10-year Treasury vs Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio Comparison

Last Update: 31 March 2024

The 10-year Treasury Portfolio obtained a 4.85% compound annual return, with a 6.78% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

The Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio obtained a 5.48% compound annual return, with a 6.24% standard deviation, in the last 30 Years.

Summary

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10-year Treasury Portfolio Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio
Portfolio Risk Low Medium
Asset Allocation Stocks 0% 30%
Fixed Income 100% 70%
Commodities 0% 0%
30 Years Stats Return +4.85% +5.48%
Std Dev 6.78% 6.24%
Max Drawdown -23.18% -18.42%
All time Stats
(Since Jan 1985)
Return +6.48% +7.18%
Std Dev 7.23% 6.98%
Max Drawdown -23.18% -18.42%
Last Update: 31 March 2024

Historical Returns as of Mar 31, 2024

Comparison period starts from January 1985

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1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
10-year Treasury Portfolio +0.73 +5.02 -1.56 -0.61 +1.16 +4.85 +6.48
Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio +1.26 +6.64 +5.07 +3.13 +2.98 +5.48 +7.18
Return over 1 year are annualized.

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2024

10-year Treasury Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 4.14$, with a total return of 314.12% (4.85% annualized).

Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1994, now would be worth 4.95$, with a total return of 395.33% (5.48% annualized).

10-year Treasury Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 11.76$, with a total return of 1075.68% (6.48% annualized).

Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 15.19$, with a total return of 1418.96% (7.18% annualized).

Drawdowns

Drawdown comparison chart since April 1994.

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10-year Treasury Portfolio
Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-23.18% Aug 2020 Oct 2023 (39) In progress (44) 13.61
-18.42% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Nov 2009 (18) 9.58
-12.62% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 7.00
-9.34% Oct 1998 Jan 2000 (16) Aug 2000 (23) 5.17
-8.68% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Apr 1999 (12) 3.71
-7.91% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Jul 2020 (7) 3.66
-7.60% May 2013 Dec 2013 (8) Nov 2014 (19) 4.38
-7.18% Aug 2016 Apr 2018 (21) May 2019 (34) 4.82
-6.90% Feb 1996 May 1996 (4) Nov 1996 (10) 4.58
-6.65% Jan 2009 Jun 2009 (6) Jun 2010 (18) 4.33
-6.64% May 2015 Jan 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (15) 3.83
-6.60% Nov 2001 Mar 2002 (5) Jul 2002 (9) 3.77
-6.05% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 (2) Jan 2012 (6) 2.70
-5.68% Jun 2003 Jul 2003 (2) Dec 2003 (7) 2.83
-5.32% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Apr 2019 (8) 2.68
-4.85% Apr 2004 May 2004 (2) Oct 2004 (7) 2.96
-4.67% Sep 2010 Mar 2011 (7) Jul 2011 (11) 2.74
-4.47% Jul 2001 Sep 2001 (3) Dec 2001 (6) 1.91
-4.31% May 2002 Jul 2002 (3) May 2003 (13) 2.36
-4.25% Feb 2015 Jun 2015 (5) Jan 2016 (12) 2.34

Drawdown comparison chart since January 1985.

