%
2007
+11.31%
-2.37%
+5.99%
-3.07%
2006
+12.08%
-2.41%
+11.12%
-2.03%
2005
+11.36%
-3.44%
+4.74%
-2.34%
2004
+14.33%
-5.06%
+9.37%
-2.68%
2003
+25.20%
-1.95%
+20.04%
-1.99%
2002
+4.93%
-5.27%
-8.98%
-13.74%
2001
-4.66%
-10.05%
-3.21%
-11.68%
2000
+11.53%
-2.79%
-1.79%
-8.27%
1999
+19.24%
-3.02%
+13.98%
-3.76%
1998
-1.40%
-13.54%
+17.39%
-10.18%
1997
+7.34%
-3.49%
+22.37%
-3.12%
1996
+16.09%
-3.26%
+14.01%
-3.33%
1995
+18.64%
-1.07%
+28.74%
-0.20%
1994
-1.53%
-6.66%
-1.16%
-6.47%
1993
+17.28%
-3.19%
+10.25%
-1.36%
1992
+5.45%
-2.13%
+8.32%
-1.65%
1991
+26.17%
-3.31%
+25.53%
-2.86%
1990
+1.68%
-5.15%
-0.19%
-8.52%
1989
+27.09%
-1.51%
+22.33%
-1.36%
1988
+17.78%
-2.03%
+13.33%
-2.24%
1987
+3.08%
-13.43%
+2.18%
-19.17%
1986
+16.22%
-3.66%
+14.79%
-5.58%
1985
+24.57%
-0.68%
+27.66%
-2.15%
1984
+8.53%
-2.58%
+7.32%
-6.58%
1983
+17.12%
-1.50%
+15.69%
-2.85%
1982
+15.88%
-3.72%
+24.75%
-4.29%
1981
-1.36%
-7.83%
+1.27%
-8.82%
1980
+16.18%
-10.52%
+21.05%
-9.57%
1979
+20.37%
-6.26%
+16.69%
-6.65%
1978
+13.62%
-5.84%
+5.53%
-7.92%
1977
+7.11%
-1.81%
-1.60%
-4.89%
1976
+15.46%
-2.12%
+21.38%
-1.34%