Bill Bernstein No Brainer vs Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio obtained a 7.69% compound annual return, with a 11.73% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 8.24% compound annual return, with a 6.99% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Portfolio Risk High Medium
Asset Allocation Stocks 75% 40%
Fixed Income 25% 60%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +7.69% +8.24%
Std Dev 11.73% 6.99%
Max Drawdown -40.40% -21.11%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1982)
Return +9.57% +9.77%
Std Dev 11.72% 7.43%
Max Drawdown -40.40% -21.11%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1982

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio +2.40 +14.70 +15.47 +8.01 +6.96 +7.69 +9.57
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio +1.76 +17.02 +14.65 +5.19 +6.37 +8.24 +9.77
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 9.22$, with a total return of 822.34% (7.69% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 10.75$, with a total return of 975.36% (8.24% annualized).

Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 47.49$, with a total return of 4649.08% (9.57% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 51.26$, with a total return of 5026.13% (9.77% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.40% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 18.40
-24.46% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Dec 2003 (45) 13.30
-21.11% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 14.29
-20.54% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Apr 2010 (30) 9.31
-19.76% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 9.75
-18.24% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.70
-16.20% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Sep 2012 (17) 6.47
-13.95% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 6.45
-11.92% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Oct 2019 (14) 4.83
-9.17% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 4.70
-8.48% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 (20) May 2003 (28) 4.78
-7.10% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) May 2020 (4) 3.36
-5.89% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Mar 2019 (6) 3.46
-4.66% Jun 1996 Jul 1996 (2) Sep 1996 (4) 2.42
-4.13% Aug 1998 Aug 1998 (1) Oct 1998 (3) 2.07
-4.07% Mar 2005 Apr 2005 (2) Jul 2005 (5) 1.92
-4.06% Oct 1997 Oct 1997 (1) Feb 1998 (5) 2.29
-3.77% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 (2) Nov 2020 (3) 2.07
-3.74% Sep 1994 Nov 1994 (3) Mar 1995 (7) 2.03
-3.62% Jun 2011 Sep 2011 (4) Oct 2011 (5) 1.65

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1982.

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Bill Bernstein No Brainer Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-40.40% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Feb 2011 (40) 18.40
-24.46% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 (30) Dec 2003 (45) 13.30
-21.11% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 14.29
-20.54% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 (16) Apr 2010 (30) 9.31
-19.76% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) Feb 2024 (26) 9.75
-19.71% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Jan 1989 (17) 9.28
-18.24% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Aug 2020 (8) 8.70
-16.20% May 2011 Sep 2011 (5) Sep 2012 (17) 6.47
-14.76% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 (9) Feb 1991 (14) 7.56
-13.95% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Dec 1998 (8) 6.45
-13.77% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Mar 1989 (19) 6.65
-11.92% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Oct 2019 (14) 4.83
-9.17% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (14) 4.70
-8.48% Feb 2001 Sep 2002 (20) May 2003 (28) 4.78
-8.02% Jan 1982 Jul 1982 (7) Aug 1982 (8) 5.11
-7.24% Jul 1983 May 1984 (11) Aug 1984 (14) 3.50
-7.10% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) May 2020 (4) 3.36
-6.28% Feb 1984 May 1984 (4) Aug 1984 (7) 3.29
-5.91% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 (5) Feb 1995 (13) 3.86
-5.89% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 (3) Mar 2019 (6) 3.46

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
+4.36%
-0.87%
+7.39%
0.00%
2023
+15.77%
-8.54%
+6.91%
-5.18%
2022
-13.89%
-19.76%
-15.17%
-19.48%
2021
+15.39%
-2.73%
+4.23%
-2.38%
2020
+11.61%
-18.24%
+16.57%
-7.10%
2019
+19.82%
-5.15%
+16.20%
-0.81%
2018
-6.41%
-11.92%
-0.73%
-5.89%
2017
+15.70%
-0.29%
+17.14%
0.00%
2016
+11.03%
-4.44%
+3.51%
-3.61%
2015
-1.35%
-7.81%
+3.91%
-2.95%
2014
+3.78%
-3.16%
+9.34%
-1.49%
2013
+22.10%
-1.89%
+12.57%
-1.74%
2012
+12.91%
-6.94%
+7.87%
-2.05%
2011
-2.59%
-16.20%
+7.13%
-3.62%
2010
+14.15%
-9.69%
+10.93%
-3.48%
2009
+22.80%
-15.37%
+9.16%
-9.41%
2008
-26.26%
-28.63%
-12.27%
-15.80%
2007
+7.14%
-4.50%
+11.21%
-0.82%
2006
+15.27%
-3.41%
+6.78%
-1.50%
2005
+7.66%
-4.07%
+9.09%
-0.93%
2004
+13.66%
-3.04%
+9.22%
-2.12%
2003
+27.39%
-4.14%
+12.78%
-1.27%
2002
-10.88%
-16.92%
+0.04%
-5.36%
2001
-4.49%
-14.84%
-1.88%
-6.89%
2000
-4.63%
-10.08%
+2.99%
-3.33%
1999
+18.99%
-3.58%
+15.71%
-1.69%
1998
+12.24%
-13.95%
+24.65%
-4.13%
1997
+15.88%
-4.06%
+20.41%
-2.69%
1996
+12.52%
-4.66%
+14.08%
-1.52%
1995
+20.57%
-1.62%
+27.84%
0.00%
1994
+2.49%
-4.18%
-2.03%
-5.91%
1993
+16.21%
-3.68%
+11.10%
-0.87%
1992
+4.40%
-3.33%
+6.01%
-2.11%
1991
+24.11%
-4.26%
+23.91%
-1.79%
1990
-9.08%
-14.76%
+5.79%
-5.29%
1989
+18.78%
-2.53%
+25.29%
-1.01%
1988
+17.83%
-3.06%
+7.24%
-2.95%
1987
+8.39%
-19.71%
+1.86%
-13.77%
1986
+25.39%
-4.13%
+18.14%
-4.37%
1985
+32.35%
-2.40%
+26.30%
-0.74%
1984
+4.70%
-6.54%
+8.68%
-6.28%
1983
+21.16%
-2.72%
+9.91%
-2.81%
1982
+17.74%
-8.02%
+30.86%
-1.48%