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10-year Treasury Portfolio
Larry Swedroe Eliminate Fat Tails Portfolio
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
Drawdown Start Bottom
Date (#Months)
Recovery
Date (#Months)
Ulcer
Index
-23.18% Aug 2020 Oct 2023 (39) In progress (44) 13.61
-18.42% Jun 2008 Feb 2009 (9) Nov 2009 (18) 9.58
-13.68% Mar 1987 Nov 1987 (9) Jan 1989 (23) 6.12
-12.62% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 (9) In progress (27) 7.00
-10.87% Mar 1987 Sep 1987 (7) Jan 1988 (11) 5.88
-10.14% Nov 1993 Nov 1994 (13) May 1995 (19) 6.64
-9.34% Oct 1998 Jan 2000 (16) Aug 2000 (23) 5.17
-8.81% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 (2) Jan 1991 (6) 4.97
-8.68% May 1998 Aug 1998 (4) Apr 1999 (12) 3.71
-7.91% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 (3) Jul 2020 (7) 3.66
-7.61% Feb 1994 Jun 1994 (5) Jun 1995 (17) 5.27
-7.60% May 2013 Dec 2013 (8) Nov 2014 (19) 4.38
-7.18% Aug 2016 Apr 2018 (21) May 2019 (34) 4.82
-6.90% Feb 1996 May 1996 (4) Nov 1996 (10) 4.58
-6.65% Jan 2009 Jun 2009 (6) Jun 2010 (18) 4.33
-6.64% May 2015 Jan 2016 (9) Jul 2016 (15) 3.83
-6.60% Nov 2001 Mar 2002 (5) Jul 2002 (9) 3.77
-6.05% Aug 2011 Sep 2011 (2) Jan 2012 (6) 2.70
-5.68% Jun 2003 Jul 2003 (2) Dec 2003 (7) 2.83
-5.32% Sep 2018 Dec 2018 (4) Apr 2019 (8) 2.68

Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown.
The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.
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Year Return Drawdown Return Drawdown
2024
-1.30%
-2.08%
+1.11%
-1.00%
2023
+3.64%
-8.81%
+6.63%
-5.10%
2022
-15.19%
-16.91%
-9.61%
-12.62%
2021
-3.33%
-5.73%
+5.40%
-1.26%
2020
+10.01%
-2.02%
+8.18%
-7.91%
2019
+8.03%
-2.59%
+9.79%
-1.93%
2018
+0.99%
-3.19%
-3.46%
-5.32%
2017
+2.55%
-1.90%
+8.83%
0.00%
2016
+1.00%
-6.50%
+7.30%
-1.12%
2015
+1.51%
-4.25%
-3.40%
-5.77%
2014
+9.07%
-1.05%
+1.52%
-2.92%
2013
-6.09%
-7.60%
+2.64%
-3.45%
2012
+3.66%
-2.67%
+7.53%
-2.29%
2011
+15.64%
-1.29%
+1.93%
-6.05%
2010
+9.37%
-4.30%
+8.60%
-3.33%
2009
-6.59%
-6.65%
+17.45%
-6.28%
2008
+17.91%
-4.15%
-11.49%
-16.27%
2007
+10.37%
-1.85%
+10.73%
-1.33%
2006
+2.52%
-2.87%
+8.72%
-2.40%
2005
+2.64%
-3.19%
+7.94%
-2.01%
2004
+4.12%
-4.85%
+10.37%
-3.79%
2003
+5.29%
-5.68%
+17.58%
-0.78%
2002
+15.45%
-4.13%
+3.12%
-4.31%
2001
+5.40%
-5.21%
+4.53%
-4.47%
2000
+17.28%
-1.12%
+3.70%
-3.62%
1999
-7.83%
-8.11%
+12.78%
-1.79%
1998
+14.64%
-1.61%
+1.83%
-8.68%
1997
+11.97%
-2.02%
+7.45%
-2.49%
1996
-0.00%
-6.90%
+7.38%
-2.25%
1995
+25.55%
-1.23%
+14.41%
-0.69%
1994
-7.19%
-9.56%
-3.92%
-7.61%
1993
+12.97%
-2.55%
+24.39%
-1.41%
1992
+7.23%
-4.02%
+5.38%
-2.50%
1991
+18.91%
-0.54%
+32.01%
-2.36%
1990
+7.70%
-4.48%
+2.61%
-8.81%
1989
+17.84%
-2.30%
+26.09%
-0.58%
1988
+6.90%
-4.60%
+13.59%
-1.87%
1987
-2.64%
-10.87%
-6.14%
-13.68%
1986
+21.35%
-3.93%
+11.79%
-3.42%
1985
+29.85%
-3.33%
+21.01%
-1.07%