10-year Treasury vs Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The 10-year Treasury Portfolio obtained a 4.85% compound annual return, with a 6.78% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio obtained a 6.34% compound annual return, with a 4.92% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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10-year Treasury Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Low Low
Asset Allocation Stocks 0% 20%
Fixed Income 100% 80%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +4.85% +6.34%
Std Dev 6.78% 4.92%
Max Drawdown -23.18% -17.91%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1982)
Return +7.26% +8.17%
Std Dev 7.52% 5.49%
Max Drawdown -23.18% -17.91%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1982

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
10-year Treasury Portfolio +0.73 +5.02 -1.56 -0.61 +1.16 +4.85 +7.26
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio +1.32 +11.39 +8.01 +2.78 +3.95 +6.34 +8.17
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

10-year Treasury Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 4.14$, with a total return of 314.12% (4.85% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 6.33$, with a total return of 532.97% (6.34% annualized).

10-year Treasury Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 19.28$, with a total return of 1828.29% (7.26% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1982, now would be worth 27.58$, with a total return of 2657.97% (8.17% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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10-year Treasury Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-23.18% Aug 2020 Oct 2023 (39) In progress (44) 13.61
-17.91% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 12.31
-9.34% Oct 1998 Jan 2000 (16) Aug 2000 (23) 5.17
-9.00% Jan 2008 Oct 2008 (10) Aug 2009 (20) 4.15
-7.60% May 2013 Dec 2013 (8) Nov 2014 (19) 4.38
-7.18% Aug 2016 Apr 2018 (21) May 2019 (34) 4.82
-6.90% Feb 1996 May 1996 (4) Nov 1996 (10) 4.58
-6.65% Jan 2009 Jun 2009 (6) Jun 2010 (18) 4.33
-6.60% Nov 2001 Mar 2002 (5) Jul 2002 (9) 3.77
-5.68% Jun 2003 Jul 2003 (2) Dec 2003 (7) 2.83
-4.85% Apr 2004 May 2004 (2) Oct 2004 (7) 2.96
-4.67% Sep 2010 Mar 2011 (7) Jul 2011 (11) 2.74
-4.25% Feb 2015 Jun 2015 (5) Jan 2016 (12) 2.34
-4.15% Apr 2008 May 2008 (2) Nov 2008 (8) 2.19
-4.13% Oct 2002 Nov 2002 (2) Feb 2003 (5) 2.02
-4.08% Jul 2005 May 2006 (11) Sep 2006 (15) 2.49
-4.04% Dec 1996 Mar 1997 (4) Jun 1997 (7) 2.15
-3.64% Aug 2016 Nov 2016 (4) Apr 2017 (9) 1.84
-3.46% Feb 2020 Mar 2020 (2) Apr 2020 (3) 1.73
-3.12% Sep 2018 Oct 2018 (2) Feb 2019 (6) 1.75

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1982.

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10-year Treasury Portfolio
Stocks/Bonds 20/80 Momentum Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-23.18% Aug 2020 Oct 2023 (39) In progress (44) 13.61
-17.91% Nov 2021 Sep 2022 (11) In progress (29) 12.31
-10.87% Mar 1987 Sep 1987 (7) Jan 1988 (11) 5.88
-10.14% Nov 1993 Nov 1994 (13) May 1995 (19) 6.64
-9.34% Oct 1998 Jan 2000 (16) Aug 2000 (23) 5.17
-9.00% Jan 2008 Oct 2008 (10) Aug 2009 (20) 4.15
-7.99% Feb 1984 May 1984 (4) Aug 1984 (7) 4.01
-7.60% May 2013 Dec 2013 (8) Nov 2014 (19) 4.38
-7.18% Aug 2016 Apr 2018 (21) May 2019 (34) 4.82
-6.90% Feb 1996 May 1996 (4) Nov 1996 (10) 4.58
-6.65% Jan 2009 Jun 2009 (6) Jun 2010 (18) 4.33
-6.60% Nov 2001 Mar 2002 (5) Jul 2002 (9) 3.77
-6.53% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 (3) Feb 1988 (6) 3.65
-6.29% May 1983 Aug 1983 (4) Jan 1984 (9) 3.29
-5.68% Jun 2003 Jul 2003 (2) Dec 2003 (7) 2.83
-5.47% Feb 1984 May 1984 (4) Aug 1984 (7) 2.67
-5.46% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 (5) Feb 1995 (13) 3.79
-4.85% Apr 2004 May 2004 (2) Oct 2004 (7) 2.96
-4.67% Sep 2010 Mar 2011 (7) Jul 2011 (11) 2.74
-4.60% Mar 1988 May 1988 (3) Sep 1988 (7) 2.57

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
-1.30%
-2.08%
+3.35%
0.00%
2023
+3.64%
-8.81%
+6.16%
-5.43%
2022
-15.19%
-16.91%
-14.14%
-17.00%
2021
-3.33%
-5.73%
+1.18%
-2.95%
2020
+10.01%
-2.02%
+12.14%
-3.46%
2019
+8.03%
-2.59%
+12.52%
-0.69%
2018
+0.99%
-3.19%
-0.42%
-3.12%
2017
+2.55%
-1.90%
+10.35%
0.00%
2016
+1.00%
-6.50%
+3.02%
-3.64%
2015
+1.51%
-4.25%
+2.23%
-1.48%
2014
+9.07%
-1.05%
+7.58%
-0.83%
2013
-6.09%
-7.60%
+5.23%
-2.48%
2012
+3.66%
-2.67%
+5.51%
-0.69%
2011
+15.64%
-1.29%
+7.52%
-0.70%
2010
+9.37%
-4.30%
+8.56%
-0.70%
2009
-6.59%
-6.65%
+6.40%
-6.03%
2008
+17.91%
-4.15%
-2.70%
-9.00%
2007
+10.37%
-1.85%
+9.07%
-0.41%
2006
+2.52%
-2.87%
+5.53%
-1.33%
2005
+2.64%
-3.19%
+5.74%
-1.35%
2004
+4.12%
-4.85%
+6.73%
-2.37%
2003
+5.29%
-5.68%
+8.38%
-2.29%
2002
+15.45%
-4.13%
+4.15%
-1.79%
2001
+5.40%
-5.21%
+3.27%
-2.01%
2000
+17.28%
-1.12%
+7.19%
-1.52%
1999
-7.83%
-8.11%
+7.48%
-1.73%
1998
+14.64%
-1.61%
+16.62%
-1.24%
1997
+11.97%
-2.02%
+14.93%
-1.81%
1996
-0.00%
-6.90%
+8.83%
-1.37%
1995
+25.55%
-1.23%
+23.01%
0.00%
1994
-7.19%
-9.56%
-2.34%
-5.46%
1993
+12.97%
-2.55%
+10.39%
-0.92%
1992
+7.23%
-4.02%
+6.58%
-1.69%
1991
+18.91%
-0.54%
+19.58%
-0.95%
1990
+7.70%
-4.48%
+7.22%
-2.90%
1989
+17.84%
-2.30%
+19.47%
-0.82%
1988
+6.90%
-4.60%
+7.30%
-2.80%
1987
-2.64%
-10.87%
+1.70%
-6.53%
1986
+21.35%
-3.93%
+16.62%
-3.15%
1985
+29.85%
-3.33%
+24.27%
-1.28%
1984
+14.87%
-7.99%
+11.85%
-5.47%
1983
+2.30%
-6.29%
+7.57%
-3.28%
1982
+39.57%
-2.66%
+31.00%
-1.71%