When holding the Aim Ways Shield Strategy To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~41 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 103 months (from September 2000 to March 2009).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 104 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aim Ways Shield Strategy To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of May 31, 2026, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 10.25%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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| Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
|---|---|---|---|
|
-16.46%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2001 |
+9.61% |
+39.43%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
19.34%
94 out of 486 |
|
-19.67%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+7.62% |
+37.39%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
23.46%
114 out of 486 |
|
-12.03%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+8.72% |
+32.38%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
8.44%
40 out of 474 |
|
-13.96%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+6.46% |
+30.33%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
17.93%
85 out of 474 |
|
-7.40%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+8.71% |
+25.37%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
6.28%
29 out of 462 |
|
-9.54%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+6.16% |
+23.72%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
11.90%
55 out of 462 |
|
-3.66%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004 |
+9.09% |
+23.77%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
3.33%
15 out of 450 |
|
-5.75%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004 |
+6.64% |
+21.95%
Sep 1996 - Aug 2000 |
6.44%
29 out of 450 |
|
-1.89%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005 |
+9.13% |
+22.45%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
2.05%
9 out of 438 |
|
-4.00%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005 |
+6.65% |
+20.51%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
3.65%
16 out of 438 |
|
-0.10%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+8.99% |
+19.32%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
0.23%
1 out of 426 |
|
-2.27%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+6.67% |
+17.25%
Nov 1994 - Oct 2000 |
2.82%
12 out of 426 |
|
+0.75%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2007 |
+9.01% |
+17.15%
May 1993 - Apr 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 414 |
|
-1.37%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2007 |
+6.72% |
+14.95%
May 1993 - Apr 2000 |
4.59%
19 out of 414 |
|
-0.16%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+9.10% |
+18.42%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
0.25%
1 out of 402 |
|
-2.44%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2008 |
+7.02% |
+16.00%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
4.23%
17 out of 402 |
|
+0.29%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
+9.06% |
+17.35%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 390 |
|
-1.80%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009 |
+6.90% |
+14.55%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
3.33%
13 out of 390 |
|
+2.75%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010 |
+9.12% |
+17.29%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 378 |
|
+0.69%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2009 |
+6.97% |
+14.55%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 378 |
|
+3.49%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+9.08% |
+14.81%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 366 |
|
+1.39%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+7.10% |
+11.95%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 366 |
|
+4.68%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2012 |
+9.02% |
+14.53%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 354 |
|
+2.45%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2012 |
+7.02% |
+11.66%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 354 |
|
+4.32%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013 |
+8.98% |
+13.71%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 342 |
|
+2.22%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013 |
+6.98% |
+10.90%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 342 |
|
+4.75%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014 |
+9.11% |
+12.50%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 330 |
|
+2.68%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014 |
+7.03% |
+10.00%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 330 |
|
+5.28%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+8.95% |
+12.29%
Oct 1985 - Sep 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
|
+3.41%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+6.85% |
+9.86%
Oct 1985 - Sep 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 318 |
|
+5.61%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016 |
+8.83% |
+11.02%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025 |
0.00%
0 out of 306 |
|
+3.78%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016 |
+6.65% |
+8.74%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 306 |
|
+5.54%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+8.72% |
+11.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 294 |
|
+3.77%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+6.53% |
+8.98%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 294 |
|
+5.52%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+8.69% |
+10.36%
Jun 2008 - May 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 282 |
|
+3.73%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+6.42% |
+8.14%
Jun 2008 - May 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 282 |
|
+5.71%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+8.76% |
+9.82%
Dec 1987 - Nov 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 270 |
|
+3.91%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2018 |
+6.51% |
+7.41%
Jun 2007 - May 2026 |
0.00%
0 out of 270 |
|
+5.97%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+8.57% |
+10.10%
Dec 1990 - Nov 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 258 |
|
+4.25%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+6.30% |
+7.97%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 258 |
|
+6.88%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+8.83% |
+10.26%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 198 |
|
+4.65%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2025 |
+6.58% |
+8.05%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 198 |
|
+8.34%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+9.02% |
+10.00%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 138 |
|
+6.13%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+6.84% |
+7.99%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 138 |
Aim Ways Shield Strategy To EUR Bond Hedged Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns
